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May 15 2018 Severe Threat SNE


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Clearing out nicely in the Southern half of VT and NH now.  If I were the SPC perhaps I would have bumped this afternoon threat a bit more north as it is now clearing off nicely even up here.

I'm going to guess they will issue a tornado watch for areas east of the new Severe Thunderstorm Watch.

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3 minutes ago, Yester said:

Question to you folks: I am a bit of a weather-phobe. Sitting here in the middle of RI. Changes that any of this craziness really moves east? Mostly the tornado stuff, I mean.

The line of thunderstorms would be coming through the RI around 6pm.   They should start to weaken as they move SE through the state.  Best chance of severe would be in Connecticut and Mass. 

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4 minutes ago, Yester said:

Question to you folks: I am a bit of a weather-phobe. Sitting here in the middle of RI. Changes that any of this craziness really moves east? Mostly the tornado stuff, I mean.

You should be fine there. Storms definitely possible, but much lower tornado threat.

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URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   Tornado Watch Number 94
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   105 PM EDT Tue May 15 2018

   The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

   * Tornado Watch for portions of 
     Western Connecticut
     Western Massachusetts
     Southern and eastern New York
     Northeast Pennsylvania
     Southern Vermont

   * Effective this Tuesday afternoon and evening from 105 PM until
     800 PM EDT.

   * Primary threats include...
     A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
     Widespread damaging winds expected with isolated significant
       gusts to 80 mph likely
     Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
       to 2.5 inches in diameter possible

   SUMMARY...A line of severe storms will progress rapidly east from
   central Pennsylvania with additional cells developing ahead of it
   across the Hudson Valley vicinity. This activity will pose a risk
   for a few tornadoes along with widespread damaging winds.

   The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles
   north and south of a line from 30 miles south of Binghamton NY to 20
   miles east northeast of Pittsfield MA. For a complete depiction of
   the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
   WOU4).
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Kind of interesting with the placement of this new tornado watch relative to the risk zones.  Tornado Watch is a bit north of where I thought it would be.  Even into S VT in areas SW of me that are were marginal.  Makes sense with the solar insulation blasting away up here.  Didn't think I would break out into the mostly sunny skies.

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Lucky I am in Northern VT. It’s someone else’s turn to have their lawn ripped up (just kidding). With my luck a tornado would tear its way up to my lawn and rip out all of the landscaping progess I have made since those microbursts in the winter. Stay safe everyone and remember to bring all pets as well as children and any family indoors. Anyone who says the weather is boring during spring/summer is wrong and today is there to prove it!

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3 minutes ago, Weatherexpert said:

Lucky I am in Northern VT. It’s someone else’s turn to have their lawn ripped up (just kidding). With my luck a tornado would tear its way up to my lawn and rip out all of the landscaping progess I have made since those microbursts in the winter. Stay safe everyone and remember to bring all pets as well as children and any family indoors. Anyone who says the weather is boring during spring/summer is wrong and today is there to prove it!

This still could be pretty boring for most

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