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April 7-8 2018 jinx


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6 minutes ago, NJwx85 said:

We get more snow here tomorrow morning than on Saturday.

Enough of a bump north though to keep hope alive that the seasonal north trend might continue. On the 6z NAM you had to go down to Ocean county to get into accumulating snow. 12z gets the edge of accumulating snow up close to NYC. Pretty good bump north.

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2 minutes ago, winterwx21 said:

Enough of a bump north though to keep hope alive that the seasonal north trend might continue. On the 6z NAM you had to go down to Ocean county to get into accumulating snow. 12z gets the edge of accumulating snow up close to NYC. Pretty good bump north.

True but also appears to be a much weaker system overall. Even area well south dont see much

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Enough of a bump north though to keep hope alive that the seasonal north trend might continue. On the 6z NAM you had to go down to Ocean county to get into accumulating snow. 12z gets the edge of accumulating snow up close to NYC. Pretty good bump north.
But what is coming north? Anafront snow? There is hardly even a wave along the front.....this is a completely different evolution and depiction than we saw 24 hours ago. Agree with NJ....more snow tomorrow. Maybe this bodes better for next week's threat somehow :-D
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31 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:
36 minutes ago, winterwx21 said:
Enough of a bump north though to keep hope alive that the seasonal north trend might continue. On the 6z NAM you had to go down to Ocean county to get into accumulating snow. 12z gets the edge of accumulating snow up close to NYC. Pretty good bump north.

But what is coming north? Anafront snow? There is hardly even a wave along the front.....this is a completely different evolution and depiction than we saw 24 hours ago. Agree with NJ....more snow tomorrow. Maybe this bodes better for next week's threat somehow :-D

yes, it has definitely changed.  Lighter precip amounts too-going to be difficult to accumulate much if that's the case with a daytime event and less than .50 of LE.

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58 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

This won’t really stick especially around the city unless the rates are moderate or better. A few tenths of an inch liquid over 9 or 12 hours won’t mean anything. Away from the city that could be an inch or two especially if it’s early morning. 

I'm satisfied we had our April snowstorm already lol and the most snow that's ever fallen here post equinox.  But if we dont get the Saturday storm (even DC looks like 1-3 inches now) there's a chance we could still get the Tuesday storm before we transition over to summer?

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7 minutes ago, Paragon said:

I'm satisfied we had our April snowstorm already lol and the most snow that's ever fallen here post equinox.  But if we dont get the Saturday storm (even DC looks like 1-3 inches now) there's a chance we could still get the Tuesday storm before we transition over to summer?

certainly possible as the cold is still impressive by then....

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21 minutes ago, Paragon said:

I'm satisfied we had our April snowstorm already lol and the most snow that's ever fallen here post equinox.  But if we dont get the Saturday storm (even DC looks like 1-3 inches now) there's a chance we could still get the Tuesday storm before we transition over to summer?

I had asked that question yesterday about the snowiest spring ever figuring we were close at 13.9 inches but Bluewave posted today we are in the number two spot with 14.5 being the record. With NYC being that close we have to go for it now, somehow some way. 

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4 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

would need to see a real model get on board...the GGEM has low verification scores.

Despite the low verification scores, there have been several snow events this season where the GGEM was the first model to pick up them. The model certainly is useful. Not that I'm high on the monday night threat.

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