weatherwiz Posted June 23, 2018 Author Share Posted June 23, 2018 Quite a bit of MUCape later on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormSurge Posted June 24, 2018 Share Posted June 24, 2018 No sunrise surprise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 24, 2018 Share Posted June 24, 2018 It's marginally unstable around the region today... The satellite imagery demos the thinness of this strata-type cloud ceiling. It's unzipping and sky-lights are taking over. It won't take a lot of solar heating to get some bubblet turrets ...and shortly after that, some TCU crispies. The NAM (fwiw-) has some nine or so hours of persistent instability -related QPF pulsing about the region later in the afternoon and through the evening hours. This type of convection is more conducive to gully rivers and one or two close CG bombs... with ongoing grumbling from three towns away type antics. We need the rain ...I guess ... so this is beneficial. Could be some cool looking CB scapes .. That's what today looks like to me... I think Wednesday later afternoon and evening is interestingly similar to last week's set up... More of a "threat" (if we want to give it that) for PA/NY but... I could see some of that spilling through the area given to the speed of that open wave and typically, those move up in time as correction. After that... ? If things go according to plan... we suffer multiple days of 6,000 CAPE and nary a cumulus under very intense mid level warming in the troposphere.. Ha, the deviant in me has wondered (if not fantasized) in the past - can you imagine taking the atmosphere oh say...next Sunday, the bottom like mile and half of depth if by hundred miles or so .... Essentially, rectangular block of it, and releasing instantly at the bottom at the bottom of the atmosphere over the Antarctic ice cap? that'd be awesome... Recently scientists published in Nature Geoscience, as theorized reason why Venus' rotation rate, albeit slow ...varies by 7 hours annually, as being caused by the vagaries of the meteorology/atmosphere on that planet. I wonder if something similar would happen here - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted June 24, 2018 Share Posted June 24, 2018 9 hours ago, StormSurge said: No sunrise surprise. Thank heaven! Rehearsal dinner and outdoor wedding went off without a hitch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted June 24, 2018 Share Posted June 24, 2018 Had a good amount of rain here.. the grass is happy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted June 24, 2018 Share Posted June 24, 2018 A tropical downpour on the way. It looked to lose steam once it hit the 495 forcefield. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 24, 2018 Share Posted June 24, 2018 Scooter getting crushed in S Wey Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted June 25, 2018 Share Posted June 25, 2018 Can't sleep. Just noticed bright flash. Looked at radar. Interesting. Probably more severe than last week's Bs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JustinWX Posted June 25, 2018 Share Posted June 25, 2018 Rotation heading toward Bos? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted June 25, 2018 Share Posted June 25, 2018 Rotation, a ton of lightning, also some straight line wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted June 25, 2018 Share Posted June 25, 2018 Just now, JustinWX said: Rotation heading toward Bos? Looks to be a broad meso with a bit of rotation but still.. For BOS at 1:30.. Not too shabby Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted June 25, 2018 Share Posted June 25, 2018 Looks like it's coming for me and Logan. Wonder what it will register at airport. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted June 25, 2018 Share Posted June 25, 2018 Looks damn cool too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JustinWX Posted June 25, 2018 Share Posted June 25, 2018 Wow...it seems to be heading directly toward you...should be a fun 60 mins ahead Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted June 25, 2018 Share Posted June 25, 2018 Took a really hard turn to the east. I may miss out completely here. Probably just rain. Luckily it's probably not much of anything crazy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted June 25, 2018 Share Posted June 25, 2018 1 minute ago, sbos_wx said: Took a really hard turn to the east. I may miss out completely here. Probably just rain. Luckily it's probably not much of anything crazy Definitely weakening. Maybe someone gets a down burst nw of BOS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JustinWX Posted June 25, 2018 Share Posted June 25, 2018 Looks like it's a bookend vortex...had a little line segment that bowed,,,and this little spinup on the north side is from the speed shear Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted June 25, 2018 Share Posted June 25, 2018 2 minutes ago, JustinWX said: Looks like it's a bookend vortex...had a little line segment that bowed,,,and this little spinup on the north side is from the speed shear Yup a mini one. In the middle of the night. Weirdness. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted June 25, 2018 Share Posted June 25, 2018 Prob 30s wind gusts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 25, 2018 Share Posted June 25, 2018 last page Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted June 26, 2018 Share Posted June 26, 2018 Man I've been crazy busy didn't get a chance to post but man was than an impressive storm/monsoon here in Enfield on Sunday. Wife got caught in nasty flash flooding near the mall, water way up near the top of the tires. She got home with blinking lights that shut off and than went back on by themselves due to water getting into the electrical which drained and killed the battery. Drought busting rains around here for sure. I'm sure the heat will do a number on the lawns again by this time next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted June 26, 2018 Share Posted June 26, 2018 Well modeling definitely coming into agreement on the release of an EML plume for the coming weekend, but unfortunately for severe weenies heights are also rising through the weekend. So Kevin gets his HHH. Maybe the best shot at storms comes as that air mass tries to move into the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted June 26, 2018 Author Share Posted June 26, 2018 14 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: Well modeling definitely coming into agreement on the release of an EML plume for the coming weekend, but unfortunately for severe weenies heights are also rising through the weekend. So Kevin gets his HHH. Maybe the best shot at storms comes as that air mass tries to move into the area. I was checking to see if we would have a shot at some fun with the warm front but I wasn't overly impressed. Sometimes when we get those secondary warm fronts to push through (the ones that really bring in the HHH) they can be active but it's a bit rare. I remember one event in the late 90's or so where we had supercells in CT like early afternoon in association with the warm front. I wish I remembered the date but it was sometime in late June or July b/c I remember being out of school. I don't remember the day of the week either :/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted June 26, 2018 Author Share Posted June 26, 2018 Actually I wonder if there is some room late tomorrow evening for some activity? EDIT: Oops..was looking at the wrong day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted June 26, 2018 Author Share Posted June 26, 2018 Does look like there could be a chance for some elevated convection tomorrow night and if we can get enough breaks of sun Thursday maybe a few decent localized storms. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 26, 2018 Share Posted June 26, 2018 NAM pounds the region with QPF over 12 or so hours ... having LI's well below 0 the whole time on S backed winds... Progressive 500 mb S/W over top, too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted June 26, 2018 Share Posted June 26, 2018 Sunrise Surprise setup Thursday morning - maybe lingering into midday? Strong veering in low levels with decent flow and some surface based CAPE. Seems like a conditional tornado/severe threat with low CAPE/high shear setup. 0-1km shear over 25 knots which is respectable... especially with low LCLs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 26, 2018 Share Posted June 26, 2018 11 minutes ago, CT Rain said: Sunrise Surprise setup Thursday morning - maybe lingering into midday? Strong veering in low levels with decent flow and some surface based CAPE. Seems like a conditional tornado/severe threat with low CAPE/high shear setup. 0-1km shear over 25 knots which is respectable... especially with low LCLs. Long Island or SNE? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted June 26, 2018 Share Posted June 26, 2018 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Long Island or SNE? Both I mean it's certainly a low probability event but that low level shear look with a warm front coming across is worth watching. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 27, 2018 Share Posted June 27, 2018 16 hours ago, CT Rain said: Both I mean it's certainly a low probability event but that low level shear look with a warm front coming across is worth watching. I was thinking about the timing being off... But I was also wondering if this may have a bit of an low LCL assist type set up... ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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