Paragon Posted March 31, 2018 Share Posted March 31, 2018 1 minute ago, Snow88 said: 2-4 I think the majority is going to be on colder surfaces. It would be nice to get 4 inches of snow in April. And it's possible we might even get another snow event later on, somewhere between the 7-10th? Cold air will be sticking around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted March 31, 2018 Share Posted March 31, 2018 4 hours ago, jm1220 said: NAM would be a quick few inch snow event, especially I-80 and south. Look for another bump or two north though at the last minute. I'm on board with at least some accumulation especially outside the city given that it'll be at night, and intensity should be moderate for a time. Probably wouldn't stick much on pavement, and what falls will be gone Mon afternoon. I saw Don mention the 4/7/03 storm in the other thread, and although this might not be as robust it could end up better than currently shown given the warmer, moist overrunning from the south. There could be a nice band for 4-6 hours where the best fronto happens. JM, he's talking about the possible snow storm next Friday (the 6th) and analoging that to the 2003 event. If we get this one on the 2nd first, there's a chance we could pull off a rare two snowstorms in April! This happened in 1982 and 1996. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 31, 2018 Share Posted March 31, 2018 3z SREF mean is 1.45 for LGA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted March 31, 2018 Share Posted March 31, 2018 Don't be surprised if this turns out to be a warning level event for somebody around the region with such impressive banding potential and temps near freezing. http://moe.met.fsu.edu/banding/t06z/nam.ne.06.frontb.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted March 31, 2018 Share Posted March 31, 2018 6z RGEM (some of the heavier amounts are fairly consistent with the frontogenesis map shown above by Bluewave): Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted March 31, 2018 Share Posted March 31, 2018 Seems like that kinda April....hope it happens; I've only seen 2 such events in my lifetime ( other areas to the east and N have seen a few more ) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowshack Posted March 31, 2018 Share Posted March 31, 2018 6 minutes ago, weatherpruf said: Seems like that kinda April....hope it happens; I've only seen 2 such events in my lifetime ( other areas to the east and N have seen a few more ) 16" here on Eastern LI in April '96, so we can certainly score in April. That added to the 4" in Nov '95. Without that November and April '95/'96 wouldnt be in the record books here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 31, 2018 Share Posted March 31, 2018 9z SREF Plumes are 2.95 for LGA Nice increase Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted March 31, 2018 Share Posted March 31, 2018 9 minutes ago, Snow88 said: 9z SREF Plumes are 2.95 for LGA Nice increase Anthony, anything for Sullivan County in the Catskills? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 31, 2018 Share Posted March 31, 2018 2 minutes ago, sferic said: Anthony, anything for Sullivan County in the Catskills? You might be just too far north for accumulating snow unless this trends more north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 31, 2018 Share Posted March 31, 2018 Nam looks slightly more north and robust through 45 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tempestatis014 Posted March 31, 2018 Share Posted March 31, 2018 Lol you guys can have fun with this one. I'm on vacation in Marco Island, and am hoping for rain. The wildfires here are real bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 31, 2018 Share Posted March 31, 2018 2 hours ago, bluewave said: Don't be surprised if this turns out to be a warning level event for somebody around the region with such impressive banding potential and temps near freezing. http://moe.met.fsu.edu/banding/t06z/nam.ne.06.frontb.html Nam upped the ante at 12z Further north and more robust. It's also below freezing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 31, 2018 Share Posted March 31, 2018 Few inches for everyone on the Nam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted March 31, 2018 Share Posted March 31, 2018 Few inches for everyone on the NamBetter for sullivan clunty on 12z nam?Sent from my SM-N950U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted March 31, 2018 Share Posted March 31, 2018 3-6” type deal on NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted March 31, 2018 Share Posted March 31, 2018 The 12z NAM showed measurable snow in Boston, New York City, and Philadelphia. The last time all three cities received measurable snowfall in April was April 7, 2003 when Boston picked up 2.0", New York City received 4.0", and Philadelphia was blanketed by 1.8". Since 1950, New York City has had only 4 April snowstorms where 2" or more snow fell. So, at least if the NAM's forecast is accurate, this would be a relatively uncommon event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 31, 2018 Share Posted March 31, 2018 3k nam has also 3-6 for the city Rgem is coming in Nam like Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted March 31, 2018 Share Posted March 31, 2018 15 minutes ago, sferic said: Better for sullivan clunty on 12z nam? Sent from my SM-N950U using Tapatalk I reviewed what I believe are the 12z NAM snowfall maps from coolwx 12K - 5-9 NW NJ to your area 3K - 5-9 NW NJ to your area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ace Posted March 31, 2018 Share Posted March 31, 2018 5 minutes ago, Snow88 said: 3k nam has also 3-6 for the city Rgem is coming in Nam like Money shot at 48 hours RGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 31, 2018 Share Posted March 31, 2018 Just now, Ace said: Money shot at 48 hours RGEM Wow very nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NewYorkweatherfan Posted March 31, 2018 Author Share Posted March 31, 2018 WE literally just got nam’d the nam snowmap is actually identical to the post Super Bowl snowstorm on February 3rd 2014. It was 60 the day before on the Super Bowl and snow started around 4am after a brief period of rain. Central Park received 8 inches of heavy snow. This snowstorm looks to be all snow. Nam12z Nam 3k 12z Nam 3k total snowfall Nam 12z total snowfall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NewYorkweatherfan Posted March 31, 2018 Author Share Posted March 31, 2018 38 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Several inches for everyone on the Nam FYP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 31, 2018 Share Posted March 31, 2018 2 minutes ago, NewYorkweatherfan said: FYP Rgem is similiar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
West Point, NY Posted March 31, 2018 Share Posted March 31, 2018 Just print out a bullseye over Monroe every storm this year. Shooting for 7' season. Still not melted off in front of the house from the 4.5 feet this month Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 31, 2018 Share Posted March 31, 2018 Surprise low-end warning event? This is looking really impressive, but fast movement will limit totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfreeeeak Posted March 31, 2018 Share Posted March 31, 2018 3 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: Surprise low-end warning event? This is looking really impressive, but fast movement will limit totals. It’s incredibile to even be talking about it...very exciting for April fools Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted March 31, 2018 Share Posted March 31, 2018 1 hour ago, Snowshack said: 16" here on Eastern LI in April '96, so we can certainly score in April. That added to the 4" in Nov '95. Without that November and April '95/'96 wouldnt be in the record books here. We had 4" in Nov 95 here and 14" in April 96. Remove that and there was 77" for Dec-March, which would still be a record at my location. I'm still scratching my head how we managed to hit 60" this winter and it might not be done yet. A little like Feb - March 1967 delayed by a month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted March 31, 2018 Share Posted March 31, 2018 3 minutes ago, NorthShoreWx said: We had 4" in Nov 95 here and 14" in April 96. Remove that and it was still 77" for Dec-March, which would still be a record at my location. I'm still scratching my head how we managed to hit 60" this winter and it might not be done yet. A little like Feb - March 1967 delayed by a month. It’s just unusual to lose the pattern like we did in February and see it come back in a La Niña. That almost never happens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted March 31, 2018 Share Posted March 31, 2018 3 minutes ago, bluewave said: This is the first time going back to the late 40's that LI passed the 60" mark with only around an inch of snow in February. We had 3" on 2/17. February total in Smithtown was 3.8" http://www.northshorewx.com/ClimateData/SmithtownDailySnowfall.pdf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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