stormtracker Posted April 1, 2018 Share Posted April 1, 2018 4 minutes ago, BristowWx said: Oh boy. Bring it home psu...bring it home. Your analysis is only second to yoda. He is the Jedi master of pbp Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted April 1, 2018 Share Posted April 1, 2018 2 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: It doesn't look like the massive hit the cmc was but it's definitely a major improvement over last run. Not bad..curious to see future panels. May have some more to go Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted April 1, 2018 Share Posted April 1, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted April 1, 2018 Share Posted April 1, 2018 2 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: That's a nice looking April map. Just saw the 168 panel on TT. Figured it might be ok Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowLover22 Posted April 1, 2018 Share Posted April 1, 2018 Interesting looks like the euro is a good hit for DC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted April 1, 2018 Share Posted April 1, 2018 Just now, psuhoffman said: Well ok then. Alex says I’m sorry Bristow Euro says maybe...you go home with parting gifts to include a years supply of Rice-a-Roni...the San Francisco treat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowLover22 Posted April 1, 2018 Share Posted April 1, 2018 So it looks like the Euro is the furthest South while the Gfs is the furthest North with the CMC being a compromise between the two. I suspect the EPS will show some big hits. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted April 1, 2018 Share Posted April 1, 2018 Euro gives me more love a couple days later Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NewYorkweatherfan Posted April 1, 2018 Share Posted April 1, 2018 Can you guys post a snow map for next week's event please for the northeast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted April 1, 2018 Share Posted April 1, 2018 This is kind of crazy for a 10 day period in April. This is for all 3 events. Most of it for DC is from the second threat. North of there gets some from all 3. This is Kuchera the 10-1 is just stupid crazy looking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted April 1, 2018 Share Posted April 1, 2018 11 minutes ago, NewYorkweatherfan said: Can you guys post a snow map for next week's event please for the northeast You don't get much from the second storm but NYC does good from storm 1 and 3. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted April 1, 2018 Share Posted April 1, 2018 3 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: This is kind of crazy for a 10 day period in April. This is for all 3 events. Most of it for DC is from the second threat. North of there gets some from all 3. This is Kuchera the 10-1 is just stupid crazy looking. Thought it be more impressive than that, but it’s April. And that is impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted April 1, 2018 Share Posted April 1, 2018 Storms 1-2-3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted April 1, 2018 Share Posted April 1, 2018 1 minute ago, psuhoffman said: Storms 1-2-3 That's just ridiculous for April. April is the new December.lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormman96 Posted April 1, 2018 Share Posted April 1, 2018 4 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Storms 1-2-3 That has to be a mistake on first map for tomorrow. It has a 10 amount where I live nw of philly. With 4 all around. That 10 doesnt look right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted April 1, 2018 Share Posted April 1, 2018 As predicted, and as expected based on the op making a big jump north, the GEFS perturbed have moved away from the southern snow idea. Pretty decent snowfall mean for our region though, mostly NW where one would expect it to be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted April 1, 2018 Share Posted April 1, 2018 3 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Thought it be more impressive than that, but it’s April. And that is impressive. Surface temps show really low ratios D.C. South for wave 2. The 10-1 is more impressive. A 1-2 degree difference could mean 5" vs 3" there. Wave 3 actually should show more in DC but it's the issue where it uses the temps at the end of the period to determine it was rain when some of that period was snow. D.C. Definitely starts as snow wave 3 and flips at some point during a 6 hour period where about .6 qpf falls. So there might be a hidden 2-4" in there also. But overall that map is silly for April. The kind of analysis I just did should be February not after Easter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted April 1, 2018 Share Posted April 1, 2018 2 minutes ago, C.A.P.E. said: As predicted, and as expected based on the op making a big jump north, the GEFS perturbed have moved away from the southern snow idea. Pretty decent snowfall mean for our region though, mostly NW where one would expect it to be. That’s my fear is it continues to head north although the Euro shows the high pressing so that should..should. Prevent an all out north push.. but we have seen some strange things so this is just a mile post on the way to someplace Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted April 1, 2018 Share Posted April 1, 2018 I try not to be interested because it is Spring and lots going on, but damn when the ens keep throwing out h5 looks like this..hard not to. Pretty insane for April. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted April 1, 2018 Share Posted April 1, 2018 Gefs keep in mind 4.5 of the 8.5 up here is tonight so the long range threats aren't as NW skewed as it looks. Yes the mean is higher but it's around 4" up here vs 3" DC after tonight's storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted April 1, 2018 Share Posted April 1, 2018 Just now, psuhoffman said: Gefs keep in mind 4.5 of the 8.5 up here is tonight so the long range threats aren't as NW skewed as it looks. Yes the mean is higher but it's around 4" up here vs 3" DC after tonight's storm. Yes good point. My point has been there is no way next weekend is going to be a hit to our south. NO WAY. And it very likely will favor your area because climo strongly supports that in an anomalous Spring cold pattern as is being advertised. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted April 1, 2018 Share Posted April 1, 2018 5 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Gefs keep in mind 4.5 of the 8.5 up here is tonight so the long range threats aren't as NW skewed as it looks. Yes the mean is higher but it's around 4" up here vs 3" DC after tonight's storm. It looks awesome for April. Like pure amazing weenie run at my latitude. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted April 1, 2018 Share Posted April 1, 2018 3 minutes ago, C.A.P.E. said: Yes good point. My point has been there is no way next weekend is going to be a hit to our south. NO WAY. And it very likely will favor your area because climo strongly supports that in an anomalous Spring cold pattern as is being advertised. I'm not disagreeing with that. Just wanted to put the map in perspective. Your analysis as always is good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted April 1, 2018 Share Posted April 1, 2018 Umm...the euro control is out of control. It's a run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowLover22 Posted April 1, 2018 Share Posted April 1, 2018 3 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Umm...the euro control is out of control. It's a run. Map? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormman96 Posted April 1, 2018 Share Posted April 1, 2018 3 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Umm...the euro control is out of control. It's a run. Map?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted April 1, 2018 Share Posted April 1, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted April 1, 2018 Share Posted April 1, 2018 2 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Umm...the euro control is out of control. It's a run. Ugh too bad I am super busy at work over the next week. I would defo be heading out to the highlands- probably Canaan. And since my Jeep is in the shop for the next 10 days waiting for a new engine, I could abuse some rental. Sigh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted April 1, 2018 Share Posted April 1, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted April 1, 2018 Share Posted April 1, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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