Chris78 Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 2 minutes ago, yoda said: If anyone cares... 18z NAVGEM is a major hit Big improvement over its 12z run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 00z UKIE QPF wise is a C and S VA crusher... into SE VA as well. No, I don't know if its all snow as I don't have a 2mT or 850 that goes out that far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thanatos_I_Am Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 1 minute ago, yoda said: 00z UKIE QPF wise is a C and S VA crusher Picture? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 3 minutes ago, Thanatos_I_Am said: Picture? 00zUKMET1206HRQPF3-7-18.php 00zUKMET1266HRQPF3-7-18.php 00zUKMET1326HRQPF3-7-18.php It will open in paint for some reason... i dunno why it won't let me link the pics directly as I saved them to my computer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Gefs doesn't support the op at all. It supports a MA hit. For 120 hours leads that a big deal because it'S the opposite of the the typical group think. When the gefs almost unaminously agrees with a hit and the op is an outlier it adds credence to what we were talking about after the op came out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 33 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Oh hell Yea man. Plenty of these are latitude gainers also. Best mid range gefs run all year. Period. Encouraging Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 4 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Gefs doesn't support the op at all. It supports a MA hit. For 120 hours leads that a big deal because it'S the opposite of the the typical group think. When the gefs almost unaminously agrees with a hit and the op is an outlier it adds credence to what we were talking about after the op came out. Hopefully the Euro was high the past two runs. The GFS, if it was going to back down, would have at least started by now. Even if the Euro just makes a move toward the north, I'd feel even better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ATreglown Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 17 minutes ago, yoda said: 00z UKIE QPF wise is a C and S VA crusher... into SE VA as well. No, I don't know if its all snow as I don't have a 2mT or 850 that goes out that far Bummer, wish you did!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 12 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Gefs doesn't support the op at all. It supports a MA hit. For 120 hours leads that a big deal because it'S the opposite of the the typical group think. When the gefs almost unaminously agrees with a hit and the op is an outlier it adds credence to what we were talking about after the op came out. Your very first sentence threw me off (sounded negative at first, lol) So when the op is an outlier in this case...it's a good thing, huh? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 16 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Hopefully the Euro was high the past two runs. The GFS, if it was going to back down, would have at least started by now. Even if the Euro just makes a move toward the north, I'd feel even better. Check out the gefs meteo for DC. No doubt the best gefs d5-6 lead run all winter. Euro is going to have an ecouraging solution if I had to guess. We'll know in 20 mins. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Euro 96 is a big improvement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 6 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Check out the gefs meteo for DC. No doubt the best gefs d5-6 lead run all winter. Euro is going to have an ecouraging solution if I had to guess. We'll know in 20 mins. That's the only reason I'm waiting up...your pbp and a feeling that the Euro will give us hope.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thanatos_I_Am Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: That's the only reason I'm waiting up...your pbp and a feeling that the Euro will give us hope.... Stromtracker staying up for the Euro? Must be a good sign Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 On to the EPS... EURO still misses south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Man, what a model war at such a short lead. Should be interesting tomm...somebody's gonna cave hard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Welp, euro is the most disjointed of the 0z suite. The pieces don't phase. No dice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 4 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Welp, euro is the most disjointed of the 0z suite. The pieces don't phase. No dice. MAN this is annoying...How did everything but the EURO take a step in the right direction??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Models are still putting all the pieces together. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 13 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: MAN this is annoying...How did everything but the EURO take a step in the right direction??? 120 hours is a long time in model land. Simple spread. Euro wasn't far off. Just didn't the phase so the low stayed weak and couldn't gain latitude. It was actually an improved run in the upper levels compared to 12z. Just didn't work out this time. Nothing to sweat over yet. In 24-48 hours it gets real. Can't have guidance across the board slip back to disjointed. That would be problematic. Remember, you will rarely get all 3 global models to look the same at 120 hours out. If that annoys you then every storm will annoy you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 24 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: 120 hours is a long time in model land. Simple spread. Euro wasn't far off. Just didn't the phase so the low stawed weak and couldn't gain latitude. It was actually an improved run in the upper levels compared to 12z. Just didn't work out this time. Nothing to sweat over yet. In 24-48 hours it gets real. Can't have guidance across the board slip back to disjointed. That would be problematic. Remember, you will rarely get all 3 global models to look the same at 120 hours out. Tis is true...Its just being so close and not knowing which way it's gonna go...eh, just impatience on my part, lol (glad it looked better in the upper levels, though) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Very encouraging Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Eps snow went from 1 to 4 inches for me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Liking 6z gfs so far at 500...lets see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Hecs potential is back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peribonca Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 3 minutes ago, Ji said: Liking 6z gfs so far at 500...lets see Looking really good... Now we need it to stay the same for 20 model runs haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Looks like 50 50 low is slowing down flow which is helping phasing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 986 off va capes? Where is the dark blue? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 That last minute energy dive from Canada seems to have a negative impact but otherwise good run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmagnet Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 4 hours ago, Bob Chill said: Check out the gefs meteo for DC. No doubt the best gefs d5-6 lead run all winter. Euro is going to have an ecouraging solution if I had to guess. We'll know in 20 mins. All of them have snow except e13? Seems to be an excellent sign. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PDIII Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 25 minutes ago, Ji said: That last minute energy dive from Canada seems to have a negative impact but otherwise good run IMO this is a really good look. I just wish the euro was on board. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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