bluewave Posted July 17, 2018 Share Posted July 17, 2018 Another day with 75 degree dewpoints. Marine layer showing up out in Suffolk. Shirley CLOUDY 76 75 97 S12G18 http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/GOES_NE/loop60.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted July 17, 2018 Share Posted July 17, 2018 Made it to 93° here yesterday...only got down to 75° this am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted July 17, 2018 Author Share Posted July 17, 2018 Current temp 80/DP 74/RH 79% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Big Jims Videos Posted July 17, 2018 Share Posted July 17, 2018 I am on the boardwalk in Seaside Heights current temperature 80 dewpoint 74. Jeans shirt and tie completely inappropriate for this tropical soup lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted July 17, 2018 Share Posted July 17, 2018 78/75 here. I’m hoping that slight risk isn’t a kiss of death, as it normally is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 17, 2018 Share Posted July 17, 2018 models incredibly wet for this weekend and beyond... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 17, 2018 Share Posted July 17, 2018 Filtered sun now in SW Suffolk as the marine layer is getting thicker. You can see it along the NJ shore right across LI to CC. http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/GOES_NE/loop60.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 17, 2018 Share Posted July 17, 2018 http://synoptic.envsci.rutgers.edu/site/imgs/vis_nj_anim.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted July 17, 2018 Share Posted July 17, 2018 The flood threat will be the biggest story although CAPE is already near 2500 in NJ. Shear however will remain modest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mancave25 Posted July 17, 2018 Share Posted July 17, 2018 I can't believe that the week I take off for vac. Is when its going to rain everything day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JustinRP37 Posted July 17, 2018 Share Posted July 17, 2018 35 minutes ago, Mancave25 said: I can't believe that the week I take off for vac. Is when its going to rain everything day Guess we know who to blame then! But I don't think it will be a 'spring' type rain where it is drizzly all day. It looks to me like very humid conditions with downpours. Not a great week, but could be better for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 17, 2018 Share Posted July 17, 2018 Just hit 90 here - many sites ( not the park) should get another 90 before mostly cloudy conditions / storms arrive between 2 and 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted July 17, 2018 Share Posted July 17, 2018 Barely touching 80 here underneath this cloud cover, hope this doesn’t put a damper on the storm potential here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 17, 2018 Share Posted July 17, 2018 77 now along the South Shore as the marine layer is keeping the temperatures more comfortable today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dWave Posted July 17, 2018 Share Posted July 17, 2018 88/76 HI 99 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted July 17, 2018 Share Posted July 17, 2018 82/76, socked in with marine layer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 17, 2018 Share Posted July 17, 2018 no marine layer here-close to 90 already with a SW wind picking up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 17, 2018 Share Posted July 17, 2018 the latest HRRR actually has nothing for some areas John Homenuk @jhomenuk 6m6 minutes ago Intriguing interaction on the latest short term models in the Northeast - initial/currently ongoing convection weakens over E PA while new convection forms along moist axis (seabreeze enhancement?) in NJ. Scenario would spare NNJ/NYC from more intense storms. #njwx #nywx 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 17, 2018 Share Posted July 17, 2018 TStorm watch for northern CT and parts of the HV Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 17, 2018 Share Posted July 17, 2018 storms firing along the NJ coast and SW CT near Stamford already Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted July 17, 2018 Author Share Posted July 17, 2018 Current temp 91/DP 75/RH 60% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted July 17, 2018 Author Share Posted July 17, 2018 27 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: the latest HRRR actually has nothing for some areas John Homenuk @jhomenuk 6m6 minutes ago Intriguing interaction on the latest short term models in the Northeast - initial/currently ongoing convection weakens over E PA while new convection forms along moist axis (seabreeze enhancement?) in NJ. Scenario would spare NNJ/NYC from more intense storms. #njwx #nywx While the HRRR is to much of an erratic model in my opinion with known large run to run swings but if Earthlight is posting that it is probably something we should keep an eye on and wouldn't be all that surprised if it did or didn't happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted July 17, 2018 Share Posted July 17, 2018 About to get rocked up here by the Southern end of that line currently moving through Sussex County. Meanwhile from this morning... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 17, 2018 Share Posted July 17, 2018 5 minutes ago, Rtd208 said: While the HRRR is to much of an erratic model in my opinion with known large run to run swings but if Earthlight is posting that it is probably something we should keep an eye on and wouldn't be all that surprised if it did or didn't happen. I think he was just putting it out there, guess we'll see. The new hrrr already looks a bit different Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted July 17, 2018 Author Share Posted July 17, 2018 The radar looks to be lighting up pretty good now, alot of rain/storms developing. It should be a very active afternoon and evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted July 17, 2018 Share Posted July 17, 2018 I see what the HRRR was trying to do with the two seperate lines idea, however the Northern portion didn't weaken in E PA. Whatever screw zone sets up looks to be small. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted July 17, 2018 Author Share Posted July 17, 2018 Temp up to 92 here now. Another day of 90 or above in the books. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted July 17, 2018 Share Posted July 17, 2018 3 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: I see what the HRRR was trying to do with the two seperate lines idea, however the Northern portion didn't weaken in E PA. Whatever screw zone sets up looks to be small. most likely eastern nassau and western suffolk counties, usually how it goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gravity Wave Posted July 17, 2018 Share Posted July 17, 2018 HRRR initialization has been consistently wrong, I'm not buying it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted July 17, 2018 Share Posted July 17, 2018 8 minutes ago, psv88 said: most likely eastern nassau and western suffolk counties, usually how it goes That might be too pessimistic. Nice to see an instability JP right over most of interior C NJ and Eastern portions of the LHV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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