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Typhoon Tip

March 13th ... west Atlantic bombogenesis type low clipping SE New England, more certain ...may be expanding inland

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Just now, CoastalWx said:

There is still that signal way west over Berks into NH, and then the tremendous fronto stuff with the CCB pushing onshore. 

Dom and Tip may get their subsidence

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1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

A few will.

I love how some question how a track so far east can bury e sne, but if a death band gets pegged over Mitch, people just fawn over it in awe lol

yea I didn't understand that post from him. I know of many times when we get pounded from offshore storms, especially with a CCB like that, its not just banding and we are talking sub 970 with Northern stream energy phasing in. Still think 6-12 CT river to RI Border 12+ east of there

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1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Look at that mid level Banding over most of W Mass and CT. That’s similar to the VT band last week 

Have you looked?

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2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Have you looked?

He has those fronto maps on TT now so he doesn't have to wait for a text from Shabbs. Of course that's just H7 so the banding could be a little west of the best H7 fronto. IOW, the NAM has it west of him. lol

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7 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

People can't have it both ways...its too far east for us, yet no one questions the deformation setting up over the Berkshires.

Fraud logic. 

I could see a massive one to my east (hopefully you get in on that), buries coast, and another , smaller one to the west of me, that helps out CT.

Some lighter, but broader stuff in NY and VT look nice

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4 minutes ago, dendrite said:

He has those fronto maps on TT now so he doesn't have to wait for a text from Shabbs. Of course that's just H7 so the banding could be a little west of the best H7 fronto. IOW, the NAM has it west of him. lol

Do the best VV line up just west of the frontogenesis?

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6 minutes ago, dendrite said:

He has those fronto maps on TT now so he doesn't have to wait for a text from Shabbs. Of course that's just H7 so the banding could be a little west of the best H7 fronto. IOW, the NAM has it west of him. lol

I saw nice banding over the E 2/3 of CT. Fluff factor 1-2” per hour stuff 

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I like where I'm at, but I think banding will favor just east and just west of here, and its just starting to show in the models.  Unless we are absolutely bombed under the thick of it, and its not banding much, these things that drop tons over the canal and have ocean enhancement, and then have a midlevel band band further west inevitably select the narragansett bay for their subsidence.  Nothing to complain about, I'm really excited for this as a likely winter send-off.  Driving up 95 to portland after this last storm was a fun time, and I want in on some of that, less the widespread tree snapping.

I'm guessing 9 inches here, with lower ratios in the initial wet thump, and not as generous a reacharound as elsewhere.

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1 minute ago, NeonPeon said:

I like where I'm at, but I think banding will favor just east and just west of here, and its just starting to show in the models.

a bit self-contradictory unless you hate snow.

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2 minutes ago, JC-CT said:

Do the best VV line up just west of the frontogenesis?

Sometimes the best forcing with those bands end up higher up...H5-H7. I'll have to look at BUFKIT later as I have to head out. I'm sure Scoot can explain it more and better.

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1 minute ago, dendrite said:

Sometimes the best forcing with those bands end up higher up...H5-H7. I'll have to look at BUFKIT later as I have to head out. I'm sure Scoot can explain it more and better.

Usually just a warm side of that IIRC. But as you said, probably want H7-H5 avg fronto to really nail those bands down. 

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Just now, JC-CT said:

a bit self-contradictory unless you hate snow.

No - I love snow, but I've lived here long enough to know that noreasters almost never favor narragansett bay.  All things being equal, this area will almost always underperform areas nearby.  It's not confirmation bias either, it's just geography... statistically borne out. 

So I like generally where I am.  Warning level events this time of year, especially ones with this much upside is playing with the houses money.  Hoping to jackpot here is a recipe for disappointment. 

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