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CT Rain

May 15 2018 Severe Threat SNE

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BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Albany NY
248 PM EDT TUE MAY 15 2018

The National Weather Service in Albany has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
  Central Ulster County in east central New York...

* Until 330 PM EDT.

* At 247 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
  was located over Parksville, or near Liberty, moving east at 45
  mph.

  HAZARD...Tornado and tennis ball size hail.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

  IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
           shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed.
           Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree
           damage is likely.

* This dangerous storm will be near...
  Ellenville and Napanoch around 315 PM EDT.
  Kerhonkson around 320 PM EDT.
  Olivebridge around 325 PM EDT.
  New Paltz, High Falls and Tillson around 330 PM EDT.

Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include
Cherrytown, Rolling Meadows, Rosendale, Maple Hill, Forest Glen,
Palentown, Atwood, Pacama, Brodhead and Liebhardt.

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evere Weather Statement
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
248 PM EDT TUE MAY 15 2018

NYC025-105-151915-
/O.CON.KBGM.SV.W.0016.000000T0000Z-180515T1915Z/
Delaware NY-Sullivan NY-
248 PM EDT TUE MAY 15 2018

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 315 PM EDT
FOR SOUTH CENTRAL DELAWARE AND NORTHERN SULLIVAN COUNTIES...

At 247 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Livingston
Manor, or near Liberty, moving east at 45 mph.

This is a very dangerous storm.

HAZARD...80 mph wind gusts and tennis ball size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
         shelter. Mobile homes will be heavily damaged. Expect
         considerable damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles.
         Extensive tree damage and power outages are likely.

Locations impacted include...
Rockland, Liberty, Neversink, White Sulphur Springs, Parksville,
Hazel, Livingston Manor, Grahamsville, Willowemoc and Roscoe.

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One could go to NE CT and just camp it and wait for it to come to poppa ...  I don't what's the topography even like there/ Is it very hilly ?

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Damn, 2.75" hail reported by trained spotter near Clermont NY

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Just now, Whineminster said:

Should I hike up wachusett? Or will I miss the action if I summit around 4:30?

Is there a place to go in case of severe?

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Just now, Whineminster said:

Should I hike up wachusett? Or will I miss the action if I summit around 4:30?

I wouldn't suggest being on top of a mountain with no shelter as a severe t-storm comes through, but that's just me.

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1 minute ago, bobbutts said:

I wouldn't suggest being on top of a mountain with no shelter as a severe t-storm comes through, but that's just me.

I'm really tempted to head to the top of Mt. Tom right about now.

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I can hide under the deck of the skier offloading area at the summit.  I can run down it in 15 minutes to my car though.  Basically I just want to see the anvils as they come in, catch some sick C to Gs while having a Wally, then scurry down before they blow through. 

5 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

Is there a place to go in case of severe?

 

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6 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

One could go to NE CT and just camp it and wait for it to come to poppa ...  I don't what's the topography even like there/ Is it very hilly ?

I recommend Dresser Hill in Charlton if anyone is gonna chase, (RT 31) at the farm stand....great views south and west from there. 

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Just now, Hoth said:

Just classic supercell heading towards NW CT. If it's not putting one down, not that far off.

Well organized on velocity too. Would say there is a substantial tornado threat with that one. 

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Big chance the tornado watch swallows Rhode Island and the 95 corridor in eastern MA?

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9 minutes ago, Modfan said:

I recommend Dresser Hill in Charlton if anyone is gonna chase, (RT 31) at the farm stand....great views south and west from there. 

Dresser Hill is awesome for vantage points.

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16 minutes ago, bobbutts said:

Damn, 2.75" hail reported by trained spotter near Clermont NY

That's nuts!  Hopefully some pics come out.

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The cell in Franklin Co once again fell apart as it approached the river.  0-2 on severe so far today.  Fine with me.  Couple of CG and some rumbles.

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2.00" hail also reported in Columbia County.

Edit that paste didn't work well.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 309 PM EDT TUE MAY 15 2018 ..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS.. 0300 PM HAIL 4 SE LIVINGSTON 42.09N 73.71W 05/15/2018 M2.00 INCH COLUMBIA NY SOCIAL MEDIA &&

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4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Cool TBSS and hail spikes from OKX radar.

I mean 65 dBZ to 33 kft is completely supportive of baseballs. No slant sticking there.

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I also love GOES-16. When you loop the meso-sector you can actually see the flanking line rotating. The Cu forms and moves north, then "rolls over" to the east.

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I can't remember if I said it this morning or not, but all this action is on the OFB from morning convection. That sort of reinforced the already present warm front. 

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