RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 4 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Thank you Berg...doesn’t move all to far in those 12 hrs either. It’s a nice setup for a slow mover. The dynamics arent out of this world where 3-4”/hr rates are the norm but a solid 20hrs of accum snow should get is in that 10-14” range..... and maybe some get lucky inside a band and tickle 18? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rnaude241 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 The 00z Herpes is going big again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 GFS and NAM MOS with big 8s for BDL. Jerry would be happy with that sign. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 3 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: It’s a nice setup for a slow mover. The dynamics arent out of this world where 3-4”/hr rates are the norm but a solid 20hrs of accum snow should get is in that 10-14” range..... and maybe some get lucky inside a band and tickle 18? Yes sir...a major storm for sure...with a nice airmass-actually the best of the four storms this March. Combine that in and this could be a nice event fir us/many. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 3 minutes ago, rnaude241 said: The 00z Herpes is going big again. DEETS?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Man..I havent hit 16” since 2011. This may come close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 4 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: DEETS?? 84 to the coast jack. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Oh I like the sound of that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 The CTR valley girls need this one.....come on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Just to 6z thur. It’s stuck at hr30. I have to get sleep, peace. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheSnowman Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 47 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: My second guess snowfall map, my last map comes tomorrow morning. You never learn........ do you. If all those areas get 12" + I will play NAKED. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bboughton Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 You never learn........ do you. If all those areas get 12" + I will play NAKED. It’s basically the HRDPS output. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Final call. It's been a long day/night. Goodnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Ukie qpf well down from 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 7 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said: Ukie qpf well down from 12z. doesnt look too much different for CT, just a slight tick down i would call it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 13 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said: Ukie qpf well down from 12z. Ukie takes the first lead low down to 991/992 Se and E of sne By 7am/1pm We toss Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 there will be a foot just 10-20 miles away lol....mother of god Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 What a clusterf on guidance... Just as we were praising UK for relative consistency... dropped in qpf vs. 12z: slight 10 mm ≈ 0.4 inch in SNE, but drastic almost 20 mm ≈ 0.8 inch cut off in southeast PA: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 4 minutes ago, wxsniss said: What a clusterf on guidance... Just as we were praising UK for relative consistency... dropped in qpf vs. 12z: slight in SNE, but drastic almost 20 mm ≈ 0.8 inch cut off in southeast PA: Ehh they did see a good slug of qpf in sepa between12z today and 0z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ajisai Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 [1:00AM Update] Bulk of any precipitation will remain south of the region. The Chatham sounding shows quite a bit of dry air in the low levels of the atmosphere. It will take a bit of time to erode this dry air, so expect a dry forecast tonight into early tomorrow morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 I think the GEM looks very reasonable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 6 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Ehh they did see a good slug of qpf in sepa between12z today and 0z Even taking that into account, seemed like significant cutback down there, maybe 15-20mm... that's an even more stressful forecast down there because there's lots of good guidance including 12z Euro supporting 14-20"... I always fear for them getting the rugged pulled in these setups Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 7 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I think the GEM looks very reasonable. It's almost a smoother version of the GFS... GFS a little more lumpy due to those heavy qpf blobs southeast CT and eastern MA related to localized 850-700 fronto, perhaps associated with pieces of vorticity, but I think that meso stuff is impossible to pinpoint this far out... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Just give me an early 700 fronto band here....that’s the goods....get in on that and you can “take em up” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Euro is rolling, out to 6. I really will be dumb founded if it's not (at the very least) an improvement over 12Z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Just now, The 4 Seasons said: Euro is rolling, out to 6. I really will be dumb founded if it's not (at the very least) an improvement over 12Z. We pray Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 1 minute ago, The 4 Seasons said: Euro is rolling, out to 6. I really will be dumb founded if it's not (at the very least) an improvement over 12Z. Please stay on PBP for those here who aren’t dialed in....thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Euro looks somewhat better to me, so far.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Clear shift east at surface with low off Maryland through 24... we'll see if vortmax can wrap around and catch it in next frames Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunderblizzard Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Euro is... not great. Marginally better than 12z perhaps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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