RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 deep thunder thigh kiss of death. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 7 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: I'm sure you'd make that trade again though....lol. Getting 30 inches while sacrificing a 8-12" event on Mar 21 and then a 4-6" fluff bomb on 4/2 that vaporizes in under 24h. This one def isn't dead yet though...I've been a skeptic on it, but that doesn't mean I think it can't happen. Absolutely. No complaints. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 5 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Don't forget Deep Thunder Will Has the deep thruster ever not been bullish? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 I’d keep an eye on Saturday still south of the pike. its close to a decent event on most models Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 7 minutes ago, dendrite said: Has the deep thruster ever not been bullish? I wouldn't know ask Brett Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 29 minutes ago, dendrite said: Has the deep thruster ever not been bullish? I recall someone saying it was based on the ARW. So, yeah, about that... Or maybe that was the other weenie model, the RPM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 There was that one storm a few years ago, it was modeled to be a weak anafrontal wave, and then like 48 hours it started this massive shift into becoming a full fledged coastal. I could theoretically see that happening here if we get some cyclogenesis going. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunderblizzard Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 Well... 18z NAM is nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 Oh NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 1 minute ago, JC-CT said: There was that one storm a few years ago, it was modeled to be a weak anafrontal wave, and then like 48 hours it started this massive shift into becoming a full fledged coastal. I could theoretically see that happening here if we get some cyclogenesis going. Yeah 2/5/16...ended up being a pretty big storm for some...with 10-12" amounts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 Just now, CoastalWx said: Oh NAM The jet says eff the caution flags and lands anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 NAM is a pretty big hit late Saturday... warning criteria south of pike... prob even north too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NewYorkweatherfan Posted April 4, 2018 Author Share Posted April 4, 2018 NAM’d Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 17 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: The jet says eff the caution flags and lands anyway. I hope I’m wrong, but not feeling it here for solid advisory or better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 Nice NAM run lets keep this regression to the mean stuff going Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 51 minutes ago, JC-CT said: There was that one storm a few years ago, it was modeled to be a weak anafrontal wave, and then like 48 hours it started this massive shift into becoming a full fledged coastal. I could theoretically see that happening here if we get some cyclogenesis going. 2/5/16 and ......1/30/18 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 I must say it’s surprising seeing the typical gung ho Mets calling this a miss. To me, this setup is an easy forecast with warnings to I-90. The only drawback I do see is time of day / sun angle. It’ll likely be a grasser, Tree toppler unless it can hold off till late day/ night . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I must say it’s surprising seeing the typical gung ho Mets calling this a miss. To me, this setup is an easy forecast with warnings to I-90. The only drawback I do see is time of day / sun angle. It’ll likely be a grasser, Tree toppler unless it can hold off till late day/ night . No happy hour gfs. I’m selling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 12 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: No happy hour gfs. I’m selling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 Don't forget the RPM at 72 hrs, all-in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 5 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: I may have to watch that. Good movie and even a weenie snow scene. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Briz600 Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 Looks like a decent setup. I am not sold on the Nam yet, however I can see this ticking north a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 19 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: No happy hour gfs. I’m selling. Seeing Will calling miss is a head scratcher. You I can see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 7 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Seeing Will calling miss is a head scratcher. You I can see Why? We both see similar flags. I’m not 100% miss, but I’m leaning minimal impact. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Briz600 Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Why? We both see similar flags. I’m not 100% miss, but I’m leaning minimal impact. What flags? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 How bout the scene from the movie “The Rock”. Where Nicholas Cage(Stanley Goodspeed) is holding/waving the Flares to let the fighter jets know they pulled it off....and not to bomb Alcatraz. That was pretty intense there too..maybe even more so than Diehard 2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 2 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: How bout the scene from the movie “The Rock”. Where Nicholas Cage(Stanley Goodspeed) is holding/waving the Flares to let the fighter jets know they pulled it off....and not to bomb Alcatraz. That was pretty intense there too..maybe even more so than Diehard 2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 14 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Why? We both see similar flags. I’m not 100% miss, but I’m leaning minimal impact. Well I haven’t seen anyone going crazy with huge impacts and heavy snow. It’s Napril and it may fall during some of the daylight. But seeing 4+ inches is certainly a very good chance on grass south of 90 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 Caution flags flying. Snowfizzle N of the Pike. Snowdiggity S. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 Icon bumped back NW some at 18z. That is a legit coastal on the icon... I’d take my chances with that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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