lakeeffectkid383 Posted April 14, 2018 Share Posted April 14, 2018 Down to 34 here. Down 5 degrees since 8am. Td down to 32. Winds from the ENE at 17mph gusting to 29. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted April 14, 2018 Share Posted April 14, 2018 Near surface freezing line is dropping south nicely. Lets see if it gets hung up on lake Ontario for a bit. http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/new/viewsector.php?sector=16# Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted April 14, 2018 Share Posted April 14, 2018 15 minutes ago, DeltaT13 said: Near surface freezing line is dropping south nicely. Lets see if it gets hung up on lake Ontario for a bit. http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/new/viewsector.php?sector=16# Weather Underground obs along the lake shore all show big drops in DP over the past couple hours...down to mid-upper 20s. Temps in mid-30s and dropping slowly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted April 14, 2018 Share Posted April 14, 2018 Pretty amazing temp gradient... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted April 14, 2018 Share Posted April 14, 2018 So what would you guys do? I am supposed to head to Buffalo this afternoon and stay the night for a friends birthday (He flew in). I'm reluctant to leave because I have a flood prone basement that will certainly have issues within hours of the power going out. In my gut I think this will be a non event, just too many factors working against it. I know we'll get a glaze but I just doubt it will be more than that. That said, If I **** this up and we get a half inch of ice or more, I could be stuck in Buffalo while my house floods. Would be a very costly decision. I also don't want to sit in my house alone tonight as my friends and wife all have a great time in B-lo and we get nothing more than a cold rain and glaze. (Also making me look like a bit of an idiot) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted April 14, 2018 Share Posted April 14, 2018 Also, where the heck is CNY WXfreak? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted April 14, 2018 Share Posted April 14, 2018 Getting windy as hell out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted April 14, 2018 Share Posted April 14, 2018 reg is pretty nasty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted April 14, 2018 Share Posted April 14, 2018 11 minutes ago, DeltaT13 said: So what would you guys do? I am supposed to head to Buffalo this afternoon and stay the night for a friends birthday (He flew in). I'm reluctant to leave because I have a flood prone basement that will certainly have issues within hours of the power going out. In my gut I think this will be a non event, just too many factors working against it. I know we'll get a glaze but I just doubt it will be more than that. That said, If I **** this up and we get a half inch of ice or more, I could be stuck in Buffalo while my house floods. Would be a very costly decision. I also don't want to sit in my house alone tonight as my friends and wife all have a great time in B-lo and we get nothing more than a cold rain and glaze. (Also making me look like a bit of an idiot) Delta I'm in the camp over over prepare. My gut has been saying the exact opposite of your gut and this has the feel of 2006 all over again except with ice. No one and I mean no one thought that scenario would ever unfold in early to mid October, but with it happening at night the diurnal effects were negated. I just got a text from delta sonic that they are closing at 2pm today in preparation of the ice storm. Imo this is an easy call and one that should be heeded. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted April 14, 2018 Share Posted April 14, 2018 Rgem freezing rain accums Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted April 14, 2018 Share Posted April 14, 2018 One degree drop on the lake shore N. Monroe cty in the past 30mins...down to 35. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted April 14, 2018 Share Posted April 14, 2018 Looks to me as soon as precip starts it' changes to freezing rain some sleet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted April 14, 2018 Share Posted April 14, 2018 11 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said: Delta I'm in the camp over over prepare. My gut has been saying the exact opposite of your gut and this has the feel of 2006 all over again except with ice. No one and I mean no one thought that scenario would ever unfold in early to mid October, but with it happening at night the diurnal effects were negated. I just got a text from delta sonic that they are closing at 2pm today in preparation of the ice storm. Imo this is an easy call and one that should be heeded. You're probably right. I know it's stupid to leave, just don't want to over react here. That said, I was just gassing up the chainsaw and running the generator, charging batteries, etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted April 14, 2018 Share Posted April 14, 2018 Convinced this cold are is serious as it's marching south quite nicely for mid-April mid-day! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted April 14, 2018 Share Posted April 14, 2018 Another 1/2 degree on lake shore in 15 mins. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted April 14, 2018 Share Posted April 14, 2018 37 minutes ago, tim123 said: Getting windy as hell out Super Windy here as well. Surprising actually, thought it would take a little longer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
coh Posted April 14, 2018 Share Posted April 14, 2018 I've got 33.5/26.0 on my weather station. It was 35 two hours ago. Winds are already quite gusty. At this point, I think we have to hope that the precip forecast is overdone or wrongly placed, or that the cold air is deep enough to change the precip over to sleet for a good part of the event (I'm encouraged by how well the colder NAM sounding forecast from last night matched the BUF raob this morning). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted April 14, 2018 Share Posted April 14, 2018 2 minutes ago, coh said: I've got 33.5/26.0 on my weather station. It was 35 two hours ago. Winds are already quite gusty. At this point, I think we have to hope that the precip forecast is overdone or wrongly placed, or that the cold air is deep enough to change the precip over to sleet for a good part of the event (I'm encouraged by how well the colder NAM sounding forecast from last night matched the BUF raob this morning). With the south shore temp drops, wouldn't be surprise to see Wayne and N Cayuga and Oswego get into the ISW... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted April 14, 2018 Share Posted April 14, 2018 I can not believe the winds here already. Gusting to 40mph here already and power has already flickered twice to where it reset the cable box, clocks, etc.... not a good sign when we haven't even seen a single rain drop yet. I would definitely stay behind just in case or you will be so sorry you left. I went out this morning and bought a generator (only second year in my house, haven't had the need to even consider one yet before today), stocked up on food, gassed up the cars, making sure all electronic devices are charged. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted April 14, 2018 Author Share Posted April 14, 2018 Keep up the updates I’ll be following this through you guys I come home tomorrow night. 85 and sunny here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted April 14, 2018 Share Posted April 14, 2018 2K customers out in West Seneca, not sure if it was related to the wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted April 14, 2018 Share Posted April 14, 2018 Gfs nails roc and southeast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted April 14, 2018 Share Posted April 14, 2018 29 minutes ago, WesterlyWx said: I can not believe the winds here already. Gusting to 40mph here already and power has already flickered twice to where it reset the cable box, clocks, etc.... not a good sign when we haven't even seen a single rain drop yet. I would definitely stay behind just in case or you will be so sorry you left. I went out this morning and bought a generator (only second year in my house, haven't had the need to even consider one yet before today), stocked up on food, gassed up the cars, making sure all electronic devices are charged. Where the #%&! did you find one!!! I called all over Western effing NY and everyone was sold out! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted April 14, 2018 Share Posted April 14, 2018 Dipping below 34 on the s. shore now..DP 27. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted April 14, 2018 Share Posted April 14, 2018 Winds are impressive. Gotta be gusting over 40 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
coh Posted April 14, 2018 Share Posted April 14, 2018 12 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said: Where the #%&! did you find one!!! I called all over Western effing NY and everyone was sold out! Saw some in Lowes (Brockport) yesterday. Don't know if they still have any. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted April 14, 2018 Share Posted April 14, 2018 17 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said: Where the #%&! did you find one!!! I called all over Western effing NY and everyone was sold out! I went to Home Depot next to the McKinley Mall in Blasdell this morning as soon as the doors opened at 6am. Last generator of the kind I bought (Ryobi), 1 Dewalt left but I think it was $1000. I payed $400 for mine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted April 14, 2018 Share Posted April 14, 2018 Even with .50 ice and winds like this goin to be alot of power out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted April 14, 2018 Share Posted April 14, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted April 14, 2018 Share Posted April 14, 2018 Even after goin to rain as front comes is winds are 50 to 60 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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