King James Posted August 15, 2018 Share Posted August 15, 2018 Looks as though the mets screwed the pooch in my area. Was supposed to be rainy, in the 70s, and potential flooding. Currently sun peaking through, no rain, and it feels like it’s 86 degrees outside. Whack . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted August 15, 2018 Share Posted August 15, 2018 With all this talk about making a Winter thread are not making one yet, I do agree that on weather boards, Winter always looks great in August. But I must say in some other sources it's the opposite. They always say, well this Winter will be mild......if this and this and this and this go right. I've already seen a few stories on the likely coming El nino and the headline is meant to grab the attention of the public and imply Winter will be mild and dry. Then you read the actual article and they say if this and this and this go right lol. Same stuff every year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted August 15, 2018 Share Posted August 15, 2018 We had a winter thread by this point in previous years so if somebody wants to make one, go for it. I agree that there's not much to go on this early though, with ENSO state probably being the most "knowable" factor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted August 18, 2018 Author Share Posted August 18, 2018 I haven't looked through the forum, so sorry if there's a thread somewhere, but there is an interesting article in last weeks Time magazine about the new American model, the FV³ (Finite Volume on a Cubed-Sphere) that is set to be operational by early next year. This is the first that I've read about it. http://time.com/longform/better-storm-prediction/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted August 27, 2018 Share Posted August 27, 2018 Anyone talk to cyclone off board? He hasn't been on here in a while. I'm sure a likely explanation is the relatively boring wx. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted August 27, 2018 Share Posted August 27, 2018 Yeah, it's been over a month since cyclone posted. I messaged him a few days ago, but he hasn't responded. His weather station is still live on Wunderground, so I'm guessing this summer's boring weather got to him and/or he has other more important stuff going on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted August 29, 2018 Share Posted August 29, 2018 This spring/summer have been pretty brutal as far as getting good action in my area. Haven't seen anything remotely close to a severe thunderstorm. I'd even settle for one of the super rain storms that have occurred in other areas. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
King James Posted August 29, 2018 Share Posted August 29, 2018 This spring/summer have been pretty brutal as far as getting good action in my area. Haven't seen anything remotely close to a severe thunderstorm. I'd even settle for one of the super rain storms that have occurred in other areas.You , like me, have probably been resigned to watching the sky light up to our north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted August 29, 2018 Share Posted August 29, 2018 1 hour ago, Hoosier said: This spring/summer have been pretty brutal as far as getting good action in my area. Haven't seen anything remotely close to a severe thunderstorm. I'd even settle for one of the super rain storms that have occurred in other areas. Preaching to the choir here. This area has been danced around so much it is almost second nature. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted August 29, 2018 Share Posted August 29, 2018 The models have become extremely active over the next couple weeks as the front just keeps waving north and south. The euro is putting out big rainfall across the upper midwest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beavis1729 Posted August 30, 2018 Share Posted August 30, 2018 Looks like Boston had a max/min of 98/81 today...crazy for the time of year. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted August 30, 2018 Share Posted August 30, 2018 6 minutes ago, beavis1729 said: Looks like Boston had a max/min of 98/81 today...crazy for the time of year. Wow. The previous latest 80 degree low in a calendar year for them was 8/2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted August 30, 2018 Share Posted August 30, 2018 1 hour ago, Hoosier said: Wow. The previous latest 80 degree low in a calendar year for them was 8/2 97 yesterday too. Pretty nuts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted September 1, 2018 Share Posted September 1, 2018 Octoburn 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted September 1, 2018 Share Posted September 1, 2018 I am cool with a warm October Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted September 2, 2018 Share Posted September 2, 2018 7 hours ago, Hoosier said: Octoburn I dont mind mild weather in oct but thats way too warm. Of course it will change 29 times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sokolow Posted September 11, 2018 Share Posted September 11, 2018 last few weeks has been living hell workwise with the swamplike humidity in the low lying semi-flooded area where our current project is taking place. would summarize as “sweat-salt crusted suffering.” had to reread Under The Red Sea Sun by edward ellsberg to regain perspective. today was not just nice but paradise in comparison headed up to near jonger’s neck of the mitten in a couple of ten days to catch some early fall in dune & grapevine country. looking forward to it, hope our current pattern holds 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted September 13, 2018 Author Share Posted September 13, 2018 The Canadian depicts multiple simultaneous assaults on the North American coast. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bowtie` Posted September 14, 2018 Share Posted September 14, 2018 10 hours ago, IWXwx said: The Canadian depicts multiple simultaneous assaults on the North American coast. Meanwhile, the pingers are getting closer and closer to weatherbo and Will. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted September 16, 2018 Share Posted September 16, 2018 On 9/1/2018 at 8:33 PM, michsnowfreak said: I dont mind mild weather in oct but thats way too warm. Of course it will change 29 times. CFS is still warmer than average for October, but it backed off on the magnitude. Of course it's still kind of useless at this point. Took until early December last year for my maple trees to lose all their leaves. At this rate I wonder if we will get close to that again. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted September 16, 2018 Share Posted September 16, 2018 31 minutes ago, Hoosier said: CFS is still warmer than average for October, but it backed off on the magnitude. Of course it's still kind of useless at this point. Took until early December last year for my maple trees to lose all their leaves. At this rate I wonder if we will get close to that again. CFS seems to be suffering from a bias and is making a stronger nino then is actually forecast by any other model off. Its also the warmest of sny longrange model going into winter. Last year the late September heat spell is what delayed some of the trees I would guess. It was a late peak in early November, but I do not remember any leaves at the beginning of December, even on the latest trees. This year, the trees bloomed late in the Spring, but we've been dry here, so those 2 factors kind of cancel each other out. Larry cosgrove, who called for a hot September, is calling for much colder weather in October. So we will wait and see but every guess I've heard so far is that peak will be right around average (mid to late Oct). Some of the usual spotty early color is popping up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted September 16, 2018 Share Posted September 16, 2018 42 minutes ago, michsnowfreak said: CFS seems to be suffering from a bias and is making a stronger nino then is actually forecast by any other model off. Its also the warmest of sny longrange model going into winter. Last year the late September heat spell is what delayed some of the trees I would guess. It was a late peak in early November, but I do not remember any leaves at the beginning of December, even on the latest trees. This year, the trees bloomed late in the Spring, but we've been dry here, so those 2 factors kind of cancel each other out. Larry cosgrove, who called for a hot September, is calling for much colder weather in October. So we will wait and see but every guess I've heard so far is that peak will be right around average (mid to late Oct). Some of the usual spotty early color is popping up. I thought I remembered posting a pic in December, so I went back and checked. Sure enough, this is from December 2 last year. I'm not doubting you though... I could see southeast MI running a little ahead of my area. I was mainly being facetious. It would take multiple things to happen to make it as late as last year. Even having too many windy days can screw it up. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted September 17, 2018 Share Posted September 17, 2018 CFS been pretty right so far over recent months with the positive departures. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beavis1729 Posted September 17, 2018 Share Posted September 17, 2018 Mobile, AL was 91/82/113 at 12 PM local time...wow. Now down to 87/79 after a storm rolled through. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted September 17, 2018 Share Posted September 17, 2018 1 minute ago, beavis1729 said: Mobile, AL was 91/82/113 at 12 PM local time...wow. Now down to 87/79 after a storm rolled through. Well, technically it's still summer. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted September 18, 2018 Share Posted September 18, 2018 What the hell is that 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted September 18, 2018 Share Posted September 18, 2018 4 minutes ago, Hoosier said: What the hell is that Something that won't happen, would be the answer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geoboy645 Posted September 18, 2018 Share Posted September 18, 2018 19 minutes ago, Hoosier said: What the hell is that Uhh lets not have that happen FV3. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted September 18, 2018 Author Share Posted September 18, 2018 I've been anxiously awaiting something to track. 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted September 18, 2018 Share Posted September 18, 2018 Well, there was that time in September 1942 I really can't imagine something like that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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