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Snow bomb obs March 21


Damage In Tolland

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Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Shouldn't that ull be set to combine w our L.P. over the jet steam. .in a few hrs

Yeah it will eventually lift north but the big problem is the ULL went more easterly and was weaker on the euro solution versus a bit stronger on the good solutions. So right now and for the next few hours the low is stuck at the latitude of D.C. Instead of PHL.  The latter is roughly a benchmark track while the D.C. latitude version screws us. So we get scraps late tonight when it finally nudges north a bit. 

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Still nothing more than flurries, storm blows as expected.  Thought we would get a couple but even that looks shaky. Temps are holding steady at 37 with off and on flurries and one 5 minute period of light snow.  Looking forward to severe season and browsing the lawn thread.  Basically glorified virga for about 5 hours now, we virgaliscous.  Hopefully someone east or on a weenie hill scores a few. 

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Just now, Hoth said:

My greatest melt. Thank God I did not invest in this one.

Even though the setup isn't exactly the same, it is still a closed ULL struggling to gain latitude and the euro had a tame solution back then (like 3-6") versus other guidance which was much heavier and even the euro ended up too heavy...but it was kind of de-weighted in that event's forecasts like this one. But it ruled the day over the competition. 

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3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Yeah the H5 low is sort of squashed SSW from what it had at 00z. You can see the sh*t streak north also a bit south. Net effect is to just squish and keep it dry. 

The forecast error in position is going to end up over 100 miles on a 12 hour forecast from some of these models. That is fooking embarrassing. 

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