powderfreak Posted July 17, 2018 Share Posted July 17, 2018 34 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: But the PoP was spot on! It is only the probability of 0.01" in 12 hours after all (though that definition can be wildly different depending on how one builds their PoP grids). Ha true enough. Definitely forget that it's a hundredth in 12 hours. Speaking of grids, you know how you can toggle POP every hour... does that mean the same thing? Despite the POPS changing every hour, it's still a 12 hour probability? So like at 10am it's 80% but at 11am it's 100%... is that reading a 100% chance of measurable within 12 hours of 11am? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 17, 2018 Share Posted July 17, 2018 Friends reported damage on Ashford Rd with what looks like tornadic damage on Ashford Lake Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 17, 2018 Share Posted July 17, 2018 1.27 rain still steady rain, pool, garden lawn are all smiling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted July 17, 2018 Share Posted July 17, 2018 6 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Ha true enough. Definitely forget that it's a hundredth in 12 hours. Speaking of grids, you know how you can toggle POP every hour... does that mean the same thing? Despite the POPS changing every hour, it's still a 12 hour probability? So like at 10am it's 80% but at 11am it's 100%... is that reading a 100% chance of measurable within 12 hours of 11am? So we actually do hourly PoP through 60 hours, which is what you're seeing. That's what complicates the definition. So is it now an 80% chance this hour, or 80% chance cumulative in a moving window? I think we're trying to move more towards a PoP for the hour in question, but also have an eye on wording. Do we want that forecast to say scattered showers vs. widespread showers? Either way, the point and click will combine that all into a 12 hour PoP that takes the highest hourly PoP at each grid point (so: "Today: Mostly cloudy, 80% chance of showers"). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted July 17, 2018 Share Posted July 17, 2018 16 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: 1.04 . More than most of CT has had in a month except for one magical area . So I’ll take it Station down the street from me now at 2.22", so suck it: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KCTENFIE16&cm_ven=localwx_pwsdash Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 17, 2018 Share Posted July 17, 2018 24 minutes ago, sbos_wx said: Yawn It was. I hope I never hear thunder again as long as my yard gets water. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 17, 2018 Share Posted July 17, 2018 Tornado looking likely in Ashford after seeing pics but we await NWS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted July 17, 2018 Share Posted July 17, 2018 2.42" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom12309 Posted July 17, 2018 Share Posted July 17, 2018 I'm loving the measurements to the hundrethe there. Cheap cylindrical garden store gauge says an inch fell today here slightly NW of ALB. Judging from the size and color of the radar returns in comparison you guys to the east of us got smoked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted July 17, 2018 Share Posted July 17, 2018 Quick, heavy dumpers in these little quasi-training cells ahead of the front...2-3"/hr Davis rates despite 40dBZ reflectivities. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowderBeard Posted July 17, 2018 Share Posted July 17, 2018 Just hit 4" with this latest downpour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 17, 2018 Share Posted July 17, 2018 1 minute ago, PowderBeard said: Just hit 4" with this latest downpour. What town you at? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowderBeard Posted July 17, 2018 Share Posted July 17, 2018 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: What town you at? Belchertown Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 18, 2018 Share Posted July 18, 2018 12 minutes ago, PowderBeard said: Belchertown I’ll trade winter QPF for summer QPF but only to a point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 18, 2018 Author Share Posted July 18, 2018 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: I’ll trade winter QPF for summer QPF but only to a point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted July 18, 2018 Share Posted July 18, 2018 19 minutes ago, PowderBeard said: Belchertown Few streets from my work in Ludlow is showing 4.77 on wunderground and I believe it.. the rain was crazy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted July 18, 2018 Share Posted July 18, 2018 0.40". Nice little soaker. Drought wut? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted July 18, 2018 Share Posted July 18, 2018 2.47" here with the rain over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted July 18, 2018 Share Posted July 18, 2018 Nice downpour. Sloppy secondsSent from my Pixel 2 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted July 18, 2018 Share Posted July 18, 2018 34 minutes ago, Sugarloaf1989 said: 2.47" here with the rain over. Just a hair over 2" here. Thankfully pretty tame storms here as far as severe goes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted July 18, 2018 Share Posted July 18, 2018 Been sitting under those training cells the last 90 mins or so as the are slowly moving NE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted July 18, 2018 Share Posted July 18, 2018 Gotta love summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted July 18, 2018 Share Posted July 18, 2018 Been sitting under those training cells the last 90 mins or so as the are slowly moving NE Picked up 0.40" last 25'. Sent from my Pixel 2 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted July 18, 2018 Share Posted July 18, 2018 3 minutes ago, Lava Rock said: Picked up 0.40" last 25'. Sent from my Pixel 2 using Tapatalk Been 30+ dbz rates so it’s adding up, Will have to check the stratus in the morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted July 18, 2018 Share Posted July 18, 2018 About 1.5”. At least this will clear the mank out and drop the dust level a bit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted July 18, 2018 Share Posted July 18, 2018 A few rubles and some lightning in that line now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted July 18, 2018 Share Posted July 18, 2018 It's been what seems like an eternity since I posted last. Greetings, hoping all are in good spirit and health. The last three months I've been in/out of the hospital. Third time is the charm. I'll tell ya nursing is one of the most understated, unappreciated needed jobs in the world. I was there so long became friends with many on a first basis. Three surgeries a bypass and stent with my toes still in jeopardy of the knife, figure a new lease on life. Since moving here I've gone from 270 to my low of 150lbs. Pain is relative and only taking pain killers as needed. Opioids scare the ba-gee-bees out of me so I enrolled for cannabis (fingers crossed) no addiction and works better. From the news reports today I see many experienced some severe weather, clips of flooded streets and downed trees. I miss New England! The daily thunderstorms here compared to there frankly can't compare. I've had to reevaluate the meaning on severe. Torrential rain, visibilities to feet, down-bursts, outflow boundaries with (40-50mph) gusts just about everyday, 3-6pm like clockwork. It's the lightning that's truly unbelievable with earth-shaking window rattling booms, simultaneous flashes and crackling. Don't know about anyone else but.... BRING ON WINTER! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
w1pf Posted July 18, 2018 Share Posted July 18, 2018 3.14" net here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted July 18, 2018 Share Posted July 18, 2018 Been 30+ dbz rates so it’s adding up, Will have to check the stratus in the morning. Ended with 1.27". Happy with that. Lawn likes it.Sent from my Pixel 2 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted July 18, 2018 Share Posted July 18, 2018 8 hours ago, ROOSTA said: It's been what seems like an eternity since I posted last. Greetings, hoping all are in good spirit and health. The last three months I've been in/out of the hospital. Third time is the charm. I'll tell ya nursing is one of the most understated, unappreciated needed jobs in the world. I was there so long became friends with many on a first basis. Three surgeries a bypass and stent with my toes still in jeopardy of the knife, figure a new lease on life. Since moving here I've gone from 270 to my low of 150lbs. Pain is relative and only taking pain killers as needed. Opioids scare the ba-gee-bees out of me so I enrolled for cannabis (fingers crossed) no addiction and works better. From the news reports today I see many experienced some severe weather, clips of flooded streets and downed trees. I miss New England! The daily thunderstorms here compared to there frankly can't compare. I've had to reevaluate the meaning on severe. Torrential rain, visibilities to feet, down-bursts, outflow boundaries with (40-50mph) gusts just about everyday, 3-6pm like clockwork. It's the lightning that's truly unbelievable with earth-shaking window rattling booms, simultaneous flashes and crackling. Don't know about anyone else but.... BRING ON WINTER! Best of luck with your recovery, Roosta! My great uncles both had bypasses done last year and said they feel ten years younger now. Hope it works out as well for you. And, as you say, bring on winter! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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