codfishsnowman Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 1 minute ago, Sugarloaf1989 said: Still on effect here, with 4-8" expected. i will drive down thursday morning for pictures Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 6 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: This one feels worse than the others. We'll see if some consolidation at 00z happens. That first one on March 2, that was winter storm warning with nothing but rain for almost all of us,right up to and during the storm. With everybody waiting for the flip that never came lol...how quick we forget. One model showed a flip, another did not. Etc etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Gfs is a monster Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 GFS is more robust than 18z through 30...CT getting crushed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 gfs crushes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Gfs is a monster Too bad nobody should ever use it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Yup, upton just updated at 4:35 and has this area in the 12-18 inch range..most likely amount is 15”. Zero Euro factor there. Ok..game on I guess, let the fun/mystery begin! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 CT jack incoming. Nice! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Johnno Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Man what a night to be a forecaster on tv yikes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 2 minutes ago, MaineJayhawk said: Too bad nobody should ever use it Lol...good point, but it’s adding weight that the Euro just may Be otl?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 This is ridiculousl modeling....the GFS basically has a midlevel deformation out in the berkshires/NW CT this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Just now, ORH_wxman said: This is ridiculously modeling....the GFS basically has a midlevel deformation out in the berkshires/NW CT this run. Exactly my point Will...what’s correct?? NWS going big here... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Yeah, it's the GFS, but at least it's roughly in line with the modeling other than the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 1 minute ago, Hoth said: Yeah, it's the GFS, but at least it's roughly in line with the modeling other than the Euro. Yes that’s the takeaway imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Well we know the equinoctical period reduces model skill but I didn’t think that applied to short range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weatherexpert Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 It's over Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 6 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Exactly my point Will...what’s correct?? NWS going big here... Stay the course. 10-14”, have fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 10 minutes ago, weathafella said: CT jack incoming. Nice! It's about time! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarverWX Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 NWS still going 8-12 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 If this last run is a hiccup by the euro then that model has an issue that should.be fixed immediately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 3 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Stay the course. 10-14”, have fun. Berg I’m on the Bus...staying the course -the Wolf is in the house lol!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 So far between 12z and 18z the models have me in a range of 2"-20" for a storm that ends in 36 hrs...sweet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 1 minute ago, 8611Blizz said: If this last run is a hiccup by the euro then that model has an issue that should.be fixed immediately. They should just go back and take the update out, and return it back to what it was previously (if that’s even possible)? But ya....if it’s a burp run again...it’s really sh**ting itself. We’ll find out shortly if it’s right or wrong?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersComing Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 This is ridiculousl modeling....the GFS basically has a midlevel deformation out in the berkshires/NW CT this run.GfS slams the piss outta southern half of CT. Man I wouldn’t want to be a Met for this one for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Ok so, what do we do? I have two friends who are on snow removal crews for commercial plazas, one in Plymouth and one in Framingham. Plymouth so far could get 2 or 12. Actually same for Framingham. And what do you do if your in charge of calling off school. Earlier Worcester was up to 18, but then they could be as low as 2? And now the GFS comes out and still hinting at a bigger storm. The models sure are a hot mess! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 What a crazy GFS run for C/NNE. Ch 9 Mets in Manchester NH went on air an hour ago and said everything was being pushed way south. We were really totally out of the qpf until this run. Now a general 2-4" or 3-6" way, way NW of all other runs, into much of Vermont . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersComing Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Remarkable thing with this storm is the only consistent thing has been the NWS for once. They’ve stayed the course since pretty much yesterday . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Outside of perhaps even extreme northern CT (which I think like 5-6'' is still a good average) I think CT should get slammed. The only questions really I think are how does the dry air hold out? This really only seems to be a problem as you proceed northward towards the border. Where the models close off 700mb low though is a prime spot for heavy snow across CT and the track of it favors prolonged period of banding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 7 minutes ago, Spanks45 said: So far between 12z and 18z the models have me in a range of 2"-20" for a storm that ends in 36 hrs...sweet Yes sir...same here!! Going with NWS..12-18” here..same for you! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
subdude Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 1 minute ago, wxeyeNH said: What a crazy GFS run for C/NNE. Ch 9 Mets in Manchester NH went on air an hour ago and said everything was being pushed way south. We were really totally out of the qpf until this run. Now a general 2-4" or 3-6" way, way NW of all other runs, into much of Vermont . same for N. ORH county. Sticking with 2-4" for my area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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