poolz1 Posted March 30, 2018 Share Posted March 30, 2018 It's one thing to get a storm in the right spot but, to have a high providing that kind of cold air makes you believe that this has the potential to be something extreme somewhere in the east. Still a long haul with this one but just to have this modeled is pretty cool. 2nd week of April! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted March 30, 2018 Share Posted March 30, 2018 4 minutes ago, poolz1 said: It's one thing to get a storm in the right spot but, to have a high providing that kind of cold air makes you believe that this has the potential to be something extreme somewhere in the east. Still a long haul with this one but just to have this modeled is pretty cool. 2nd week of April! MD line won't get above 25 if it's snowing hard. That's insane. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted March 30, 2018 Share Posted March 30, 2018 Pretty amazing snapshot of surface temps at 240 hrs. Granted this is at 8:00 am in the morning but still the low temps are very impressive for a week plus in April. Not only that but look at the sheer scope of this cold which encompass the whole of the eastern US even all the way down to the Gulf, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 30, 2018 Share Posted March 30, 2018 Very little support on the EPS for a southern track. That solution on the op was highly suspect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 30, 2018 Share Posted March 30, 2018 Of course until we are inside of 7 days its a total crapshoot. But considering we are a week into April at that time, its really unlikely there will be a significant snow event in the lowlands, and especially not down in S VA/NC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 30, 2018 Share Posted March 30, 2018 10 minutes ago, showmethesnow said: Pretty amazing snapshot of surface temps at 240 hrs. Granted this is at 8:00 am in the morning but still the low temps are very impressive for a week plus in April. Not only that but look at the sheer scope of this cold which encompass the whole of the eastern US even all the way down to the Gulf, Yeah, that is a pretty wild map. Almost makes me think we have a shot. 9 minutes ago, C.A.P.E. said: Very little support on the EPS for a southern track. That solution on the op was highly suspect. Ok...what's it showing!?! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted March 30, 2018 Share Posted March 30, 2018 5 minutes ago, Amped said: MD line won't get above 25 if it's snowing hard. That's insane. Don't have soundings but from what I have seen the only warmth is probably a very shallow layer on the surface and that is only at 33 to 34 degrees. Everything thing else is plenty cold. Throw some decent moisture into that and we would most likely see surface temps in the mid 20's with a cold powder falling. Pretty incredible air mass for April. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted March 30, 2018 Share Posted March 30, 2018 Here's the anomaly map for the 240 hr period shown above. Just incredible the scope and especially the southern extent of this cold air mass. Something you would expect in the dead of winter not a week or two into spring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
McQuackleton Posted March 30, 2018 Share Posted March 30, 2018 Think it's a little over done, but hey.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 30, 2018 Share Posted March 30, 2018 3 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Yeah, that is a pretty wild map. Almost makes me think we have a shot. Ok...what's it showing!?! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 30, 2018 Share Posted March 30, 2018 2 minutes ago, C.A.P.E. said: Good luck N and W burbs! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peribonca Posted March 30, 2018 Share Posted March 30, 2018 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Good luck N and W burbs! How much of that is from the Monday deal? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 30, 2018 Share Posted March 30, 2018 Just now, stormtracker said: Good luck N and W burbs! Yes, lol. I mean, for those of us in touch with reality, we realize this is the area that would have the best shot at some accumulating snow. APRIL!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted March 30, 2018 Share Posted March 30, 2018 Just now, stormtracker said: Good luck N and W burbs! Think this winter gave you the middle finger? The Control run would probably drive you over the edge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted March 30, 2018 Share Posted March 30, 2018 2 minutes ago, peribonca said: How much of that is from the Monday deal? Think there was roughly a one inch bump up through the day 9 window from the Monday snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 30, 2018 Share Posted March 30, 2018 1 minute ago, peribonca said: How much of that is from the Monday deal? A couple inches NW of the cities. Overall not that impressive anywhere over the 10 day period other than the far western highlands. Of course things can/will change. April doe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted March 30, 2018 Share Posted March 30, 2018 nam 3k has a scorching overnight sunday surface, but upstairs looks good. 12k has snow. surface temps look much better as you get further north towards the M/D line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted March 30, 2018 Share Posted March 30, 2018 dang...12k cut back quite a bit on precip. could be a blip. edit: it's precip has been all over the place the last few runs. gfs has been steadier on that. will check back at 0z to see if this is anything worth tracking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted March 30, 2018 Share Posted March 30, 2018 1 hour ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Congrats Mid Atl friends! NAO block ftmfw! :-D This would be a rare event for the Middle Atlantic Region, if the 12z ECMWF verifies. Since 1887, Richmond has seen only 7 storms that brought 1.0" or more snow in April. Below is a chart for those storms, along with snowfall amounts for Boston, New York City, Norfolk, Philadelphia, Richmond, and Washington, DC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AU74 Posted March 30, 2018 Share Posted March 30, 2018 20 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said: This would be a rare event for the Middle Atlantic Region, if the 12z ECMWF verifies. Since 1887, Richmond has seen only 7 storms that brought 1.0" or more snow in April. Below is a chart for those storms, along with snowfall amounts for Boston, New York City, Norfolk, Philadelphia, Richmond, and Washington, DC. The DC snow hole looks like it was alive and well in 1915. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vice-Regent Posted March 30, 2018 Share Posted March 30, 2018 11 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: That near 20" in Philly stands out from 1915. It shows what's possible even near sea level with a anomalous setup. Probably a 50 to 100 year storm . So we're due . Due for different reasons. The end result is the same. Although I am open to it happening it may not verify. Too far out and there has been a bias lately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted March 30, 2018 Share Posted March 30, 2018 29 minutes ago, AU74 said: The DC snow hole looks like it was alive and well in 1915. Washington DC's 3 biggest April snowstorms are: 1. 5.5", April 1, 1924 2. 4.0", April 6, 1889 3. 3.5", April 3-4, 1915 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jandurin Posted March 30, 2018 Share Posted March 30, 2018 How did Philly get 20 and Richmond 10But dc 3.5Hmmmm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 30, 2018 Share Posted March 30, 2018 21 minutes ago, Jandurin said: How did Philly get 20 and Richmond 10 But dc 3.5 Hmmmm You will have to ask Tenman. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted March 30, 2018 Share Posted March 30, 2018 47 minutes ago, Jandurin said: How did Philly get 20 and Richmond 10 But dc 3.5 Hmmmm Think Boxing Day. I love how the Euro manages to shut-out MBY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jandurin Posted March 31, 2018 Share Posted March 31, 2018 Lol that control Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 31, 2018 Share Posted March 31, 2018 Maybe we can back into something special. Don Sutherland's chart kinda took me by surprise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted March 31, 2018 Share Posted March 31, 2018 12 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Drool worthy control run.. Sent from my SM-N950U using Tapatalk Still don’t think that will yield snow anywhere near the cities. Maybe because I haven’t lived through such an event so late in April. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jandurin Posted March 31, 2018 Share Posted March 31, 2018 Still don’t think that will yield snow anywhere near the cities. Maybe because I haven’t lived through such an event so late in April. Usually there's no chanceRight now there's a small chance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestminsterSnowCapitalMA Posted March 31, 2018 Share Posted March 31, 2018 THE CONTROLS ARE OUT OF CONTROL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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