March 13th ... west Atlantic bombogenesis type low clipping SE New England, more certain ...may be expanding inland

[dryslot]

12z GGEM 962.8mb

[Damage In Tolland]

4 minutes ago, JC-CT said:

I think we can safely say, it's coming. It is now a matter of how much and where.

Runaway may jack 

[Hoth]

3 minutes ago, dryslot said:

12z GGEM 962.8mb

Where? Can't see it yet.

[weathafella]

3 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said:

Ahhh yes that happens sometimes.  I hate to miss biggies though.  Need a back up plan for this one I think.  I once sacrificed 5K for a storm...Jan 96 in Philly.  Worth every penny.

Backup plan is easy.   Logan shut down 

[ineedsnow]

Just now, Hoth said:

Where? Can't see it yet.

Instantweather

[dryslot]

Just now, Hoth said:

Where? Can't see it yet.

SV

[JC-CT]

Not to toot my own horn, but that's exactly what I'm going to do. Also, as a reminder not to be surprised if we don't see our northern stream come in even stronger still.

nice job @Typhoon Tip for being all over this one. the rest of us are along for the ride.
 

On 3/10/2018 at 8:41 AM, JC-CT said:

As much as this appears on life support, there is still a critical piece here that is up in no man's land.

 

On 3/10/2018 at 10:51 AM, JC-CT said:

Easy to say now that there are two pieces of 12z guidance that are confirming my thoughts, but these canadian no man's land shortwaves tend to be undermodeled in strength by the satellites and often will trend stronger almost up until go-time.

 

[dryslot]

1 minute ago, JC-CT said:

Not to toot my own horn, but that's exactly what I'm going to do. Also, as a reminder not to be surprised if we don't see our northern stream come in even stronger still.

nice job @Typhoon Tip for being all over this one. the rest of us are along for the ride.
 

 

 

You horn blower you.

[tavwtby]

Last weeks storm all had good fronto bands over my head and east, they wound up west by 30 miles, the one prior clipped the Catskills, if I'm not mistaken, that was also a bit east of modeling, based on jackpot snow, perhaps the goods this one will be more east with the deform near the river area... certainly seems like it looking at 700/850 fgen....any chance of p-type issues for SE areas now as the west trend continues?

[WeatherX]

I will stretch way out on a limb and take the over on precip totals west of the CTRV so far on the 12z suite

[JC-CT]

2 minutes ago, dryslot said:

You horn blower you.

I blow all sorts of things. Bubbles mostly.

[dryslot]

1 minute ago, JC-CT said:

I blow all sorts of things. Bubbles mostly.

I'll just leave it with bubbles, This could go many places.

[weathafella]

Man this thing fell into place over this weekend didn’t it?

[dryslot]

1 minute ago, weathafella said:

Man this thing fell into place over this weekend didn’t it?

The 3 crowns friday FTMFW!

[HIPPYVALLEY]

Can we start clarifying E of the River?  When that term is used it seems to be more relative to CT not areas further N.  

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Late season clowning makes me giggle like a catholic school boy learning under Father John. 

If we don’t see the se ticks tomorrow then the deform could get west enough for Hippy. We remain outside looking until Euro can clarify.

[dryslot]

26 minutes ago, moneypitmike said:

I think you'll enjoy the recap.

I'm guessing pit2 is in order for this?

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Just now, HIPPYVALLEY said:

Can we start clarifying E of the River?  When that term is used it seems to be more relative to CT not areas further N.  

I always lump MA with it.

[ROOSTA]

It's gonna be a hummdinger!
Nothing like going out with a bang. How lucky being mid-Morch with snow threatening?
Here at noon it's 80F with a Td of 62F

[dryslot]

1 minute ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

Can we start clarifying E of the River?  When that term is used it seems to be more relative to CT not areas further N.  

I think that's south of the pike..........

[weathafella]

5 minutes ago, dryslot said:

The 3 crowns friday FTMFW!

I ended up with an expensive bottle of Cabernet.   Maybe that’s the combo?

[Bostonseminole]

Just now, ROOSTA said:

It's gonna be a hummdinger!
Nothing like going out with a bang. How lucky being mid-Morch with snow threatening?
Here at noon it's 80F with a Td of 62F

pool weather already

[JC-CT]

2 minutes ago, dryslot said:

I think that's south of the pike..........

NW of 84, i95 storm, east is best, berks jack, up the hudson river valley, congrats chicago

[JC-CT]

cutter, OTS, congrats bermuda

[JC-CT]

the interior, CJ, congrats James, congrats PF, congrats Dendrite

Is that all of them?

[moneypitmike]

How I hope....

 

[weathafella]

2 minutes ago, JC-CT said:

the interior, CJ, congrats James, congrats PF, congrats Dendrite

Is that all of them?

congrats mpm

[CoastalWx]

All guidance has separate fronto band at H7 over the hudson river to the MA\NY border. This is likely from the nrn and srn s/w interaction. It's the type where queens see less than .5" QPF and get a foot.

[bobbutts]

Start time for Boston?

[Hoth]

8 minutes ago, weathafella said:

I ended up with an expensive bottle of Cabernet.   Maybe that’s the combo?

For a bad hangover?