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Rtd208

March 20th-22nd Not So Suppressed Storm Obs

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3 minutes ago, Snow88 said:

Imagine if this happened in January or February with colder temps ? Wow.

Honestly? I really don't think we lost much. Considering the rates today and the fact that I had 6 before this serious stuff started, I'd say the BL temps were good enough. But maybe I'm wrong because the sun angle did in fact kill the DGZ. 

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9 minutes ago, NorthShoreWx said:

We are in a little bit of subsidence just before the death band moves in here.  Patience; wait for it; wait for it ...

I'm just west of you, and I'm sitting watching every frame. It's slow in its northward progress, but whoever gets in that band before it stops will get absolutely crushed

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3 minutes ago, Wetbulbs88 said:

Honestly? I really don't think we lost much. Considering the rates today and the fact that I had 6 before this serious stuff started, I'd say the BL temps were good enough. But maybe I'm wrong because the sun angle did in fact kill the DGZ. 

It hurt us over here. Most fell after 5 pm. Even now we are not in the great bands but it is snowing steadily and accumulating. Someone noted 7 not far from here.

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Latest Hrrr has another 6 hours of snow for the area. What a storm. Been light here again but I’m sure things will increase shortly

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Just now, Nibor said:

Latest Hrrr has another 6 hours of snow for the area. What a storm. Been light here again but I’m sure things will increase shortly

It's finally catching up. 

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Mesoscale Discussion 165
< Previous MD
MD 165 graphic
   Mesoscale Discussion 0165
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0757 PM CDT Wed Mar 21 2018

   Areas affected...Northeast New Jersey...New York City...Long
   Island...Southern New England

   Concerning...Heavy snow 

   Valid 220057Z - 220700Z

   SUMMARY...Heavy snowfall will develop from northeastern New Jersey
   northeastward into southern New England this evening. Snowfall rates
   are expected to reach 1 inch per hour with locally higher rates in
   some locations.

   DISCUSSION...The latest water vapor imagery shows an upper-level low
   centered over the Mid-Atlantic region. A pronounced dry slot is
   located off shore and is wrapping around the northeastern periphery
   of the upper-level system. A deformation zone is located along the
   leading edge of the dry slot from just off the New Jersey coast
   northeastward to just near the southern coast of Long Island. This
   band is being supported by a low-level speed max of 40 to 50 kt
   which is just offshore from southern New England and oriented
   parallel to the coast. In response, isentropic lift is maximized
   across the MCD area and short-term model forecasts suggest that this
   environment will be maintained this evening into the early overnight
   period. Heavy snowfall with 1 inch per hour rates will be possible
   from the Newark, New Jersey and New York City areas over the next 2
   to 4 hours. This heavy snowfall will spread northeastward into
   southern New England later this evening as the upper-level system
   continues to east-northeastward drift. Snowfall rates could locally
   exceed 1 inches per hour within the heaviest part of the band.

   ..Broyles.. 03/22/2018

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...BOX...OKX...ALY...PHI...
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1 minute ago, SnowGoose69 said:

The models really didn’t handle this well.  The timing was off pretty badly.  Even the Euro won’t verify especially well over the region as a whole 

The end game banding is going to verify way west. 

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6 minutes ago, weatherbear5 said:

I'm just west of you, and I'm sitting watching every frame. It's slow in its northward progress, but whoever gets in that band before it stops will get absolutely crushed

Fine line there.  I'm optimistic.  The leading edge is just about on top, but it needs to get a couple of miles north or the BL winds will blow it all back south.  Even so, were adding up slowly but steadily so far and it has picked up a bit.

I just crossed over 50" for the season, but 48.4" was the big number for me.

 

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1 minute ago, SnowGoose69 said:

The models really didn’t handle this well.  The timing was off pretty badly.  Even the Euro won’t verify especially well over the region as a whole 

In your mind which one did the best? It's been an interesting ride.

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