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snowlover2

August 2018 General Discussion

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On 8/3/2018 at 8:23 PM, Torchageddon said:

For the last several weeks there have been more days than not with storm chances here in southern Ontario. I get a kick out of seeing the forecast knowing nothing like a storm will hit me. I've heard maybe a rumble here and there but even that I'd say less than 5 rumbles for all of 2018 so far...not joking! One of the most impressive weather streaks is still ongoing of no thunderstorms to date IMBY for 2018!!! :lol: August 3!! A few weeks ago that was comedy, now its a rule of thumb! I've been watching for months now the storms just skirt or fizzle out around me every.single.time...:lmao:. Today there was a much higher chance for local storms and there were some very slow moving cells (lots of lightning) north slowly inching down over the afternoon and then more formation closer started bringing darker skies and threatening weather. Probably within walking distance rain was falling but no rain, one rumble, and the closest lightning was just out of range by a mile or two...the shield was up. I was really starting to wonder if my bubble was ready to burst; it didn't.

The streak is still going, a storm basically formed just to my south/east and I heard a few dozen quality rumbles with dark skies. Its the 2nd time in 48 hours we had an extremely close cell that formed less than 1 km away from MBY. Shield was up. Just outside of town it was wet and progressively moreso. The temperature gradient was incredible, 25ºC where I was and just a few km east it was 17ºC at one spot!! As you were driving you could see the thermostat increase like the odometer would :lol:. Once in the mid 20s I could feel the heat instantly and got rather warm in a hurry. That brings me to my next observation:

The forecast or news story this weekend was for the humidity to break and for the weekend to be very nice and dry. This was from TWN. Well Friday certainly was and in rare fashion it was 29ºC dead on without a humidex. Come today the humidity came right back and feels hot. The indices are 6ºC higher than the air temperature and golly gee whiz TWN busted for the thousandth time. Tomorrow's forecast is the same. Somehow TWN even managed to get something that close and that broad incorrect!! The story that had that dead wrong headline is now "mysteriously" gone like that "pattern change" that they pimped for over half of July that obviously never happened except increased moisture. On that note, this is a great summer for sunshine and I'm really benefiting from it...hate those cloudy days!

On 8/8/2018 at 6:59 PM, Stebo said:

This didn't get much press, but there was some catastrophic flooding in and around downtown Toronto last night. Twitter is loaded with a lot of images across the city.

Toronto's big disasters always occur in August. Their costliest supercells and flooding have happened during this month.

On 8/10/2018 at 5:53 PM, iluvsnow said:

Well....you know the seasons are changing....tomorrow Saturday August 11th....Joe Bastardi....that touchstone of emotion for us weather geeks....posts his first winter outlook in his Saturday video on Weatherbell. Any guess on what his forecast will be? Ha! Ha!

I don't want to give ole Joe anymore attention but I still remember his prediction for summer 2012: cold. Hey Joe, how is that cold summer coming along? - July 28, 2012.

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On 8/10/2018 at 5:53 PM, iluvsnow said:

Well....you know the seasons are changing....tomorrow Saturday August 11th....Joe Bastardi....that touchstone of emotion for us weather geeks....posts his first winter outlook in his Saturday video on Weatherbell. Any guess on what his forecast will be? Ha! Ha!

Like trying to look away as you drive by a terrible car accident....I failed.   Yea, cold and snowy over the eastern half with the epicenter over the TN valley and fading out from around that.    Translation:  congrats lakes and new england.     I expect the "delayed but not denied" card making it's appearance in early January.

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From LOT

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A discussion in the office this morning about recent rainfall trends and the relative condition of our lawns (crunchy in Plainfield versus lush and green in nearby Naperville) prompted a look at two-week observed totals across a wider area. The stark contrast between northwest Will County and southern DuPage County certainly is evident, even across such a short distance. In general northwest Indiana and portions of northern Illinois north of I-88 have seen considerable rainfall these past two weeks, at least compared to the area roughly south of I-88 and west of I-57. Even within the areas of larger rainfall totals there have been pockets that received quite a bit less. The latest forecast suggests a low pressure system moving through the region toward midweek could bring at least some relief to the drier areas.

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21 hours ago, Hoosier said:

Looks like ORD might get Powerballed today (barring a late bump)

Ended up 89 at both ORD and MDW. The thick wildfire smoke overhead might have prevented 90.

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52 minutes ago, hawkeye_wx said:

Cedar Rapids got hit pretty good this evening.  I picked up 1.60" of rain, while the north to northeast side received 3+".

I only got 0.88". Southern Hiawatha easily got 3"+, tons of street flooding on Collins Rd.

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Been watching this system for early next week for a while now, with the potential of phasing could actually be a decent seasonally strong system as noted by the tweet below

 

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The upcoming week will be a rainy week in the Midwest.  There should be cool or near normal temperatures.  Maybe this will slightly relieve some of the drought in Missouri, Kansas, Iowa, Michigan, and Arkansas.

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Cincinnati came in with a hefty 5.02" yesterday, second highest daily total ever.  Some of this was a localized storm last night, but I'd say most of the area has had at least 4 inches since Wednesday afternoon.

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