ROOSTA Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 Blue flashes with crackling, rainfall >2"/hr. on going. I'll take a 4-6" snowfall over this any-day, twice on Sunday! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 I do wish we could get into the WAA stuff. As is it may kiss the south coast. But I’m not sure how organized this will be as the system occludes under us. It may not have a wide area of meaty echoes. Maybe a big band with the deformation and then banded stuff south of it? We’ll see what future guidance does. It does try to fill in later Wed aftn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 This is actually a better run in that it’s still winding up off the joisy coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 2 minutes ago, weathafella said: This is actually a better run in that it’s still winding up off the joisy coast. It's a terrible run imby verbatim Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I do wish we could get into the WAA stuff. As is it may kiss the south coast. But I’m not sure how organized this will be as the system occludes under us. It may not have a wide area of meaty echoes. Maybe a big band with the deformation and then banded stuff south of it? We’ll see what future guidance does. It does try to fill in later Wed aftn. Flags be flying Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 3 minutes ago, JC-CT said: It's a terrible run imby verbatim Queen it it was a weird disjointed look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 Just now, weathafella said: Queen No. It was terrible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 NAM has a force field up along the VT/NH border. Razor sharp cutoff. Not a great look N of Pike W of ORH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 3 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Flags be flying No not necessarily. But I certainly do not share the excitement as the previous storm. I guess that one is on another level anyways lol. We shall see. Plenty of time to analyze the details. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 Just now, JC-CT said: No. It was terrible. All sorts of screw zones. Narrow banding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolMike Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 This storm looks historic for New Jersey. How often do they get slammed like that, let alone in the second half of March? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: No not necessarily. But I certainly do not share the excitement as the previous storm. I guess that one is on another level anyways lol. We shall see. Plenty of time to analyze the details. Yea, this event is one giant flag for huge amounts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 I thought nam was fine aloft. Esp H5. What an absolute scalping in the mid-atlantic though...epic sleet storm there before it changes to snow eventually. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 WAA has trended north so there's that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Yea, this event is one giant flag. Definitely has the potential to close off too early for us and blow its load to the South. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: I thought nam was fine aloft. Esp H5. What an absolute scalping in the mid-atlantic though...epic sleet storm there before it changes to snow eventually. I have been waiting for the carpet to get pulled down there....very,, very leery of a major snow in the mid atl big cities with an RNA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 I'm going out on a limb and predicting this storm won't match the widespread 18"+ amounts as last storm. Taking a risk here.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 Just now, SouthCoastMA said: WAA has trended north so there's that Yeah, weird distribution though, you would think waa would be a little more expansive but just stops S of VT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 1 minute ago, SouthCoastMA said: WAA has trended north so there's that Yes. That may sneak into srn areas. Big fronto there is sort of a red flag for north placement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 Just now, HIPPYVALLEY said: Definitely has the potential to close off too early for us and blow its load to the South. Don't get me wrong...nice snow, but I don't see the monster potential, which is fine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 Fukking DST...0z would have been fun... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 A general 4-8" seems safe attm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 Just now, ORH_wxman said: I'm going out on a limb and predicting this storm won't match the widespread 18"+ amounts as last storm. Taking a risk here.... Feeling lucky? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 Just now, HIPPYVALLEY said: Yeah, weird distribution though, you would think waa would be a little more expansive but just stops S of VT. The mid level progs argue north. My comment was for those giddy about 12+. It could happen, but you want a real good CCB for that. Or def band to stall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: The mid level progs argue north. My comment was for those giddy about 12+. It could happen, but you want a real good CCB for that. Or def band to stall. Even if this is just middling the temperatures are a big asset so will be fun to see late season powder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 2 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said: A general 4-8" seems safe attm. This. Safe call right now. The NAM having that screwzone over Eastern conn is a little concerning. Who knows where that ends up but it could max out sw of us and someone is screwed in the middle before it gets going again east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: The mid level progs argue north. My comment was for those giddy about 12+. It could happen, but you want a real good CCB for that. Or def band to stall. Yea...all I meant. Significant snow, regardless. There is a reason those are considered huge and anomalous....like Will intimated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Feeling lucky? C'mon dice....snake eyes baby! But in all seriousness...yeah. I think as long as people don't start fishing for widespread 12+, then this storm will satisfy many. There's good CCB/deformation signal across SNE. There's very good low level cold. The storm is losing it's best dynamics somewhat quickly so people will have to understand that some periods of lighter snow will happen. But I could def see a nice stripe where double digit totals occur inside of the best band. We'll see if we can trend the WAA portion a little further west into the main wave down south...maybe then we can reevaluate the idea for higher totals. But right now, most should pin their sights on 6-12...I like your range for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: This. Safe call right now. The NAM having that screwzone over Eastern conn is a little concerning. Who knows where that ends up but it could max out sw of us and someone is screwed in the middle before it gets going again east. Could be some LLC out east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 5 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Yeah, weird distribution though, you would think waa would be a little more expansive but just stops S of VT. 18z NAM in big disagreement with 12z Euro, which had pushed the good returns more to the NW from its 0z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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