CAPE Posted March 31, 2018 Share Posted March 31, 2018 24 minutes ago, nj2va said: NWS Pitt in their forecaster’s discussion held off on a watch as they don’t think the mountains will see widespread 6”. WSW currently for the far western ridges of LWX zone for 6” or more. Looks good for the highlands near Canaan and Oakland. Heading out? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted March 31, 2018 Share Posted March 31, 2018 5 minutes ago, C.A.P.E. said: Looks good for the highlands near Canaan and Oakland. Heading out? Yeah, we’re here for Easter until Monday. Pitt is forecasting 3-5” here but similar to LWX, when they’re low, we usually do better. I think 5-8” out here — Canaan/John should be the winner. I’m watching the game on the deck with a Hendricks martini...crazy it’ll snow in like 30 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 31, 2018 Share Posted March 31, 2018 32 minutes ago, Fozz said: I was getting a little excited at first, but it looks like it's shifting north, so not much of a chance anymore. I can't really get myself worked up about it either since whatever falls will be vaporized by the April sun within hours. This is a non event outside of the far northern tier of MD into PA. That has been clear for days. Today really turned it for me. Was outside all day doing stuff. Was glorious. I really don't even care at all about late next week at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 31, 2018 Share Posted March 31, 2018 1 minute ago, nj2va said: Yeah, we’re here for Easter until Monday. Pitt is forecasting 3-5” here but similar to LWX, when they’re low, we usually do better. I think 5-8” out here — Canaan/John should be the winner. I’m watching the game on the deck with a Hendricks martini...crazy it’ll snow in like 30 hours. Nice! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted March 31, 2018 Share Posted March 31, 2018 6 minutes ago, C.A.P.E. said: Looks good for the highlands near Canaan and Oakland. Heading out? Heading back from western PA Monday morning right on the tail of the storm. Hoping the farther north solutions don't verify otherwise could be dealing with some serious travel issues especially in the higher elevations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted March 31, 2018 Share Posted March 31, 2018 4 minutes ago, C.A.P.E. said: This is a non event outside of the far northern tier of MD into PA. That has been clear for days. Today really turned it for me. Was outside all day doing stuff. Was glorious. I really don't even care at all about late next week at this point. Would never turn down snow but yeah, some of the warmer temps we have seen lately really have my mind shifting towards camping season and other outdoor activities. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted March 31, 2018 Author Share Posted March 31, 2018 For any success (slushy coating) around the cities we are absolutely relying on rates to overcome. 12z RGEM showed a situation where the storm is amped enough to probably flip everyone to snow for awhile. The 12z ARW and ARW2 also showed an interesting scenario, much further south, seems like a low pops off the southern Delmarva. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 31, 2018 Share Posted March 31, 2018 38 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Quite a heavy thump depicted by the 3k. That's got to be 1 to 1.5" hour rates for a couple hours. Shouldnt have much problem accumulating..esp at night for the northern tier. Something to watch out for with these waves, there is often a duel max. The one you really want is the northern max that's associated with the jet dynamics. That is always underdone yet becomes the heavier snow band in the end. The southern max is associated with deeper moisture with the baroclinicity along the boundary. But ratios will be low there. We saw this play out in Feb and we got stuck between the two bands. That one was worse then usual but that duel max is common. Right now the guidance gets us with the southern max. I would prefer the northern one of course but I won't complain about 2-4" in April. But how that banding will set up is just coming into range. Have to see how that looks come tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted April 1, 2018 Share Posted April 1, 2018 3 hours ago, Mordecai said: LWX forecast. Surprising that many people aren't excited here LOL. Might be my biggest event of the season. Of course, I could barely manage 3" with a 12" forecast 10 days ago, so I can figure out how this one is going to play out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted April 1, 2018 Share Posted April 1, 2018 4 hours ago, losetoa6 said: Quite a heavy thump depicted by the 3k. That's got to be 1 to 1.5" hour rates for a couple hours. Shouldnt have much problem accumulating..esp at night for the northern tier. The nams have the split I was worried about and put us right in the screwzone like in February. But the other guidance isn't showing that. The nams caught onto that first last time. Hopefully other guidance doesn't start moving that way tomorrow. But I've seen that gap between bands a lot with these waves. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted April 1, 2018 Share Posted April 1, 2018 I LOVE snow in April! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted April 1, 2018 Share Posted April 1, 2018 Looking over the precip max on the latest runs and we see the Euro and the NAM's running farthest north with the max running through southern PA through our region. NAM's at this point or the only models that suggest a possibility of a duel precip max (per PSU's mention yesterday). 12K NAM with a weaker secondary running through central MD. 3K is hinting at the possibility of a secondary through central MD. GFS is the southern outlier on precip max with it running through central MD. CMC and the RGEM are the compromise solution with the max centered roughly on the PA/MD line. As far as the strip of snowfall max. all the models are centering that on the Mason Dixon line up through southern/central PA. Euro and NAMs are the farthest north through southern/central PA while the rest like more towards the state line. GFS is the least aggressive with snowfall totals and a quick glance suggests that is due to it being a warm outlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted April 1, 2018 Share Posted April 1, 2018 This seems very aggressive for the panhandle up through Hagerstown. I'd be shocked to see that much snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted April 1, 2018 Share Posted April 1, 2018 Advisories for 2-5" have been issued for the zones bordering PA, and watches for counties west of the Blue Ridge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted April 1, 2018 Share Posted April 1, 2018 I guess I'll settle for a chilly soaking rain. Need to get that grass seed started anyway Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted April 1, 2018 Share Posted April 1, 2018 Still on target for a decent snow in La Crosse. Might double my season total Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted April 1, 2018 Share Posted April 1, 2018 this can be a rainer for all i care. looks like a quick hitter/fringe temps, so i don't think that we're really missing much in the city. i'd rather keep the bike trails dry (or not snow covered) at this point. i'm ready to move on and hope for better opportunities next season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted April 1, 2018 Share Posted April 1, 2018 When the severe starts up we gotta troll how we don't like it, wish it was over, yadda yadda Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted April 1, 2018 Share Posted April 1, 2018 20 minutes ago, Tenman Johnson said: When the severe starts up we gotta troll how we don't like it, wish it was over, yadda yadda get some fresh air Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted April 1, 2018 Share Posted April 1, 2018 Thick clouds today. Current conditions support 2-3" here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted April 1, 2018 Share Posted April 1, 2018 23 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Gfs juicing things up Works for me. I like a free car wash. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted April 1, 2018 Share Posted April 1, 2018 Pretty meh south of 40N, IMO. Surface wet-bulbs of 34-35 degrees won't cut it unless there's really good rates for a few hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted April 1, 2018 Share Posted April 1, 2018 3 minutes ago, Ellinwood said: Pretty meh south of 40N, IMO. Surface wet-bulbs of 34-35 degrees won't cut it unless there's really good rates for a few hours. Can you do one for La Crosse Wisconsin? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted April 1, 2018 Share Posted April 1, 2018 Winter storm warning issued by Pitt. 3-7” overnight and 2-4” tomorrow morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AU74 Posted April 1, 2018 Share Posted April 1, 2018 9 minutes ago, nj2va said: Winter storm warning issued by Pitt. 3-7” overnight and 2-4” tomorrow morning. Hmm, still time to drive up for the Caps game and enjoy the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted April 1, 2018 Share Posted April 1, 2018 32 In Garrett county while Westminster is 59 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted April 1, 2018 Author Share Posted April 1, 2018 WWAs issued for the northern/western areas. I’d copy paste but am mobile right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ka60 Posted April 1, 2018 Share Posted April 1, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted April 1, 2018 Share Posted April 1, 2018 35 minutes ago, AfewUniversesBelowNormal said: Pretty warm out now. doubt it will be cold enough to snow That's how weather works. #science #WhatIsAColdFront Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted April 1, 2018 Share Posted April 1, 2018 2 hours ago, Interstate said: 32 In Garrett county while Westminster is 59 One of those 2 places is guaranteed some good snow in the next 18 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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