EastonSN+ Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Light snow in Easton. Picked up approx. 1 inch overnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parterre Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Rain here in Upper Manhattan. I have a bad feeling about this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Moderate snow Temp 29° Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 5 minutes ago, Parterre said: Rain here in Upper Manhattan. I have a bad feeling about this. More than likely, once the better dynamics get involved, the light rain will flip to snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 31/E5/SN- Ground temp is warm, ~36* @ 2", so streets are not covered and so far what has fallen is accumulating very slowly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parterre Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 6 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said: More than likely, once the better dynamics get involved, the light rain will flip to snow. I'm not the most informed person about these things. What dynamics are these? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Light to borderline moderate snow. 2" on the ground from the overnight until now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 3 minutes ago, Parterre said: I'm not the most informed person about these things. What dynamics are these? The lift from the deepening storm. The column will cool as it becomes saturated. The area of warm air aloft is relatively small. Based on the latest soundings, it won't take much to cool it sufficiently for the precipitation to transition to snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 4 minutes ago, Parterre said: I'm not the most informed person about these things. What dynamics are these? Basically that it will get colder and snow harder. Still waiting. Forecasters still saying it will happen, but it's getting near mid morning and nothing to show for it out here. Some light wet snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Just now, donsutherland1 said: The lift from the deepening storm. The column will cool as it becomes saturated. The area of warm air aloft is relatively small. Based on the latest soundings, it won't take much to cool it sufficiently for the precipitation to transition to snow. Yeah Don the pros are still convinced too, but a lot of us are not liking this so far. What was the progged start time? NWS said don't go out after 7 am on one update, so that's already been blown. When she would we start to see an actual snowstorm out of this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZeeTwentyFour Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Liquid mist in Oceanside Rockville Centre. Barely any snow covered grass and cars.Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-G930A using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Closing in on 2" in MMU, mostly on the grass. Roads are beginning to get covered. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 2 minutes ago, weatherpruf said: Yeah Don the pros are still convinced too, but a lot of us are not liking this so far. What was the progged start time? NWS said don't go out after 7 am on one update, so that's already been blown. When she would we start to see an actual snowstorm out of this? Lift already taking place in areas,,,ps winds are out of the North at least by me,,that is much better THAN OUT OF THE east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDemon Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 And the panic begins. Light rain/snow mix in Chinatown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILoveWinter Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Flurries in midtowm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swamplover56 Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 2 minutes ago, weatherpruf said: Yeah Don the pros are still convinced too, but a lot of us are not liking this so far. What was the progged start time? NWS said don't go out after 7 am on one update, so that's already been blown. When she would we start to see an actual snowstorm out of this? You have been on the board more than anyone for the past few days if you don't know that the real show doesn't start til the coastal takes over and that this is what's called the overruning and was discussed AD NAUSEUM that this wasn't the main show, not to worry etc I'm just not sure what to say to you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Upton has upgraded my P&C forecast to 13-21".. Game on! over 2" already otg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swamplover56 Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Moderate snow in Berkley Heights 1.5" on the grass roads starting to turn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Metasequoia Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 First flakes in downtown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 2" of tree clinging snow. Doesn't bode well out this way. I anticipate more outages unfortunately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 6 minutes ago, weatherpruf said: Yeah Don the pros are still convinced too, but a lot of us are not liking this so far. What was the progged start time? NWS said don't go out after 7 am on one update, so that's already been blown. When she would we start to see an actual snowstorm out of this? Best guess: Between 15z and 17z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Just now, donsutherland1 said: Best guess: Between 15z and 17z. Thanks Don. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Flizziling. Can't freak out over WAA precip dissapaiting people. It's irrelevant when 4"/hr thunderstorms are incoming this afternoon . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Temps are a bit mild right now with mostly light rain, 36F. Winds have picked up though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 2 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said: Flizziling. Can't freak out over WAA precip dissapaiting people. It's irrelevant when 4"/hr thunderstorms are incoming this afternoon . Exactly.. This WAA precip was well modeled and had a general 1-3" for the interior before the main show. You guys down in NYC should see a good 8-12". Nassau prob 6-10", Suffolk prob 2-6" more W less E Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxman Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Just went over 2" new snow. Temp 33. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Important point to keep in mind. While many are focusing on the snow/liquid ratio, remember, that only affects snow depth, which to me is more of an "elegance" issue. With regard to impact on things like snow removal (force/energy needed for it) and the weight of the snow on trees and roofs, the same mass of snow falls regardless of the ratio, which is why I like using the 10:1 maps, as the conversion to mass is simple (you have no idea of mass with Kuchera). Same thing was true on 3/14 last year with the sleet - the mass of frozen precip was exactly as forecast - just didn't look as pretty, but was just as impactful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 1 minute ago, snywx said: Exactly.. This WAA precip was well modeled and had a general 1-3" for the interior before the main show. You guys down in NYC should see a good 8-12". Nassau prob 6-10", Suffolk prob 2-6" more W less E Thanks for the pep talk. And for not losing patience with us. Some of us are just regular folks. I'm taking a lot of heat from the locals. Wife wants to go into work. Not everyone has the luxury of understanding bosses. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 1 minute ago, RU848789 said: Important point to keep in mind. While many are focusing on the snow/liquid ratio, remember, that only affects snow depth, which to me is more of an "elegance" issue. With regard to impact on things like snow removal (force/energy needed for it) and the weight of the snow on trees and roofs, the same mass of snow falls regardless of the ratio, which is why I like using the 10:1 maps, as the conversion to mass is simple (you have no idea of mass with Kuchera). Same thing was true on 3/14 last year with the sleet - the mass of frozen precip was exactly as forecast - just didn't look as pretty, but was just as impactful. Excellent point RU.Thanks for that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 2" of tree clinging snow. Doesn't bode well out this way. I anticipate more outages unfortunately. Think it will get colder here? I’ve been steady at 32 and every surface, sans treated main roads, are covered.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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