Hurricane Agnes Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 5 minutes ago, Philadelphia Snow said: We will see what happens but seems like major bust for SEPA . Still have a couple hours leeway to get started down here in Philly per some progs before a bust can be called, where it would purportedly be heaviest after 10 am and notably during the afternoon and evening. At last check here, finally getting some bigger wet flakes starting up and sky is actually darkening. Temp 31 w/dp 28. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 8 minutes ago, Philadelphia Snow said: We will see what happens but seems like major bust for SEPA . ...it's not going to stop until after 6z. We have over 18 hours to go before calling bust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pohopoco Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Still Snow here,w/ wind and hint's of bigger gusts...Powdery Snow. not wet at all...down to 26dgs... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluehens Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Looks like banding setting up shop NW of PHL and then down through Baltimore into DC. Most of SEPA, SNJ and all of DE under light returns that are freezing drizzle or straight rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowLover22 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Latest HRRR only has 6 inches total. Considering that mt holly said 11-15 inches . I’m really curious why if it plays out that way, it wouldn’t be considered a bust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 East Nantmeal Township Chester County Pa 8am obs Moderate Snow 29.3 degrees Snow so far 3.5" and 1.8" since midnight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted March 21, 2018 Author Share Posted March 21, 2018 Freezing rain here, 31F. Still waiting for the party to get started down here. Expectations scaled back to a "modest" 6 to 12" here. Which will be fine, but sure would like to see some flakes! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluehens Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 4 minutes ago, Philadelphia Snow said: Latest HRRR only has 6 inches total. Considering that mt holly said 11-15 inches . I’m really curious why if it plays out that way, it wouldn’t be considered a bust. I am thinking 3-4” tops for PHL if they are lucky Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 2 minutes ago, Philadelphia Snow said: Latest HRRR only has 6 inches total. Considering that mt holly said 11-15 inches . I’m really curious why if it plays out that way, it wouldn’t be considered a bust. Mt. Holly's "low end" (90% chance) product is 5" along the I95 corridor so you can focus on that as a baseline before calling a bust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluehens Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 2 minutes ago, KamuSnow said: Freezing rain here, 31F. Still waiting for the party to get started down here. Expectations scaled back to a "modest" 6 to 12" here. Which will be fine, but sure would like to see some flakes! I am 5 miles south of you in DE. We are in trouble today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wkd Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 COD radar looks very splotchy. I think we have to wait to see how the low consolidates offshore before we can see how the snow bands set up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted March 21, 2018 Author Share Posted March 21, 2018 1 minute ago, bluehens said: I am 5 miles south of you in DE. We are in trouble today. I haven't dug deep enough to feel that way yet. At 1st glance, seeing both the HRRR and NAM3k giving us at a minimum 6", my focus at the moment is on getting it to change over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lady Di Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 4 minutes ago, bluehens said: I am 5 miles south of you in DE. We are in trouble today. I'm southern chesco 4 miles over the state line. Same boat, and here we were in the sweet spot yesterday. Oh well. 2-4"? maybe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rockem_sockem_connection Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Really nothing going on in Deptford NJ. Some drizzle perhaps? Very very very interesting radar vs what we were expectingSent from my Pixel XL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 ...it's not going to stop until after 6z. We have over 18 hours to go before calling bust.Every single storm.....I swear lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted March 21, 2018 Author Share Posted March 21, 2018 1 hour ago, Bluescat1 said: Me too, but I did use some actual quotes from the NWS. Lol I was quoting the forecast discussion to my wife last night, it was pretty sexy to a weather nerd. Then I woke up this morning and had to dial expectations back a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 14 minutes ago, ChescoPaWxman said: East Nantmeal Township Chester County Pa 8am obs Moderate Snow 29.3 degrees Snow so far 3.5" and 1.8" since midnight I see your report! Here, I have gone from some wet flakes to SN- that is sticking to the ice crust on the walks and street. Almost at 1" of various layers of ip and snow and ice from ZR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
penndotguy Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Light to sometimes moderate snow 2.5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluehens Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 4 minutes ago, Lady Di said: I'm southern chesco 4 miles over the state line. Same boat, and here we were in the sweet spot yesterday. Oh well. 2-4"? maybe. Yes we went from feast to famine. It simply won’t turn over to snow. We have been sleet or freezing rain since about 2pm yesterday. Very persistent warm nose parked right over us. Now we get into peak sun hours and I just don’t think we will see rates high enough to accumulate much. I think 2-4” sounds about right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Looks like banding setting up shop NW of PHL and then down through Baltimore into DC. Most of SEPA, SNJ and all of DE under light returns that are freezing drizzle or straight rain. Exactly as progged until 9-10am transition down that way in extreme SE PA etc. SN here still. 1.3" now from round 2 since 7am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Latest HRRR only has 6 inches total. Considering that mt holly said 11-15 inches . I’m really curious why if it plays out that way, it wouldn’t be considered a bust.For what area specifically is 6" on the Hrrr? Did Mt Holly have 11-15" for that same area? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Can the couple of folks repeatedly posting "bust" over and over please do all of us a favor and read more/post less or take it to the banter thread? Going thru the obs is becoming a chore this morning. Believe me, we all get your point(s) that you feel your area will be one of the most epic fails of all-time as stated......and no problem with the opinion. Just take it to banter or one post on this opinion is fine. Some of us are in the middle of a developing snowstorm and are trying to relay obs to one another. Much appreciated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowLover22 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 5 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: 26 minutes ago, Philadelphia Snow said: Latest HRRR only has 6 inches total. Considering that mt holly said 11-15 inches . I’m really curious why if it plays out that way, it wouldn’t be considered a bust. For what area specifically is 6" on the Hrrr? Did Mt Holly have 11-15" for that same area? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Winds increasing here and have noticed a shift from the E ESE to the NE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bluescat1 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 1 minute ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Can the couple of folks repeatedly posting "bust" over and over please do all of us a favor and read more/post less or take it to the banter thread? Going thru the obs is becoming a chore this morning. Believe me, we all get your point(s) that you feel your area will be one of the most epic fails of all-time as stated......and no problem with the opinion. Just take it to banter or one post on this opinion is fine. Some of us are in the middle of a developing snowstorm and are trying to relay obs to one another. Much appreciated. I am saying I don't see pressure falls off of the coast, I thought this was going to be a second coastal system? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Might be noise? Seems like a very isolated anomaly with the qpf with a general 7-12" being depicted otherwise region-wide. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted March 21, 2018 Author Share Posted March 21, 2018 4 hours ago, sibbley said: Good morning. New guy here. I've been following the threads here through the last few storms. Thought it was time I joined to post observations from Northampton County. Snow started in Nazareth about 3:30AM. Temp 29/dp 24. Wind 5-10 mph. Decent coating on cars and driveway. Welcome! I made my first post during a snow event also (12/08/13). Hope we all get hours of 1" per hour rates today! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Quickly closing in on 2" new snow from round 2 now. Radar returns really blossoming and steady SN/SN+ here now. Off to work soon.....have fun today guys, hold it together, and gl to all!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted March 21, 2018 Author Share Posted March 21, 2018 2 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: 5 minutes ago, Philadelphia Snow said: Might be noise? Seems like a very isolated anomaly with the qpf with a general 7-12" being depicted otherwise region-wide. I'd take that with a huge grain of salt. Pick a different model output, lol. Besides, it's snowing here now!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Fwiw, this isnt the mashed potato snow here that I was expecting.....definitely more fluff factor than I thought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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