Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,502
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    Weathernoob335
    Newest Member
    Weathernoob335
    Joined

May 2018 General Discussion


Recommended Posts

  • Replies 314
  • Created
  • Last Reply
Just now, Hoosier said:

HRRR not far behind.  Those models did better than others on some of the warm days so far, but we do have the added complication of how much cloud debris there will be.

I think HRRR is overmixing things a bit. We shall see though.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

On 5/7/2018 at 12:24 PM, Harry Perry said:

Nearing full-leafout in several spots in my area. I’d be willing to bet we’re at full bloom by the end of the week here. 

 

Forecast models have been playing catch-up in the last week. GFS, NAM, Euro and CFS all have tried holding the cold air over the Great Lakes through the long range, but every day is suppressing it further N/NE and as expected, latest runs keep increasing H8 and surface temps by a few degrees daily. Now, the cold air that was once progged to be over the Great Lake/NE is well into Canada and a much more late spring-early summer like pattern has filled its place. I’d expect our highs to be a little warmer than forecast each day (seems to be the case as of the late) - other than Thursday and Friday with the system/quasi stationary system moving in/taking shape.

 

 Will be interesting to see what happens in the coming days for later this week into the weekend with the southern stream inching northward. That’s a lot of heat and moisture inching into cooler and drier air. 

Now the models are showing miserable cold this weekend for the Great Lakes, while just barely south temps will be into the 90s. WTF is going on with this ****ed up pattern? It seems absolutely bizarre for there to be that much cold air still present this late in the season, and it also doesn't make sense that the cold pushes so far south.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

7 hours ago, Spring 2018 Is The Worst said:

Now the models are showing miserable cold this weekend for the Great Lakes, while just barely south temps will be into the 90s. WTF is going on with this ****ed up pattern? It seems absolutely bizarre for there to be that much cold air still present this late in the season, and it also doesn't make sense that the cold pushes so far south.

:arrowhead:

Where do you live?

At ORD, the normal high is still only around 68...so each day with a high temp near 80 (which we’ve seen a few of recently) is balanced out with a day that has a high temp in the mid 50s. 

If you’re near Lake Michigan, the normal highs are even lower. 

In the Upper Midwest, normal lows are still in the 30s.

It isn’t summer yet. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

5 hours ago, beavis1729 said:

:arrowhead:

Where do you live?

At ORD, the normal high is still only around 68...so each day with a high temp near 80 (which we’ve seen a few of recently) is balanced out with a day that has a high temp in the mid 50s. 

If you’re near Lake Michigan, the normal highs are even lower. 

In the Upper Midwest, normal lows are still in the 30s.

It isn’t summer yet. 

We had February weather in April. I think we all deserve a long period of summer warmth from May till October.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 hours ago, Spring 2018 Is The Worst said:

We had February weather in April. I think we all deserve a long period of summer warmth from May till October.

What you want compared to what is expected are two totally different things, and obviously unrealistic.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

15 hours ago, Spring 2018 Is The Worst said:

Why is the warm front progged to stall so far south this weekend? Seems kind of strange for that to be happening in Mid May. I don't understand why it can't lift farther north.

 

garbage spring.

I think you fail to realize May always features at least several "cold" days around here.

May days with high temps <60F at ORD the past several years...

2018: 0 Days

2017: 8 Days

2016: 7 Days

2015: 7 Days

2014: 7 Days

So we're due...

Link to comment
Share on other sites

21 hours ago, Hoosier said:

HRRR not far behind.  Those models did better than others on some of the warm days so far, but we do have the added complication of how much cloud debris there will be.

The HRRR/RAP have been pretty much aces on limited cloud cover/non-precip days, far outperforming other guidance.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Wow this place is dead. 

Finally had a little bit of rain this week with just over a half inch.  Hopefully it will spur then green up!  Very chilly tonight... have the wood stove going and the pellet stove down in the breezeway too.  Temp is already down to 32... still rogue patches of snow here and there.  I even made a snowball yesterday, but a far different story 28 years ago. I'd be down.

MQT:

On this day in weather history, a major late season snowstorm ends, leaving behind nearly 2 feet of snow in the high terrain of north central Upper Michigan.

32191234_2088869084476305_5276135858758483968_n.png.a9ff1135c93229fb8ba89cb7e7209057.png

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Weather next week looks nice with upper 70s/low 80s every day. Severe wx pattern thru early June leaves me slightly optimistic. Looks like we should have several waves move into the west at the least. Pattern early on could be hindered by ULL pestering over the gulf, but good luck getting any decent predictability on that feature this far out. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.

×
×
  • Create New...