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July Discobs Thread


George BM
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21 minutes ago, Stormpc said:

Crab grass is loving that pre deluge drought. Kill off the grass with heat and dry, then water the crab grass so its nice and thick through August. 

The pre-emergent seems to work well for me, so I just have shriveled dead grass, thatch, and bare dirt in the torched areas. Very little crabgrass. Less work when I go to re-seed in another couple weeks.

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looks like friday's storms were hit/miss for everyone.  bummer.  definitely drove through a wicked little storm on 66...torrents, some healthy cg, and quite a bit of wind that had my jeep dancing lol.  was in a no service zone through yesterday, so didn't see how things unfolded back east, but looks like bmore did well again.  maybe we can get a couple bangers in the next few weeks before severe season winds down.

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high-res guidance seems to be coming into agreement on a batch of heavy showers and possible storms moving from south to north across the DC metro area Monday afternoon.    While uncertainty remains with regards to exact locations, some areas are likely to cash in on good rainfall, given the high PW environment, assuming that the solutions are correct.    The decent storm motions should hopefully prevent major flooding, at least for Monday.

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Looks rainy-ish today. More so than it did on models just a few days ago. That front never kicked clear of Va/NC border and poured on Va Beach all weekend.  Now she comes back north. How far west the good rains get is the question. We know So Md up thru Baltimore is primed. 

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SPC added a MRGL risk for the northeast for Wednesday

AMENDED FOR ADDITION OF MARGINAL RISK FOR NORTHEAST U.S.

   ...SUMMARY...
   Isolated strong storms are possible across parts of the Northeast,
   the southern High Plains and over the upper Midwest.

   ...19z Day 3 Update...

   ...Portions of the Northeast...
   As mentioned in the previous discussion, confidence has increased
   that at least a Marginal risk of severe storms is possible across
   parts of the Northeast Wednesday afternoon and evening. Forecast
   guidance continues to show strong deep layer southwesterly shear
   expanding from the Carolinas into New England as the central U.S.
   shortwave lifts northeast. The severe threat continues to be
   somewhat conditional, as intensity will largely depend on pockets of
   stronger heating allowing sufficient destabilization. 12z 4km NAM
   indicates some discrete cells becoming linear with time extending
   from western and central NY into northern VA by late Wednesday
   afternoon. The GFS continues to be more conservative with
   destabilization compared to the NAM/ECMWF, but fast moving
   lines/clusters appear likely regardless. As such, a Marginal risk
   has been added for at least isolated strong/locally damaging wind
   potential Wednesday afternoon into the nighttime hours.  
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20 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

Line to the west of DC really looks pretty impressive... guess it could totally come to a halt but I’ll admit it would surprise me.

Radar starting to fill in a bit too from Dale City over to Gainesville moving to the NE.  Might have to run outside and put the top up on the Jeep.  

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