Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,502
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    Weathernoob335
    Newest Member
    Weathernoob335
    Joined

summer analogs if an el nino develops...


uncle W

Recommended Posts

here are the top ten 2018 enso analogs for the summer in NYC if an el nino develops...no year hit 100...one year averaged 80 or higher for 30 consecutive days...average max was 95...one year was above average...the 10 summers average about one degree below average...

year.....June July Aug. ave temp...90+...max...warmest 30 days...

1951....69.8 76.8 74.5.....73.7.........7.......94..........77.0

1965....70.1 74.3 73.2.....72.5.......15.......95..........75.7

1968....69.7 77.3 76.0.....74.3.......17.......98..........77.8

1972....67.9 77.2 75.6.....73.6.......15.......94..........77.5

1976....73.2 74.8 74.3.....74.1.......15.......96..........75.8

1986....71.6 76.0 73.1.....73.6.......11.......98..........76.3

1997....70.9 75.8 73.3.....73.3.......12.......97..........77.8

2006....71.0 77.9 75.8.....74.9.........8.......97..........80.1

2009....67.5 72.7 75.7.....72.0.........7.......92..........76.8

2014....72.5 76.1 74.5.....74.3.........8.......92..........76.6

ave.....70.4 75.9 74.6....73.7......12......95.........77.1

1981-

2010..71.8 76.8 75.8....74.8......17......96.........78.0

dev el summer.png

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • 2 weeks later...

It's developing as a west-based El Nino. 2000s have been much more common with this than the 1900s. 2002, 2004, 2009, 2015, all West-based. Also, only 2 years since 1997 were +NAO Apr 29 - May 16 and this year will be highest +NAO for that time. They were 2009, 2015, the 2 strongest El Nino's in that 21 year set. Something like 1/442

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...