TalcottWx Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Just now, Hoth said: Okay, I've run out of patience. I put it to the board: Glenlivet, Moscow Mule, Old Fashioned? I'm out of beer and I don't want to go out in these "severe" ( to borrow NWS' product phrasing) conditions. Funny you mention. I am on glass two of Tito's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 1 minute ago, sbos_wx said: Funny you mention. I am on glass two of Tito's. Well played, sir. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Well there's always the 18z RGEM and it's hi-res cousin....amped up pretty nicely for E MA. Of course, there's the RAP and HRRR which are now basically T-2" events. Truth is prob in between....which is the Euro, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 5 minutes ago, Hoth said: Okay, I've run out of patience. I put it to the board: Glenlivet, Moscow Mule, Old Fashioned? I'm out of beer and I don't want to go out in these "severe" ( to borrow NWS' product phrasing) conditions. Moscow mule, those aren't bad at all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Well there's always the 18z RGEM and it's hi-res cousin....amped up pretty nicely for E MA. Of course, there's the RAP and HRRR which are now basically T-2" events. Truth is prob in between....which is the Euro, lol. In these bizarre setups, I try to look at the actual synoptics of it. As obviously you do too. The Euro was very steady and less amped. NAM almost matched it at 18z. They still probably drop 6" even at BOS. They look very similar in terms of QPF. Models are notorious for struggling with mid level banding, and just banding in general. When one looks at 7h or even 850... It'd be hard to see a scenario where eastern portions doesn't do well for a few hours. HRRR RAP and notorious for jumping around. They are good for trends. But they have gone back and forth all day. They haven't been of much use at all. Their only purpose to me is to establish trends. Right now it's only established to me that they are both clueless. Haven't looked at 18z rgem and hrdpm but I will now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
henry1978 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 10 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Lol, I was thinking it sounded like that poster They loved to stand on their soapbox No, just pointing out the realities of local tv news. bob Copeland and don kent wouldn't have a career if they were starting out today. I think that's unfortunate what an ugly business local tv news has become and how homogenized it's become. And that's why I don't watch. FOX, CNN and MSNBC are going through the roof but local tv continues to drop. When you tune into a boston newscast eighty percent of the people don't even have any type of new England accent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Well there's always the 18z RGEM and it's hi-res cousin....amped up pretty nicely for E MA. Of course, there's the RAP and HRRR which are now basically T-2" events. Truth is prob in between....which is the Euro, lol. Will what does the Euro show for Eastern areas? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 2 minutes ago, JC-CT said: Moscow mule, those aren't bad at all Depends how many you have. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Just now, 8611Blizz said: Will what does the Euro show for Eastern areas? .4 or .5 for you if I remember. Generally 3-6" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 5 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Well there's always the 18z RGEM and it's hi-res cousin....amped up pretty nicely for E MA. Of course, there's the RAP and HRRR which are now basically T-2" events. Truth is prob in between....which is the Euro, lol. Reggie bringing it back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Just now, Hoth said: Depends how many you have. chem bol'she tem luchshe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
henry1978 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 14 minutes ago, sbos_wx said: Where has he been? He drove me up a wall. So did JC-CT when I was in a bad mood, but turns out he's a top weenie imho. I'm here. JC was PMing me egging me on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Greenfield DPW is out salting and sanding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Just now, henry1978 said: I'm here. JC was PMing me egging me on. It's true. I was sending him pics of omelettes and it made his yolk run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 1 minute ago, henry1978 said: I'm here. JC was PMing me egging me on. You changed ur name? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 1 minute ago, sbos_wx said: .4 or .5 for you if I remember. Generally 3-6" Thanks Jay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 11 minutes ago, Hoth said: Okay, I've run out of patience. I put it to the board: Glenlivet, Moscow Mule, Old Fashioned? I'm out of beer and I don't want to go out in these "severe" ( to borrow NWS' product phrasing) conditions. Make it a mule..love those!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Just now, JC-CT said: It's true. I was sending him pics of omelettes and it made his yolk run. Wait... You guys were really PMing each other to troll me? LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
henry1978 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Just now, JC-CT said: It's true. I was sending him pics of omelettes and it made his yolk run. Were you also the one sending dick pics? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Just now, sbos_wx said: Wait... You guys were really PMing each other to troll me? LOL No lol I have no idea who he is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 RGEM and hi res rgem offer some hope for something half decent. 6+ Boston points south at -8z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 4 minutes ago, sbos_wx said: In these bizarre setups, I try to look at the actual synoptics of it. As obviously you do too. The Euro was very steady and less amped. NAM almost matched it at 18z. They still probably drop 6" even at BOS. They look very similar in terms of QPF. Models are notorious for struggling with mid level banding, and just banding in general. When one looks at 7h or even 850... It'd be hard to see a scenario where eastern portions doesn't do well for a few hours. HRRR RAP and notorious for jumping around. They are good for trends. But they have gone back and forth all day. They haven't been of much use at all. Their only purpose to me is to establish trends. Right now it's only established to me that they are both clueless. Haven't looked at 18z rgem and hrdpm but I will now. The RAP/HRRR have been steadily cutting this storm into almost nothing all day....it's been a very steady trend...there was maybe one run that stopped the trend around 14-15z but otherwise its been literally less and less each run. Now, I agree they can be awful, but if you're claiming to use them for trends, then you can't ignore the trend on them. The good news is they don't seem to be matching current obs all that well...they seem too dry with the initial stuff over SNE right now...so we'll see if that translates better down the road. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Just now, henry1978 said: Were you also the one sending dick pics? No that was winterwolf. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Lol...???? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 WSW dropped here, about time it was a joke. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Briz600 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 10 hours ago, Briz600 said: I am going with a safe 6 - 12 here. I guess I am going to be way off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Just now, ORH_wxman said: The RAP/HRRR have been steadily cutting this storm into almost nothing all day....it's been a very steady trend...there was maybe one run that stopped the trend around 14-15z but otherwise its been literally less and less each run. Now, I agree they can be awful, but if you're claiming to use them for trends, then you can't ignore the trend on them. The good news is they don't seem to be matching current obs all that well...they seem too dry with the initial stuff over SNE right now...so we'll see if that translates better down the road. Well, I'm not exactly as good at articulating this stuff as you. But that's exactly what I mean. A trend isn't just more or less QPF. Initialization or current obs factored in also. That's what I mean by all over the place. In these dry air, northern fringe storms, you will ALWAYS have the hires models overdue reflectivity and qpf in the 12 hours prior to the storm. Now we say they cut away totals all day, I think we need to take that into account. I feel like it was massively predictable considering that. And now they don't seem to have a grip. So that's what I mean by back and forth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Put the fooking Reggie away. That model BLOWS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Put the fooking Reggie away. That model BLOWS GFS is even worse imo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 15 minutes ago, sbos_wx said: Funny you mention. I am on glass two of Tito's. snows picked up a bit here. Radar looks good to the southwest. My wife likes titos, I don't, prefer bourbon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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