PhineasC Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 25 minutes ago, T. August said: Okay in all seriousness, not feeling too good about this one for here at least. I can see the favored areas from today adding another 4-5”, but those who didn’t get much accums, will probably end up with 3-4” storm total. Not bad for March, but would be a storm fail. Before I get **** on, this is just my opinion. It feels pretty clear now where this one is headed. If you cleaned up today, you might hit 8-10 storm total if everything breaks your way tomorrow. If you have 1-3 inches now, expect to maybe get to 5 tomorrow. If you have wet streets or some slush, maybe 1-3 tomorrow. I have felt all day like tomorrow was being oversold. It will need to come down in buckets for a sustained period of time for the majority of the current forecasts to work out. LWX now has 10+ across a very large part of the CWA which is nuts outside of a thin strip near the PA border. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Z-Cast Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Lots of opinions with little analysis to back them up is why I’m glad there is a banter forum. Many of you need to take a shot of something strong and hang them up for the night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 My goal was to make it to the first snowflakes...not sure I can make it another 2 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Hey, if this is gonna bust, I'd much rather know now...If it is, I'll happily turn my attention to the weekend potential, lol Still holding out hope for this one, though...(although I may not sleep as easy!) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EHoffman Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 1 minute ago, Maestrobjwa said: Hey, if this is gonna bust, I'd much rather know now...If it is, I'll happily turn my attention to the weekend potential, lol Still holding out hope for this one, though...(although I may not sleep as easy!) Go to bed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mordecai Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 On the bright side...we still have the Sunday storm on GFS...right...right? In all seriousness, we're far too deep into this to pull the rug now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 3 minutes ago, EHoffman said: Go to bed. My typical bedtime is around 3am (except Saturday nights), good sir...not sleep yet! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allisong Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Earlier everyone was fretting when LWX wasn’t hoisting warnings soon enough. Now folks are upset LWX is going too big on their amounts. I mean obviously they haven’t digested the 00z suite and it’s cutbacks. Forget the fact that they are all Mets and have studied the math, physics and science. Or that they have experience with our climo, and forecasting here, for some, probably years. Obviously they have no clue. (This is sarcasm if you weren’t sure.) Folks are getting way over their skis with the deb downer worry imo. We are about to get snow in the Mid Atlantic in late March. Spring has supposedly sprung. But here we are. If you thought you were getting 15 inches in some sort of 5 hour deathband tomorrow, we’ll then yeah you’ll probably be disappointed. But if you’re happy it can still snow around here and are looking forward to enjoying watching stuff fall from the sky tomorrow, then let’s just enjoy this. It’s been a long time since the whole sub has truly gotten a good snowfall. January 2016 was memorable, but too long ago. Now we’ve got a snow storm knocking on our doors. Let’s not waste our time fretting over whether we get 4 or 6 or 12. I know we’re all selfish and we all want all the snow. But let’s just enjoy this one. It’s bonus snow in a snow drought year. If we spend all our time worrying about model output and radar returns not doing precisely what we expected, we’ll then we’re gonna miss out on all the fun. Snow brings everyone here joy. We wouldn’t be hanging out in a winter weather forum if it didn’t. Let’s tap into that and enjoy this storm. It’s gonna snow tomorrow dudes!! There is not a storm cancel. Beautiful white stuff is gonna fall from the sky. Some of us are gonna do better than others. It might be historic, it might not. Let’s not waste this worrying about the things we have no control over. The atmosphere is gonna do its thing. Let’s watch it and enjoy it! Sorry for the rant. I’ve lurked and learned so much here. I appreciate all I’ve gained. There are so many smart people in this forum. Thank you for sharing your knowledge. Now, stiff upper lip, & enjoy our incoming snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snjókoma Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 It really feels like Snowquester part 2. I hear dripping outside. This is gonna be a demoralizing bust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Something something front end always under performs, back end always over performs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 15 minutes ago, snjókoma said: It really feels like Snowquester part 2. I hear dripping outside. This is gonna be a demoralizing bust. Why do you only post when bad things happen? You must enjoy it I guess Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Throwback On 12/8/2017 at 10:44 PM, snjókoma said: I smell a big bust incoming. How did that work out? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestminsterSnowCapitalMA Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 lol why the hell is everyone freaking out. let the storm materialize, or not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 If this still happens it will happen while I am at work getting yelled at by co-workers who are asking why they are at work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 I haven’t read any threads since going to sleep at 10 but this time of year delayed is denied. Needed it to start in earnest before daybreak. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 I'm very glad that I slept. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 No offense to bob who loves them, but I’ve come to loathe ULLs in March. We needed the front runner to work like it did for the far west and North crew. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 What a modeling disaster. Qpf cut by 150% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Just now, Ji said: What a modeling disaster. Qpf cut by 150% This is truly the worst winter in the darkest timeline. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 This would be a pretty sad model performance if this thing goes down in flames. What the heck happened...i went to sleep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 1 minute ago, leesburg 04 said: Lol Yeah. I thought you were way off, but...nope. Worst part is I keep signing up for the crazy people on here who chase march snows after the 10th. That’s on me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Just now, leesburg 04 said: This would be a pretty sad model performance if this thing goes down in flames. What the heck happened...i went to sleep Got me. I just woke up at four and temp here has risen from 30 to 34. I think it just didn’t get started in time. And needing ULLs to do the heavy lifting in late March is a bad option... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 No matter what happens its a bust. One of the worst storms ever. March 20th lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Whoops. I forgot climo always wins. Perfect end to one of the worse winters I can remember. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 It’s march 21st. Morning showers followed by a high around 62 would have been nice. This crap blows all the chunks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 1 minute ago, North Balti Zen said: It’s march 21st. Morning showers followed by a high around 62 would have been nice. This crap blows all the chunks. I'd love to be tilling my garden and planting my pototatos, but no. Bob Chill convinced me not to worry about climo. Sorry, Bob. You own this one lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Oh well I was supposed to drive to Jersey today...at least I got out of that. Is it going to snow at all now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardNole Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Wow woke up to NOTHING and radar looks awful. I feel like a sucker for finally believing in this last night. 8-12 inches predicted and now we'll be lucky to get 2 or 3 inches. The March Liar of 2018. What a God-awful winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Can you smell that? That's the smell of bust. The question is, will I even need to bother breaking out the snow shovel? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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