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April 13 Severe Threat - TX, OK, LA, ARK, KS, MO, IA


OUGrad05

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3 minutes ago, jojo762 said:

Storm near Fort Smith Arkansas is VERY impressive on radar. Has that incredible/classic "Moore supercell" reflectivity presentation.

Moore? Lol. Man it really has been a long time since any of us have tracked a genuinely impressive tornadic supercell.

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Just now, Buckeye05 said:

Moore? Lol. Man it really has been a long time since any of us have tracked a genuinely impressive tornadic supercell.

I'm saying it has a classic look. Perhaps I shouldn't have used that analogy, since some people in here get really butt hurt real fast over semantics.

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...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM CDT FOR SOUTHERN
MADISON...NORTHWESTERN FRANKLIN...NORTHEASTERN CRAWFORD AND
SOUTHEASTERN WASHINGTON COUNTIES...
        
At 417 PM CDT, a confirmed tornado was located over Lake Fort Smith,
moving northeast at 45 mph.

HAZARD...Damaging tornado and half dollar size hail. 

SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado. 

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely. 

Locations in or near the path include...
Mountainburg...                   Elkins...
Winslow...                        Chester...
St. Paul...                       Wesley...
Saint Paul...                     Boston...
Pettigrew...                      Brentwood...
Japton...                         Lake Fort Smith...
Witter...                         Fern...
Goshen...                         Georgetown...
Bidville...                       Crosses...
Combs...                          Locke...

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3 minutes ago, Indystorm said:

300 m2/s2 heliciry in that part of AR......higher to the south as new storms will approach from the west/sw.  We're just getting started.

Yeah I would be watching all that stuff to the west which is all discrete moving into that favorable environment.

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2 minutes ago, Indystorm said:

300 m2/s2 heliciry in that part of AR......higher to the south as new storms will approach from the west/sw.  We're just getting started.

Things starting to look a lot more cellular along the entirety of the dryline from KS down into TX. Will be interesting to see how things evolve. A bit worried about the WAA crapvection that is developing and its thermodynamic impact...

 

 

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The current look over AR is rather concerning given the lack of overall convection and especially the lack of a linear mode. Low level wind fields are becoming extremely favorable for tornadoes at this point and that's only going to continue through 00z. That area near LZK has me concerned, once storms start emerging from the Ouachitas/Ozarks.

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