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Rtd208

June 2018 Discussions & Observations Thread

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0z EPS and GEFS came in even stronger with the ridge. Probabilities increasing for a 594+ dam heat dome for the start of July.

eps_z500_5940_conus_264.thumb.png.cfee41fad17a7fb92554626e5bc994c4.png

 

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51 minutes ago, bluewave said:

0z EPS and GEFS came in even stronger with the ridge. Probabilities increasing for a 594+ dam heat dome for the start of July.

It's been a long time since we've seen that type of ridge to start July. The fact that models keep showing a stronger ridge as we get closer should be alarming.

That's no typical July heat. 

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21 minutes ago, bluewave said:

The 0z GFS looks like it was going for some dry condition heat enhancement focused over New England. Somebody could hit 100 in the Northeast if this lives up to its full potential. 

It certainly looks like we will see at least a 5 day period with temps in the 90's and possibly approaching 100 on a couple of those days. Hot hot hot.

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11 minutes ago, Rtd208 said:

It certainly looks like we will see at least a 5 day period with temps in the 90's and possibly approaching 100 on a couple of those days. Hot hot hot.

Certainly looks impressive from this far out...meanwhile, only rain here so far was the 0.18" that fell before  midnight.

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1 hour ago, SnoSki14 said:

It's been a long time since we've seen that type of ridge to start July. The fact that models keep showing a stronger ridge as we get closer should be alarming.

That's no typical July heat. 

We are we thinking for next weekend mid 90s?

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33 minutes ago, qg_omega said:

We are we thinking for next weekend mid 90s?

Probably upper 90s, if the 594-597 dm ridge is correct then some places will hit 100-102 especially towards New England. 

Need to see if we can get a 600 dm ridge to form, that'll make it more likely for us to hit triple digits.

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2 hours ago, Brian5671 said:

Looks like a bust on the widespread showers today-radar pretty empty...

It now looks to me as if we have a better chance of seeing scattered heavy t-storms tomorrow in the warmer air as the front approaches. Today looks more isolated. I know that's the opposite of what forecasts are showing right now.

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17 minutes ago, winterwx21 said:

It now looks to me as if we have a better chance of seeing scattered heavy t-storms tomorrow in the warmer air as the front approaches. Today looks more isolated. I know that's the opposite of what forecasts are showing right now.

The nam is showing that now, mostly dry today but fairly wet tomorrow afternoon and evening

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47 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

The nam is showing that now, mostly dry today but fairly wet tomorrow afternoon and evening

That would suck, it's such a dreary chilly day today anyway, it might as well rain.  The weekend hopes hinge on tomorrow weather wise.

 

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55 minutes ago, dWave said:

That would suck, it's such a dreary chilly day today anyway, it might as well rain.  The weekend hopes hinge on tomorrow weather wise.

 

I doubt its a washout or anything since its going to be a pretty hot day. Maybe we get late day storms 

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If models continue so strong with the ridge for the start of July, then the best heat may pass north of us like the 12z Euro shows. It would be a version of what happened this week when Albany beat Newark.

IMG_0161.thumb.PNG.844946295e5cc0ed1bc0692f761c023f.PNG

 

 

 

 

 

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