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General Severe Weather Discussion 2018


weatherwiz
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2 minutes ago, OceanStWx said:

Bit of an uncapped mess right now.

Nose of the LLJ is firing off cells everywhere, so really a heavy rain MCS now. 

The LLJ starts to veer after midnight, so the focus will start to drop S into SNE. 

Do you think there could be a secondary window for potential severe? Some of the guidance the last few days has given some hints that that but not really sure I totally buy it. Some models give a little instability boost after 4z can’t see that happening 

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1 minute ago, weatherwiz said:

Do you think there could be a secondary window for potential severe? Some of the guidance the last few days has given some hints that that but not really sure I totally buy it. Some models give a little instability boost after 4z can’t see that happening 

I'm seeing a lot of embedded mesos, so you can't rule out one of those forcing a wind gust to the surface. 

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