gymengineer Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 I look outside my window at a gorgeous snowstorm underway, covering paved surfaces here in North Bethesda, and then read this last page of downer posts. Whatever. People who want to be disappointed go ahead. The rest of us are enjoying this event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 1 minute ago, WxUSAF said: 1”/hr isn’t intense? This will be my last post on the ridiculous expectations game. Try to enjoy today. It’s a freaking KU storm. It's very solid. I generally think of 2 inches per hour as my bar for intense snowfall. It would take it snowing an inch an hour from now until the middle of the afternoon to get 6 inches. How is this a KU storm? We are going to get half a foot or so if we are lucky. Not to go all Ji, but that's baffling to me. We had a storm do this several years ago on St. Patrick's Day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 the euro model was very misleading. it had 20" of snow nearby, but the algorithm doesn't understand snow vs sleet. so cut that in half, deduct a couple inches because it's climo, and i think 4-6"+ is a good call right now based off of everything i'm seeing for dc/bmore. more north/nw/ne. that said, if that 500 or 850 low is even a little further south or closer to the coast than depicted, i think we could move into the boom category with this. either way, gotta love daytime snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zippity Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Want snow? Try I-81 N just north of Harrisonburg, VA. I’m from the land of no snowplows though, so 3-4” is snowpocalypse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattb65 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 5 minutes ago, gymengineer said: I look outside my window at a gorgeous snowstorm underway, covering paved surfaces here in North Bethesda, and then read this last page of downer posts. Whatever. People who want to be disappointed go ahead. The rest of us are enjoying this event. Some people are displaying some very odd pathology. Awesome storm here, daytime SN+ in late March, don't see how anyone could be disappointed with this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 5 minutes ago, wxtrix said: you have stupid and unrealistic expectations. SPC puts out mesoscale discussions for 1”/hour rates because that is heavy snow. i had 1”/hour rates all throughout the 32” storm from a few years ago. you have no idea what you’re talking about. and it’s a KU storm in DC because it’s the biggest March DC snowstorm in something like 50 years. Blame the models, not me. And I thought DC got 6-10 on St Patrick's Day back in 14 or 15? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 9 minutes ago, 87storms said: the euro model was very misleading. it had 20" of snow nearby, but the algorithm doesn't understand snow vs sleet. so cut that in half, deduct a couple inches because it's climo, and i think 4-6"+ is a good call right now based off of everything i'm seeing for dc/bmore. more north/nw/ne. that said, if that 500 or 850 low is even a little further south or closer to the coast than depicted, i think we could move into the boom category with this. either way, gotta love daytime snow. The parent low seems so slow to move east. I'm curious if maybe that extends are duration. Probably just wishful thinking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 9 minutes ago, mattb65 said: Some people are displaying some very odd pathology. Awesome storm here, daytime SN+ in late March, don't see how anyone could be disappointed with this. I think it is because the snow isn't pink like the pretty maps showed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 3 minutes ago, osfan24 said: The parent low seems so slow to move east. I'm curious if maybe that extends are duration. Probably just wishful thinking. I'm not trying to start anything with you, after all you are an O's fan, but for someone that seems to take the models verbatim with every run, it seems out of character for you to extrapolate your own thinking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 19 minutes ago, osfan24 said: It's very solid. I generally think of 2 inches per hour as my bar for intense snowfall. It would take it snowing an inch an hour from now until the middle of the afternoon to get 6 inches. How is this a KU storm? We are going to get half a foot or so if we are lucky. Not to go all Ji, but that's baffling to me. We had a storm do this several years ago on St. Patrick's Day. 1" per hour is heavy snow and very impressive snow at that. I guess there's some subjectivity in "intense snow" but 1" per hour rates will be reported by METAR in more cases than not as heavy snow.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 2 minutes ago, wxtrix said: you’re the one who doesn’t understand forecasting, not the models. I got 7” or 8” in that storm in Charles Town. p sure DC did not. I'd have to check back at my notes...but you are correct. I was driving back from PA and I definitely did not have 6-10 inches when I got home. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Wider view of radar also looks great. Going to be a great day! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardNole Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 14 minutes ago, wxtrix said: ...and it’s a KU storm in DC because it’s the biggest March DC snowstorm in something like 50 years. Bwahahaha! This won't even be a top-10 March storm for the last 50 years. March 4, 2014 and St Paddy's Day 2014 were both better. This won't even touch the March '99 clipper. Barely pixie dust now in Germantown as the good stuff sets up east of I95. Congrats east, congrats north, congrats beaches with the "bomb cyclone", congrats Philly, NYC, Boston. It's the everywhere but here winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 1 hour ago, WxUSAF said: Confused by all these heavy snow/1” per hour/roads caving reports. I was told this was a bust? I just took a six mile walk around my part of balt city. That’s absolutely not the case here in terms of roads caving etc. It is snowing, and pretty, but this isn’t going to accumulate up here much at these rates. Still, glad to walk in falling snow. But unless something changes drastically, this is an absolute bust in terms of verifying warning level snow here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 3 minutes ago, North Balti Zen said: I just took a six mile walk around my part of balt city. That’s absolutely not the case here in terms of roads caving etc. It is snowing, and pretty, but this isn’t going to accumulate up here much at these rates. Still, glad to walk in falling snow. But unless something changes drastically, this is an absolute bust in terms of verifying warning level snow here. This thing needs sustained monster rates to verify. Always been my concern that we'd just spit all day and it wouldn't accumulate well. This stuff can pile up for sure if the rates are there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmagnet Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 11 minutes ago, wxtrix said: you’re the one who doesn’t understand forecasting, not the models. I got 7” or 8” in that storm in Charles Town. p sure DC did not. I think we had at least 10” in that St Patty’s storm in Fairfax Co, just west of DC. DC never scores as much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jacindc Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 11 minutes ago, BlizzardNole said: Bwahahaha! This won't even be a top-10 March storm for the last 50 years. March 4, 2014 and St Paddy's Day 2014 were both better. This won't even touch the March '99 clipper. Barely pixie dust now in Germantown as the good stuff sets up east of I95. Congrats east, congrats north, congrats beaches with the "bomb cyclone", congrats Philly, NYC, Boston. It's the everywhere but here winter. I think those of us "south and east" who have spent (in my case, anyway) years watching "north and west" pile up in the inches while we get slush might tell you to just cool your jets this one time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 9 minutes ago, BlizzardNole said: Bwahahaha! This won't even be a top-10 March storm for the last 50 years. March 4, 2014 and St Paddy's Day 2014 were both better. This won't even touch the March '99 clipper. Barely pixie dust now in Germantown as the good stuff sets up east of I95. Congrats east, congrats north, congrats beaches with the "bomb cyclone", congrats Philly, NYC, Boston. It's the everywhere but here winter. Radar looks solid. It's going to snow steadily all day. Six inches seems attainable. It's not a top 10 March storm, but it's going to be a decent event. I think you will do fine in Germantown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 No such road caving, etc here in the city...Pretty much like a random snow squall. Maybe a coating at best...man, warning level snow has been so hard to get here the last two years it's ridiculous. 5 inches has been my benchmark, and I have serious doubts if we can get that unless stuff picks up tremendously...I hope the storm is just a slow mover and it still has time to get good. C'mon...we deserve it!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrs.J Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Just came in from the first of many driveway clearings. Wet underneath but a bit of fluff on top. Will be on a 2 hr. check so it will not get too overwhelming. I am restricted to moving lower weights and I want to be able to help my husband. Also it is just what I grew up with in OH before we had a snow blower. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Better rates now for first time - and at .75 so far. The banter part - it’s caking the trees and my backyard cardinal population looks gorgeous perched amongst the branches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 14 minutes ago, snowmagnet said: I think we had at least 10” in that St Patty’s storm in Fairfax Co, just west of DC. DC never scores as much. Correct. Pretty sure I had 9” in Burke, but don’t let facts get in the way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Straight nuking at this very moment. Heading out for a Jebwalk and juice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 It gets so incredibly bright when the rates let up a little. Snow has been pretty dry for the most part in Burke, with very little in the way of parachutes except for early on. Really impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 6 minutes ago, North Balti Zen said: Better rates now for first time - and at .75 so far. The banter part - it’s caking the trees and my backyard cardinal population looks gorgeous perched amongst the branches. Cardinals are ripping at the bird feeders this morning. Post a pic of a few in the obs thread. It's really starting to come down now in my hood. I should be at 2+ in no time at this point. Radar looking sweet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 1 hour ago, snjókoma said: I guarantee you Arlington/DC won't see 4 inches, let alone 3. I’m at 1.75” already. BUST Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 10 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said: Cardinals are ripping at the bird feeders this morning. Post a pic of a few in the obs thread. It's really starting to come down now in my hood. I should be at 2+ in no time at this point. Radar looking sweet. That is cool! Been trying for a few years to get a photo of a cardinal in the snow... bright red on white background! Alas I either didn't have the camera on me when I saw one or had wrong type lens! Anyhow, snowing here at good clip for past couple hours. About 2" on ground and pavement areas covered. Even Connecticut Ave is snow and slush covered up here by beltway (near Chevy Chase area). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Just now, Always in Zugzwang said: That is cool! Been trying for a few years to get a photo of a cardinal in the snow... bright red on white background! Alas I either didn't have the camera on me when I saw one or had wrong type lens! Anyhow, snowing here at good clip for past couple hours. About 2" on ground and pavement areas covered. Even Connecticut Ave is snow and slush covered up here by beltway (near Chevy Chase area). Yeah. They are elusive in the snow it seem lol. I had to get the snapshot when I could. They both flew away literally right after the snap too. I'll take it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 3 minutes ago, nj2va said: I’m at 1.75” already. BUST DCA is already at 2. I'm in NW DC and approaching 3. I am going to troll him into oblivion if this storm performs. I didn't realize what a terrible poster he was until this morning's awful tirade. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Walk done. fire made. bacon in pan. pancake batter waiting. snow falling. all good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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