mattie g Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 3 hours ago, Roger Smith said: Frankly, you're better off with a picturesque 2-4" than 6-10" if the trees are out, it will cut down on the tree damage and power cuts. I think it will be maybe 3-6" but that won't be too damaging if that's the total. Can recall a spring snowstorm in late April 1976 in Ontario after a warm spell that placed 8" of snow on almost fully leafed trees and it brought down large branches on mature maples and oaks. You don't need that. Good thing in that regard is that we haven’t leafed out at all yet. Even in DC itself were only seeing buds on most trees, with the early-flowering trees (Cherry, Bradford Pear) having their flowers on them. But this doesn’t really matter because it’s not as if we should expect more than conversational snow out of this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 4 minutes ago, C.A.P.E. said: I am for the most part. I mean, there is some potential there, but the way these types of events tend to evolve is the wrong way for our region. I need to be more serious with my posts- they are lacking this morning lol. My low interest in snow at this point is showing I guess. I really thought this event would work out for areas NW of the fall line, but I am not feeling it with the recent model trends. It looks like it is evolving into a weak wave that will just get shoved south by an unseasonably strong cold front. I never lose interest in snow but I have to admit this winter took a toll on me. Even with all the teases and near misses there was still plenty to track for going on 6 months now which is definitely a plus. What really drained me though is that there were some on here that really ruined the model thread and the board in general for a good part of the winter which is a big part of the enjoyment in tracking for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 Just now, showmethesnow said: I never lose interest in snow but I have to admit this winter took a toll on me. Even with all the teases and near misses there was still plenty to track for going on 6 months now which is definitely a plus. What really drained me though is that there were some on here that really ruined the model thread and the board in general for a good part of the winter which is a big part of the enjoyment in tracking for me. Its just that I am in full Spring mode now. This thing could still come back a bit I guess. Its never been a strong wave, but the front seems to push through more quickly now. I dont have time to do an analysis but one key with this is the timing/strength of the PV spokes rotating down. Maybe that has changed just enough on the latest runs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 We will not know the outcome until we see how far the front pushes south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 Fueling everyone else’s thinking here... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted April 5, 2018 Author Share Posted April 5, 2018 If this keeps up I may be heading back to the SoMD /Eastern Shore thread... and going into Witness Protection from the northern tier lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mordecai Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 NWS not buying the south trend? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 46 minutes ago, Snow88 said: The Ukie started the shift south at 12z yesterday Is this the NYC forum now? GTFOOH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 8 minutes ago, Mordecai said: NWS not buying the south trend? Looks like the same map that failed from a few days ago. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowLover22 Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 Who would have thought what the models had 5 or 6 days ago was correct remember 5 or 6 days ago the models were also suppressed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 6 minutes ago, Philadelphia Snow said: Who would have thought what the models had 5 or 6 days ago was correct remember 5 or 6 days ago the models were also suppressed. Who would think that 2 days out that the models have arrived at the final solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowLover22 Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 3 minutes ago, smokeybandit said: Who would think that 2 days out that the models have arrived at the final solution. True but current trends are not good. For this to work out I would think the south trend would need to stop now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 1 minute ago, Philadelphia Snow said: True but current trends are not good. For this would work out I would think the south trend would need to stop now. What trend? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 RIC needs more snow. Lets let them have this one, guys Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 Didn’t see it posted earlier but 3k is tasty, unless you’re #fringed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 26 minutes ago, PrinceFrederickWx said: If this keeps up I may be heading back to the SoMD /Eastern Shore thread... and going into Witness Protection from the northern tier lol I doubt you need to do that. Some of us can handle being missed than others. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 Just now, NorthArlington101 said: Didn’t see it posted earlier but 3k is tasty, unless your #fringed For ferrier that's pretty sweet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 I'm always south fringed. i don't know how to handle north fringed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 We all know models always over do the push of cold air... lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 1 hour ago, Snow88 said: The Ukie started the shift south at 12z yesterday You never have anything good to say. You only pop in when it's bad to tell us how bad it is. And you're useless because there are numerous better smarter posters than you in this region already. So go crawl back under your smelly sh!tyy NYC bridge and troll in your own damn forum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 I'm not worried. By the end of today the models will go back north and we will be saying congrats Albany. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quasievil Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 48 minutes ago, showmethesnow said: I never lose interest in snow but I have to admit this winter took a toll on me. Even with all the teases and near misses there was still plenty to track for going on 6 months now which is definitely a plus. What really drained me though is that there were some on here that really ruined the model thread and the board in general for a good part of the winter which is a big part of the enjoyment in tracking for me. I agree here. Some really bad flip flopping analysis this year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 24 minutes ago, Scraff said: Looks like the same map that failed from a few days ago. lol Maybe if they keep rolling it out eventually it will verify. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 I couldn't care less whether it actually snows or not on Saturday. I'm only interested insofar as I need to be the jackpot - whether that's 1" or 10". It's it's nothing anywhere, then that's fine, too. #honestyisthebestpolicy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 6 minutes ago, H2O said: I'm not worried. By the end of today the models will go back north and we will be saying congrats Albany. you're going to start a riot if you are not careful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted April 5, 2018 Author Share Posted April 5, 2018 16 minutes ago, mappy said: I doubt you need to do that. Some of us can handle being missed than others. The Winchester people have had a contract on me for the last two years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 13 minutes ago, mappy said: you're going to start a riot if you are not careful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 It's not as cold here as originally forecasted fyi Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 What trend?Exactly Randy. People need to give it til 18z imo to call it an actual trend. Might just be the usual overcorrection or hiccup suite we see when energy jumps onshore out West. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 5 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: 38 minutes ago, stormtracker said: What trend? Exactly Randy. People need to give it til 18z imo to call it an actual trend. Might just be the usual overcorrection or hiccup suite we see when energy jumps onshore out West. Look at total precip on the last 3 runs of the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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