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Typhoon Tip

Confidence increases for coastal storm threat along Eastern Seaboard

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2 minutes ago, Spanks45 said:

So I am assuming the EURO took DC/Baltimore's 18-24 inches away from yesterday?

Ha, haven't looked, but since the board is actually functioning I assume so?

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10 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Th nrn edge will have a decent band thanks to the deformation or stretching you have thanks to the **** streak. That will enhance the frontogenesis. Think of thos 2010 bands only not as robust. Remember the philly feb 2010 band.

Where do you think that zone would be?

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15 minutes ago, JC-CT said:

Many in SNE are above normal already. I am, and I'm still near the rear of the pack after some banding screwgies.

Yup.

My average range is 30 to 35 inches. Already have 47 inches thanks to the last two snowstorms.

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5 minutes ago, dryslot said:

One of you CT guys should fire up an obs thread and leave this one to discuss model output for the storm.

I would if I wasn't on mobile

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1 minute ago, MaineJayhawk said:

It just isn't what it used to be ;)

Ride a horse, 80/20 (Euro/others)

Every time i hear that i lol, Its scores are still better then any guidance out there, You want to toss it, You're at your own risk, Consecutive runs now its pretty meh, I'd be concerned if i was in ts crosshairs, Its not going to make any big moves this close in now.

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1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said:

It's gonna be fun pulling out that 06z NAM forecast when we get 3" of snow. I bet the euro wins this handily...it's almost never wrong when it is insistent like this. 

You can see the shorter term guidance all trending toward it. 

Multi-cycle + multi-model (including Euro) trend was pretty strong and I was harping on that last evening. And all consistent with the same issues we were discussing since the beginning... too much confluence + mechanics disjointed by first shortwave and multiple low centers + when it does occlude it's too far south.

Could there be surprises? The zonked out 0z NAM gave some pause because it led the charge on the last storm, but this close in, I think GFS + UK + RGEM + HRPDS caving to Euro has to be given a lot of weight this morning. 

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5 minutes ago, Whineminster said:

Not too often a storm traverses the benchmark and we get nothing out of it

Every storm has it's own unique charm -

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2 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Meh.... should have just stuck with the euro locally here. Those meso models amped up had me thinking we could do better.

3-6. Storm has sucked. No doubt 

 Enjoy your 3-6",  damn sure better than rain.

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9 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Meh.... should have just stuck with the euro locally here. Those meso models amped up had me thinking we could do better.

3-6. Storm has sucked. No doubt 

:blink:  .. not supposed to do much in your town until late afternoon through tomorrow morning... 

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