JC-CT Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Put the fooking Reggie away. That model BLOWS What is my final total? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Mule it is. Your health, gentlemen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 This is reggie wheelhouse. I'd say that's a massively positive sign. Rgem nailed storms from mid range in 2015. I feel like it was lucky more than anything else. Feel like this time frame it's definitely good to weigh it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 2 minutes ago, JC-CT said: What is my final total? 3-6” should cut it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 It does seem like all the indications are pointing towards good banding across CT. Sure some of the forecasts (including my own) of widespread 10'' plus won't come to pan out but I would think at least HFD on south is still game for a good widespread 6-8'' with maybe a few higher totals. Getting some decent low-level fronto setting up but we are starting to slowly get some better omega into the SGZ but the best is still south. With how this system will transition that should come right overhead. Should get a good period of maybe 5-6(?) hours of moderate to heavy snows. Maybe approaching 1.5'' per hour at times. Radar appears to suggest this as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 That system is just sitting off the Delmarva. https://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid=dox&product=N0R&loop=yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Just for posterity sake, I'm not sure I've seen a 6-hour cut back like the 3km WRF in a while. I mean jeez. KBED lost 1.0" of QPF and BVY lost like 1.4" in a run in a 24-hour near term nowcast. 12z 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Ground covered here and trees coated..moderate snow. Nice explanation Wiz..hope so! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 2 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: It does seem like all the indications are pointing towards good banding across CT. Sure some of the forecasts (including my own) of widespread 10'' plus won't come to pan out but I would think at least HFD on south is still game for a good widespread 6-8'' with maybe a few higher totals. Getting some decent low-level fronto setting up but we are starting to slowly get some better omega into the SGZ but the best is still south. With how this system will transition that should come right overhead. Should get a good period of maybe 5-6(?) hours of moderate to heavy snows. Maybe approaching 1.5'' per hour at times. Radar appears to suggest this as well That does seem to line up really well... south coast counties should rip. Nice find. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Ray probably 'splainin to the fiancé why he spent so much time on this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Here's my very scientific well thought out forecast regarding this system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 snowing pretty good here right now. No idea what to expect in the next 12 hours. If were going to put up some non zero totals... I think it’ll be between like 12-6am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 2 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Ray probably 'splainin to the fiancé why he spent so much time on this. She Took the old school rap song playlist at the reception he had planned away as punishment? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 7 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Ground covered here and trees coated..moderate snow. Nice explanation Wiz..hope so! Hope your shovel is good and sharp. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 That stuff developing/blossoming under Long Island looks interesting. Hopefully that rotates northward into the South Coast. You can see a nice band forming on BOX and OKX radar and lifting north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 What I am a bit shocked about is the lack of more rapid deepening of the sfc low. I think that is one reason which is sort of holding this back. While the mid-levels are strengthening (albeit slowly) the result isn't occurring at the surface. Unfortunately the models actually don't strengthen the low much more...perhaps going back to what I was looking at earleir with how they weaken this low and begin a transition process to a second low development well east of the Cape. Due to good ascent though, even with slowly strengthening mid-levels the radar will slowly fill in. If there is some plausible reason that could allow for the sfc low to strengthen a bit quicker I would think we see precip generation quite rapidly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Sitting in a subby hole. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 2 minutes ago, powderfreak said: That stuff developing/blossoming under Long Island looks interesting. Hopefully that rotates northward into the South Coast. You can see a nice band forming on BOX and OKX radar and lifting north. That has to bring something into CT. Juicy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 The LLJ is kinda crappy too which isn't helping drawing in stronger moisture. Even within the shield of precip in the radar posted above there are areas of drier air. Sort of looks like there is even drier air being ingested to the system from just off the mid-Atlantic coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 This pathetic system "crashed' the board 2x. Really? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Boston cancelled school. Lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 1 minute ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: This pathetic system "crashed' the board 2x. Really? They’re snow starved in the M/A. Having lived through a Virginia winter, I now understand their pain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
henry1978 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 2 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: This pathetic system "crashed' the board 2x. Really? lots of double digit totals in bucks and Montgomery counties in SE PA. But overall I agree it's pathetic. This system looks like Don Imus naked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Just now, CoastalWx said: Boston cancelled school. Lol. Many cities and towns did. They better hope that 6" pulls through or the public is going to be pissed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Just now, henry1978 said: lots of double digit totals in bucks and Montgomery counties in SE PA. But overall I agree it's pathetic. This system looks like Don Imus naked. That's totally uncalled for... now I'm nauseous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Okay, I've run out of patience. I put it to the board: Glenlivet, Moscow Mule, Old Fashioned? I'm out of beer and I don't want to go out in these "severe" ( to borrow NWS' product phrasing) conditions.Oban. Otherwise... Glenlivit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 1 minute ago, USCG RS said: 1 hour ago, Hoth said: Okay, I've run out of patience. I put it to the board: Glenlivet, Moscow Mule, Old Fashioned? I'm out of beer and I don't want to go out in these "severe" ( to borrow NWS' product phrasing) conditions. Oban. Otherwise... Glenlivit Love Oban, but sadly don't have any. Already took down a few Mules, so will save the 'Livet for another day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
henry1978 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 1 minute ago, 8611Blizz said: That's totally uncalled for... now I'm nauseous. imagine how his much younger wife feels knowing that he's lived a lot longer than she anticipated when she married him over twenty years ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Love Oban, but sadly don't have any. Already took down a few Mules, so will save the 'Livet for another day.Good call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 It's antagonizing to watch radar. You know it's coming. And every push of the echos on the upper tilts gives you encouragement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.