Tatamy Posted July 23, 2018 Share Posted July 23, 2018 32 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: Hardest hit area over the next 2-3 days appears to be far Eastern PA, but I suspect that most of Western NJ is in for a good soaking as well. Event total here is 2.50”. Have had 0.23” so far today and getting a respite between downpours right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted July 23, 2018 Share Posted July 23, 2018 It's been fairly benign thus far, we'll see if we can get more organized convection. There's definitely more instability today, but not much of a trigger. Wednesday will give us the best chances, perhaps the region will escape any flooding rains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted July 23, 2018 Share Posted July 23, 2018 82/76 + sunshine = tropical Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted July 23, 2018 Share Posted July 23, 2018 10 minutes ago, Cfa said: 82/76 + sunshine = tropical Yeah, definitely. Typical Long Island summer day with the onshore flow. Sunny at the beaches and cloudy inland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted July 23, 2018 Share Posted July 23, 2018 39 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: It's been fairly benign thus far, we'll see if we can get more organized convection. There's definitely more instability today, but not much of a trigger. Wednesday will give us the best chances, perhaps the region will escape any flooding rains. And then after wednesday it looks as if it will improve. The models aren't showing much for thursday through the weekend. Then perhaps an increase in activity early next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted July 23, 2018 Share Posted July 23, 2018 starting to think we haven't seen the worst of the WAR yet. the signal for late next week and beyond looks strong on the EPS and GFES 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 23, 2018 Share Posted July 23, 2018 5 minutes ago, forkyfork said: starting to think we haven't seen the worst of the WAR yet. the signal for late next week and beyond looks strong on the EPS and GFES It's interesting how the models have been trying to weaken the WAR longer range but correct stronger the closer we get. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dWave Posted July 23, 2018 Share Posted July 23, 2018 82 dew 76 with intermittent times of sun. Backyard is soaked and lush helping boost that dewpt LGA 85 dew 72 Central Park 79 dew 74. Wet Park is taking its toll Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted July 23, 2018 Author Share Posted July 23, 2018 Very tropical out there. Current temp 82/DP 73/RH 73% Picked up 0.29" of rain so far today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted July 23, 2018 Share Posted July 23, 2018 My station has had 13 days this month where the dominant wind direction has been onshore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted July 23, 2018 Author Share Posted July 23, 2018 Day 3 Excessive Rainfall Outlook Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 23, 2018 Share Posted July 23, 2018 30 minutes ago, doncat said: My station has had 13 days this month where the dominant wind direction has been onshore. I will take the high humidity over this kind of heat any day of the week. Another summer month here were the dew points are more impressive than the high temperatures. 5:03 pm: Waco has reached 114 degrees and broken its ALL TIME record high temperature of 112 set on August 11, 1969. #ctxwx #txwx 3:03 PM - 23 Jul 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted July 23, 2018 Share Posted July 23, 2018 4 minutes ago, bluewave said: I will take the high humidity over this kind of heat any day of the week. Another summer month here were the dew points are more impressive than the high temperatures. 5:03 pm: Waco has reached 114 degrees and broken its ALL TIME record high temperature of 112 set on August 11, 1969. #ctxwx #txwx 3:03 PM - 23 Jul 2018 Absolutely brutal down in TX. Austin is at 109 degrees this hour and is expected to remain at around 100 degrees for highs over the next week. The cool front that should make it into TX likely won’t head that far south. The hottest when I lived down there was something like 105 degrees a few times, which was horrendous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 23, 2018 Share Posted July 23, 2018 50 minutes ago, jm1220 said: Absolutely brutal down in TX. Austin is at 109 degrees this hour and is expected to remain at around 100 degrees for highs over the next week. The cool front that should make it into TX likely won’t head that far south. The hottest when I lived down there was something like 105 degrees a few times, which was horrendous. The worst I ever experienced was the 100/75/113HX in LB on 7-5-99. https://english.wunderground.com/history/airport/KJFK/1999/7/5/DailyHistory.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted July 23, 2018 Share Posted July 23, 2018 82/73 temp split today with 0.35" of rain, and 2" for the event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted July 24, 2018 Share Posted July 24, 2018 Been under a persistent cell for the past :30 minutes. Keep increasing the totals. Well past the 2.5" mark since this started on Saturday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 24, 2018 Share Posted July 24, 2018 9 hours ago, NJwx85 said: We're not clearing out today. Might get lucky and see a few breaks of sun, which would only help to destabilize even more. The strongest axis of lift is working Westward, so the next 24 hours shouldn't be quite as wet in most locations, but chances for rain increase going into Wednesday. Sun poked through here a good bit this afternoon - made it up to 84. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted July 24, 2018 Share Posted July 24, 2018 1 hour ago, bluewave said: I will take the high humidity over this kind of heat any day of the week. Another summer month here were the dew points are more impressive than the high temperatures. 5:03 pm: Waco has reached 114 degrees and broken its ALL TIME record high temperature of 112 set on August 11, 1969. #ctxwx #txwx 3:03 PM - 23 Jul 2018 Japan broke their record. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BucksCO_PA Posted July 24, 2018 Share Posted July 24, 2018 51 minutes ago, bluewave said: The worst I ever experienced was the 100/75/113HX in LB on 7-5-99. https://english.wunderground.com/history/airport/KJFK/1999/7/5/DailyHistory.html for metro Philly you have July 15th 1995 & then there's everything else, one of those events you'll never forget a couple clips NCDC storm events database "An oppressive heat wave gripped most of Eastern Pennsylvania. It climaxed on the 15th as almost every location reported record breaking heat. The dew point temperatures, reached into the 80s across southern Pennsylvania that day, an almost unheard of phenomena. This, combing with sweltering temperatures produced an apparent temperature of 129 degrees in Philadelphia." "Record breaking high temperatures on the 15th included 104F in Lancaster, 103F in Philadelphia (The highest in 29 years.) and Williamsport, 101F in Selinsgrove, 100F in Avoca, 99F in Harrisburg and 98F in Allentown." 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Will - Rutgers Posted July 24, 2018 Share Posted July 24, 2018 I'm pretty skeptical for heavy rains developing tonight east of that axis of precip in PA. Looks like some fairly significant dry air is backing up into us from the east. GOES 16 is an absolute trip, watching that cold front dig into the GOM is awesome. Those thunderstorms in southern LA have been screaming all day. It must be like 4"/hour rain under those cells, lol. And tons of lightning. Look at that moisture fetch running up the eastern seaboard. https://imgur.com/a/fwvO9kt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted July 24, 2018 Share Posted July 24, 2018 July 15th 1995 I was dreaming about snow falling just before I woke up that morning...I'd say it was a good omen...July 2018 already has over 7" of rainfall in Central Park...The summer has over 9" so far...from 1870 to 1969 NYC averaged 11.9" of rainfall for the summer...since 1970 the average is up 10% to 13.3"... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted July 24, 2018 Share Posted July 24, 2018 3 hours ago, Rtd208 said: Day 3 Excessive Rainfall Outlook Should be an interesting day with the focus shifting east again, not that PA will escape more rounds of hvy rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted July 24, 2018 Share Posted July 24, 2018 18 minutes ago, Will - Rutgers said: I'm pretty skeptical for heavy rains developing tonight east of that axis of precip in PA. Looks like some fairly significant dry air is backing up into us from the east. GOES 16 is an absolute trip, watching that cold front dig into the GOM is awesome. Those thunderstorms in southern LA have been screaming all day. It must be like 4"/hour rain under those cells, lol. And tons of lightning. Look at that moisture fetch running up the eastern seaboard. https://imgur.com/a/fwvO9kt It’s not expected to really get going here till tomorrow afternoon. The RGEM has widespread 2” of rain here tomorrow night alone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted July 24, 2018 Share Posted July 24, 2018 2 hours ago, bluewave said: The worst I ever experienced was the 100/75/113HX in LB on 7-5-99. https://english.wunderground.com/history/airport/KJFK/1999/7/5/DailyHistory.html I had upper 90s and upper 70s dew few weeks ago in the heat wave upstate in Lake George HX was around 118 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxnyc Posted July 24, 2018 Share Posted July 24, 2018 1 hour ago, SnoSki14 said: Should be an interesting day with the focus shifting east again, not that PA will escape more rounds of hvy rain. I usually post from Brooklyn, but up here in my summer home in The Catskills, Woodbourne, NY to be more exact. The Catskills do very well ( unfortunately) with that firehose kind of setup. Anyway so Saturday night and Sunday we were ok with on and off light to moderate rain with 1.21 inches. That changed overnight , we picked up a whopping 4.67 inches most of is falling in 2-3 hours early this morning. With close to 6 inches in the last 36 hours , any additional rain and lots of it are expected ,we can be looking at serious floods up here. The Neversink River is very muddy and has been raging all day , the neversink reservoir which is 2-3 miles northwest of us is close to its floodgates ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted July 24, 2018 Share Posted July 24, 2018 Have had intermittent downpours here for the last 36 hours. 30 seconds of pouring rain, then it stops and 15 minutes later again. Very squally. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted July 24, 2018 Author Share Posted July 24, 2018 Current temp 77/DP 73/RH 88% Picked up 0.29" of rain for the day. 3 day rainfall total 1.35" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted July 24, 2018 Share Posted July 24, 2018 Next 8 days averaging 78degs., or 2degs. AN. Month to date is +1.6. Should end July near +1.8. RWTT is HHH as I warned previously for August. No BN period shown for 5 weeks and our 500mbs. are the most AN for the whole country. Let's go for an 80 degree average August. lol. JB where are you? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim Posted July 24, 2018 Share Posted July 24, 2018 14 hours ago, forkyfork said: starting to think we haven't seen the worst of the WAR yet. the signal for late next week and beyond looks strong on the EPS and GFES ..LC agrees with you..thinks the WAR builds westward late next week and we are back to H-H-H. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted July 24, 2018 Share Posted July 24, 2018 7 hours ago, NJwx85 said: Have had intermittent downpours here for the last 36 hours. 30 seconds of pouring rain, then it stops and 15 minutes later again. Very squally. For me that's been the worst part of this whole event. I don't mind a concentrated wet period so much but the random aspect of this has been demoralizing. You can't do anything outside because all of a sudden it gets wet. That rain plume running up the Thruway corridor this morning looks like a real soaker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now