Brian5671 Posted April 12, 2018 Share Posted April 12, 2018 3 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: The Nam looks crazy, at least the 06z run had the drop occurring later enough to salvage Saturday. I really hope we don't see last minute trends that start pushing the front earlier and more aggressively. I agree. If we can get to 6pm that's a win. My wife and 2 sons are going to Fenway for the Sat 1pm game. They may need summer clothes to start the game and winter clothes to end it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted April 12, 2018 Share Posted April 12, 2018 NAM remains quicker with the passage of the BDCF-this is 2pm Saturday-by 5pm we are all in the 40's. (other models are much slower with the front not coming through til the evening hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted April 12, 2018 Share Posted April 12, 2018 Hi-res NAM has the front south of me by late Friday evening with lows crashing into the low 30s through Saturday afternoon. That kind of CAA would be impressive from a meteo standpoint but I didn't think I might only get one day of warmth this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted April 12, 2018 Share Posted April 12, 2018 1 hour ago, Juliancolton said: Hi-res NAM has the front south of me by late Friday evening with lows crashing into the low 30s through Saturday afternoon. That kind of CAA would be impressive from a meteo standpoint but I didn't think I might only get one day of warmth this weekend. I would say the Nam is out of it's mind but in these scenarios it's probably better equipped to see the low level cold seeping in vs. the globals. That's a strong high to the north as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted April 12, 2018 Share Posted April 12, 2018 the nam looks too aggressive. the other models aren't as fast with the fropa Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted April 12, 2018 Share Posted April 12, 2018 12z nam shows some frozen if not accumulated potential in the Catskills & LHV; can that potentially find itself down to the coast ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted April 12, 2018 Author Share Posted April 12, 2018 Current temp is 60 here, I am looking forward to the even warmer temps tomorrow and Saturday before the BDCF arrives Saturday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted April 12, 2018 Share Posted April 12, 2018 Warm front thru...up 7° in past hour to 62°. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tek1972 Posted April 12, 2018 Share Posted April 12, 2018 Warm front thru...up 7° in past hour to 62°.Location?Sent from my SM-N950U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted April 12, 2018 Share Posted April 12, 2018 2 minutes ago, tek1972 said: Location? Sent from my SM-N950U using Tapatalk Staten Island Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted April 12, 2018 Author Share Posted April 12, 2018 9 minutes ago, doncat said: Warm front thru...up 7° in past hour to 62°. Looks like the front is through here as well, temp up to 64 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted April 12, 2018 Share Posted April 12, 2018 I'm been near 70 all day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted April 12, 2018 Share Posted April 12, 2018 Still in the 50's here Been like this all day. Gray and dreary. Yuck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dWave Posted April 12, 2018 Share Posted April 12, 2018 got up to 62 today, then down to 54, waiting on the warm front Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Will - Rutgers Posted April 13, 2018 Share Posted April 13, 2018 Breezy and warmer into the night. Is this warm air advection, or just the crossing of a warm front? To be honest I thought WAA had to be associated with flow in front of an approaching low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted April 13, 2018 Share Posted April 13, 2018 Next 8 days averaging 55degs., or 3degs. AN. Right now I have 59 (was 50 at 9pm, last night) and skies have a thin overcast. Very breezy, sand not flying around yet on beach. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted April 13, 2018 Share Posted April 13, 2018 After 75-80° early afternoon..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted April 13, 2018 Share Posted April 13, 2018 1 hour ago, doncat said: After 75-80° early afternoon..... There's going to be quite the temp gradient setting up tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted April 13, 2018 Share Posted April 13, 2018 12 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said: There's going to be quite the temp gradient setting up tomorrow. Looks like a very tight gradient. Should be interesting to watch how the temps drop off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted April 13, 2018 Share Posted April 13, 2018 Just look at the wide expanse of Blizzard Warnings, wow. https://www.weather.gov/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted April 13, 2018 Share Posted April 13, 2018 2 minutes ago, JerseyWx said: Looks like a very tight gradient. Should be interesting to watch how the temps drop off. models show 78 in NE CT tomorrow at 2pm while in Boston it's 45. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted April 13, 2018 Share Posted April 13, 2018 Nam has us in the 30s on Sun afternoon with a chilly easterly wind after near 80F temps on Sat. Tomorrow is still close but it looks like the front will come through the evening hours, allowing us to salvage most of the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted April 13, 2018 Share Posted April 13, 2018 11 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: Nam has us in the 30s on Sun afternoon with a chilly easterly wind after near 80F temps on Sat. Tomorrow is still close but it looks like the front will come through the evening hours, allowing us to salvage most of the day. the further SW one is tomorrow, the better. I doubt we get past noon here before the front comes through. Models moving towards the faster NAM with passage earlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BrooklynSnow Posted April 13, 2018 Share Posted April 13, 2018 I was in prospect park this am, and saw around some dissipating showers mammatus clouds. I would say this was around 830am. Anyone else see them? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted April 13, 2018 Share Posted April 13, 2018 36 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: the further SW one is tomorrow, the better. I doubt we get past noon here before the front comes through. Models moving towards the faster NAM with passage earlier. My forecast for Saturday night is down into the 30's now. Should surprise a lot of people who broke out the flip-flops lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted April 13, 2018 Share Posted April 13, 2018 That BDCF looks wild and it's trending stronger the closer we get, gfs shifting towards the Nam. Nam is still about 3 hours faster with it though. The metro should start to feel it after 4-5PM and more so past 8 given current trends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted April 13, 2018 Share Posted April 13, 2018 77 glorious degrees Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NewYorkweatherfan Posted April 13, 2018 Share Posted April 13, 2018 It's sick out and I actually don't miss snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted April 13, 2018 Share Posted April 13, 2018 First 70 here, I know most got their first 70/80 back in February, but I topped out in the mid/upper 60’s then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted April 13, 2018 Share Posted April 13, 2018 Thunder here. A bit unexpected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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