March 13th ... west Atlantic bombogenesis type low clipping SE New England, more certain ...may be expanding inland

[JC-CT]

Just now, The 4 Seasons said:

HRDPS.

Do not insult it. It has gifts for you.

those gifts aren't everything they seem (she gives you herpes)

[Damage In Tolland]

14 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

I'm going up. 

Whoa!!

[CoastalWx]

STDs for all.

[#NoPoles]

15 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Am concerned for coastsl

plymouth county and CC. This will be wet for awhile. Like Feb 2013 am concerned the heavy stuff starts heavy and then freezes. This helped bring down lots of trees. 

Oh crap...im actually getting nervous

[CoastalWx]

Just now, #NoPoles said:

Oh crap...im actually getting nervous

I meant starts wet and then freezes. That happened in feb 2013 and stuff just went snapping when winds kicked up. 

[CoastalWx]

Herpes model just gave Jimmy sores for life.

[Hoth]

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Herpes model just gave Jimmy-sores for life.

Correction.

[The 4 Seasons]

RIP Jimmy.

[SR Airglow]

14 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

Nice but im going more uniform there is a solid sig for mod to heavy snowfall well west of the qpf maps are showing. I think there is some variability in snowfall totals no doubt, but i do not think it will be a dead W to E gradient like this map or even my first map would suggest. 

Yeah I don't think it will be an exact gradient either, but it's hard to get pretty on a map when you have the uncertianty re banding that we do right now. This will definitely bust in some areas but I think I'd rather do that than go with a broadbrush total when I think there will be many areas of relative disappointment between the main bands (outside of eastern CT which is in line to get crushed). Tough call.

[amarshall]

Am concerned for coastsl
plymouth county and CC. This will be wet for awhile. Like Feb 2013 am concerned the heavy stuff starts heavy and then freezes. This helped bring down lots of trees. 

We lost all our trees last week

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[Damage In Tolland]

1 minute ago, amarshall said:

We lost all our trees last week

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Pics?

[mostman]

22 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

The next panels are even more impressive east of you.  Just crushed.

That is beast mode there and looks to rot over eastern areas.

Signed. Ship it. 

[weathafella]

Well we rolled the dice and winter may go up from D 3 weeks ago to B of this pans out even if we’re in the middling range with more in the pipeline.  Front and back loaded winter.

[The 4 Seasons]

2 minutes ago, weathafella said:

Well we rolled the dice and winter may go up from D 3 weeks ago to B of this pans out even if we’re in the middling range with more in the pipeline.  Front and back loaded winter.

yeah it was a C-/D+ for me probably go up to a B depending on how this pans out

[RIstoneworkguy]

Well If I can’t finish my stonework due to snow I might as well enjoy it.    

Is there going to be a marine influence near the south coast of RI   inhibiting totals?  I’m assuming the temp will drop with the snowfall for this one,  keeping the rain at bay.

[RIstoneworkguy]

15 minutes ago, amarshall said:

We lost all our trees last week

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I was without power for 4 days from the first of the three storms in as many weeks.   It was great.  

[Typhoon Tip]

Concerned that these oblong low structures that are on the MESOs may in fact be attempts to correct bodily west ...ultimately, failing in lieu of convection helping to lower height seaward too much and that feedback on carving the residual S/stream wave too far out to see - there is certainly a tension in these runs that is tugging between something, and I suspect it is between the better deep layer forcing versus the models modulating the heights downstream. 

I am still not ready to sign on as this thing not phasing more and seeing that happen tonight more on this next cycle perhaps not really fully getting there until tomorrow during now cast at that... Failure to capture to the bitter end almost makes sense for this immensely complex ordeal.  

[toller65]

No. 6.6".

Blizzard of 1888, was that March?

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[Hoth]

1 minute ago, toller65 said:

Blizzard of 1888, was that March?

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Yes, but was not a big snow producer in the Boston area.

[Bostonseminole]

started an obs thread since nobody seems to want to

 

 

[Sugarloaf1989]

9 minutes ago, Hoth said:

Yes, but was not a big snow producer in the Boston area.

I've read they got 10" .

[Hoth]

1 minute ago, Sugarloaf1989 said:

I've read they got 10" .

Yeah, but relative to what that storm produced elsewhere, it was nothing.

[weatherwiz]

Looking at forecast soundings across CT for tomorrow I notice that many places don't see a fully saturated column...I can't see that as being a good thing. My guess is that could to a quite a bit of evaporative cooling. Virtually if you aren't under the snow band the snow growth and snow rates are going to suck big time. Looks like the snow growth zone also goes to hell as well like right after mid-morning as well. 

[bristolri_wx]

Are we looking at slightly less (maybe an inch or two off of projected totals) because this is falling during the day in the middle of March?

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

5 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

Looking at forecast soundings across CT for tomorrow I notice that many places don't see a fully saturated column...I can't see that as being a good thing. My guess is that could to a quite a bit of evaporative cooling. Virtually if you aren't under the snow band the snow growth and snow rates are going to suck big time. Looks like the snow growth zone also goes to hell as well like right after mid-morning as well. 

This is always the concern being on the western fringe. Plus it’s going to be around freezing when we wet bulb down. Pavement will be wet. No reason to close schools with 3-6” of snow on grassy surfaces.

[Sugarloaf1989]

6 minutes ago, Hoth said:

Yeah, but relative to what that storm produced elsewhere, it was nothing.

Actually Boston got 12" according to the book I have on the blizzard.

[donsutherland1]

24 minutes ago, toller65 said:

Blizzard of 1888, was that March?

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Yes. March 11-14.

[weathafella]

1 minute ago, Sugarloaf1989 said:

Actually Boston got 12" according to the book I have on the blizzard.

But CT got 50

[Spanks45]

1 hour ago, CoastalWx said:

Yeah Ryan. CT will get it good. Runaway rejoice. As usual these bands set up west. 

Lets move that band about 20 miles to the west so we can share!

[Go Kart Mozart]

The northern stream vortmax is evident on radars.  You can see the signature for very cold air aloft over Ohio now.