Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,502
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    Weathernoob335
    Newest Member
    Weathernoob335
    Joined

March 12th-13th ULL Discussion


Hvward

Recommended Posts

Interesting forecast, even to the Coast..

rain will overspread the area tonight and Monday as low pressure
moves off the coast and then strengthens. Some wintry
precipitation is possible as this system pulls away Monday
night. Freezing temperatures will affect some inland locations
in the early mornings Tuesday, Wednesday, and especially on
Thursday. A warming trend will develop late in the week and into
next weekend.
----------------------

AND:

The NAM is more agressive with the cold air and mid
level forcing across the Cape Fear area while the GFS is a
little warmer and the forcing is displaced further eastward. The
NAM via pure prog kuchera methodology is painting a couple
inches of snow mainly across Pender County. Giving the NAM a
slight nod while sticking with the GFS and consistency, I have
expanded the rain/snow mix a bit further southward around 02-04
UTC with no accumulation.

 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • Replies 554
  • Created
  • Last Reply

I'm terribly confused by the lack of a cold source.  Is this gonna be a CAD event that ramps up tomorrow?  Or dynamic cooling once the storm bombs?  There is no cold air to the west and no freezing temps until you get well into PA.  Temps at elevation are in the 40s.  So what gives?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Just now, kvegas-wx said:

I'm terribly confused by the lack of a cold source.  Is this gonna be a CAD event that ramps up tomorrow?  Or dynamic cooling once the storm bombs?  There is no cold air to the west and no freezing temps until you get well into PA.  Temps at elevation are in the 40s.  So what gives?

Snow is Magical !!  Should be dynamic cooling with the ULL It has it's own cold air.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, kvegas-wx said:

I'm terribly confused by the lack of a cold source.  Is this gonna be a CAD event that ramps up tomorrow?  Or dynamic cooling once the storm bombs?  There is no cold air to the west and no freezing temps until you get well into PA.  Temps at elevation are in the 40s.  So what gives?

The cold air with an upper level low is in the mid and upper levels. Precipitation rates drag the cold air down to the surface and you get heavy wet snow with near isothermal soundings.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

You know you're having a bad day when....

.EQUIPMENT...
Due to equipment failure, GSO upper air will be unavailable until
further notice. Technicians have been notified and are enroute to
troubleshoot the problem. With the potential winter storm only 12
hours away, every attempt is being made to restore the equipment.
Link to comment
Share on other sites

51 minutes ago, BIG FROSTY said:

I got friends on FB say it is snowing at there house a little while ago? In NW Surry County.... Radar show no such thing, But I'm sure they wouldn't lie about it!!! 

I down to 37.5 

Same here on Haystack Road down to 37. Just rain. For now 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.

×
×
  • Create New...