Damage In Tolland Posted July 18, 2018 Share Posted July 18, 2018 28 minutes ago, dendrite said: You miss my point. I'm not doubting that. My point is that it looks like a much wetter pattern (wouldn't take much) with plenty of Glasgow Grey days too. I actually think we're arguing the same thing now since you've embraced less of a torch look and more of a wetter/dewier one. I never said anything about Aug torch. Posted numerous x about high dews , less heat, south flow.. all the posts are there to see. I just argued those that were calling for nW dry cool flow were not reading pattern correctly. That’s it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted July 18, 2018 Share Posted July 18, 2018 37 minutes ago, dendrite said: You miss my point. I'm not doubting that. My point is that it looks like a much wetter pattern (wouldn't take much) with plenty of Glasgow Grey days too. I actually think we're arguing the same thing now since you've embraced less of a torch look and more of a wetter/dewier one. Glasgow grey Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted July 18, 2018 Share Posted July 18, 2018 23 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I never said anything about Aug torch. Posted numerous x about high dews , less heat, south flow.. all the posts are there to see. I just argued those that were calling for nW dry cool flow were not reading pattern correctly. That’s it You were clear the war would dominate Aug and high heat high dews would prevail to close out summer. I posted the war has a short lifespan/affect of a week maybe before being shoved away. If after that the heat comes back, which one would have to guess it would, it’s because the West ridge expands east and we get into sw flow Texas heat....not because bermuda changed its coordinates. Just imo, though, we debate we discuss...all good my HHH weenie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 18, 2018 Share Posted July 18, 2018 One can go back and see my posts. I posted several times less heat, south flow , high dews and WAR. Was never pounding a hot month temp wise Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted July 18, 2018 Share Posted July 18, 2018 9 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: You were clear the war would dominate Aug and high heat high dews would prevail to close out summer. I posted the war has a short lifespan/affect of a week maybe before being shoved away. If after that the heat comes back, which one would have to guess it would, it’s because the West ridge expands east and we get into sw flow Texas heat....not because bermuda changed its coordinates. Just imo, though, we debate we discuss...all good my HHH weenie. He had less heat, but he was banging the drought drum..."droughtstein18" So he apparently backed off of that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted July 18, 2018 Share Posted July 18, 2018 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: One can go back and see my posts. I posted several times less heat, south flow , high dews and WAR. Was never pounding a hot month temp wise Record number of BDL 90F days? Summer of yore? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted July 18, 2018 Share Posted July 18, 2018 I actually still think it gets hot with one more intense heat spell before 8/20. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted July 18, 2018 Share Posted July 18, 2018 13 minutes ago, weathafella said: I actually still think it gets hot with one more intense heat spell before 8/20. I forget what you consider hot. 96? 98? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 18, 2018 Share Posted July 18, 2018 29 minutes ago, dendrite said: Record number of BDL 90F days? Summer of yore? I absolutely said that yes during the 100 degree spell. Humid summers to me are yore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted July 18, 2018 Share Posted July 18, 2018 23 minutes ago, dendrite said: I forget what you consider hot. 96? 98? 96+. Nice initial push of 594 heights westward over the eastern US next week per GFS. Recedes some but still keeps all of us 582+ before it probably roars back again beyond d9-10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted July 18, 2018 Share Posted July 18, 2018 Jesus ... I'm thinking 88's hot ... wow you guys. 96 ? I mean, we can go ten years without throwin up a 96 ... but rack 'em up at 94 ... those weren't hot? Too many rules - weird. Sides, 87/78 is hot - anyone that says other wise is sellin' something as the cliche goes. I guess if we really want to get excruciatingly Aspergery about it... 87/78 is just as hot as 96/60 ... say something like that. I actually always liked the idea of using the H500 geopotential heights metric... but, as this summer has routinely shown, you can get bigger than normal gaps between the thickness depths and the heights inside which they can expand. It sort of hides what that metric could mean. In other words, we've sustained heights at times that really could have loading up ERs but we're still getting lucky ... We went some seven summers without a realy bona fide sort of mega eastern anomaly...so having had one is probably like ... "half" successful... But, my hunch is that when/if one of these balloons takes place and we actually have 580 thickness inside of it, we are going to tap into the GW new tier like they have in France and Australia in recent summers and it will be shocking. I mean, Will was right ...that heat wave was impressive but it was kinda like 'standard candle' extreme. We really could have blown the lid off historic numbers with four consecutive days of 594 to almost 600 DAM heights... 93 though? Shirked, period - But I digress... subjective of course. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted July 18, 2018 Share Posted July 18, 2018 in any case ... no question that the overnight runs put a patina on the facade of the mid and extended range that is warmer ... not cooler It's not 'hot' per se ( ...yet) .. but, that CC tweet excerpt above is precisely on point imho. I said so a couple/few days ago...this has a Bahama Blue look to it. It's about on climo for that sort of deep troposphere S conveyor thing btw. The other thing is that the GFS operational runs are also trying to bump the 588 dm heights west of New England out there, which could put a warmer wild-card in there yet. I don't know precisely who said what or what the collective/meme popular voice is up this point ... but just going forward with any kind of perspective at all .. I gotta go minimum normal and more like above by some unknown margin, with a burgeoning DPs beyond... Sunday or so... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 18, 2018 Share Posted July 18, 2018 only blues are going to be the people who enjoy the outdoors without getting wet, geezus what a disaster, days and days of rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted July 18, 2018 Share Posted July 18, 2018 Bahama Blue balls? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted July 18, 2018 Share Posted July 18, 2018 5 hours ago, dryslot said: Pretty refreshing NW wind today, Could take a whole summer of this, Who wants 90/70's, That's what the south is for. Agreed, just left Louisville this morning,. Hot and humid, though it did feel good to break out of cold AC. 50 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: only blues are going to be the people who enjoy the outdoors without getting wet, geezus what a disaster, days and days of rain Get your he umbrellas, I’ll be in SFO until next Friday so I’ll miss it. That said, I’d like to be home. passed a really high cumulonimbus as we were crossing the Rockies an hour ago. I wonder Whst the underside of that was like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted July 18, 2018 Share Posted July 18, 2018 22 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: passed a really high cumulonimbus as we were crossing the Rockies an hour ago. I wonder Whst the underside of that was like. In April nearly 25 years ago I was on a flight from Cincinnati (temps in 80s) to Omaha (40s), and observed a SW-NE line of discrete cells stitched across Indiana. Pilot took us between 2 with little fanfare, and their tops were many thousand feet above our altitude, which was mid-30s. Later I heard that a TOR had caused fatalities in southern MI that evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted July 18, 2018 Share Posted July 18, 2018 Going to the Red Sox game next Thursday at Fenway... don't care if it rains the rest of the week but not Thursday evening please. Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted July 18, 2018 Share Posted July 18, 2018 10 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Going to the Red Sox game next Thursday at Fenway... don't care if it rains the rest of the week but not Thursday evening please. Thanks. Fropa time about then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted July 18, 2018 Share Posted July 18, 2018 73/42 Dews have fallen to the upper 30s and low 40s... clear/calm tonight should put some of the cold spots into the 30s tonight. SLK/BML/HIE maybe? I think MVL will be low 40s here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted July 18, 2018 Share Posted July 18, 2018 Don't get use to it... What's getting ready to set up may take quite a while to break down. Look at the size and mass of this warm conveyor on the recent GFS operational run... It's weighty and confident, too... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted July 18, 2018 Share Posted July 18, 2018 1 hour ago, Typhoon Tip said: Don't get use to it... What's getting ready to set up may take quite a while to break down. Yeah certainly won't be a lot of these cool, crisp nights coming up. 70/41 right now but it feels primed to lose like a quick 20-degrees in like 3 hours, like a vacuum sucking heat out of the mountain valleys as insolation wanes this evening. We do need rain though, I think the surface dryness is feeding back a bit in drying out the air masses and we aren't getting the nightly fog we seem to get most summers. Edit: 9F drop in the first hour after sunset, windows slamming shut. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 19, 2018 Share Posted July 19, 2018 1 hour ago, powderfreak said: Yeah certainly won't be a lot of these cool, crisp nights coming up. 70/41 right now but it feels primed to lose like a quick 20-degrees in like 3 hours, like a vacuum sucking heat out of the mountain valleys as insolation wanes this evening. We do need rain though, I think the surface dryness is feeding back a bit in drying out the air masses and we aren't getting the nightly fog we seem to get most summers. Edit: 9F drop in the first hour after sunset, windows slamming shut. My ground was still wet when I came home from work today, excellent drink Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted July 19, 2018 Share Posted July 19, 2018 48 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: My ground was still wet when I came home from work today, excellent drink Def helped fill the pool back up a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted July 19, 2018 Share Posted July 19, 2018 Ha, ha, no thanks next week GFS! Days of rain with WNE bullseye. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted July 19, 2018 Share Posted July 19, 2018 51F clear and calm. Feels almost cold out there on the evening walk with the dog. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted July 19, 2018 Share Posted July 19, 2018 2 minutes ago, powderfreak said: 51F clear and calm. Feels almost cold out there on the evening walk with the dog. Crazy that I won’t feel 51F until October Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted July 19, 2018 Share Posted July 19, 2018 38 SLK Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted July 19, 2018 Share Posted July 19, 2018 7 hours ago, dmillz25 said: Crazy that I won’t feel 51F until October Down to 41F at the ASOS now out in the field. MPV on the hill is 44F. HIE and SLK in the 30s. Brrrr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted July 19, 2018 Share Posted July 19, 2018 48°...not bad. CON 46° 1P1 43° Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted July 19, 2018 Share Posted July 19, 2018 Man, GFS with the wettest run yet. Lots of 8-10" totals for much of NE by the end of the run. Just a river of high PWATs for days and days. Drought cancel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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