Median to above confidence for moderate (major?) impact event, midweek

[eyewall]

3-6" is going to be my call for BTV given the latest trends. It just isn't in the cards here as it looks right now. 

[Damage In Tolland]

Most of interior CT is getting 1-2 feet 

[ORH_wxman]

New RAP looks insane....out of control. Needs to be sedated. Prob 20+ for a good chunk of interior eastern zones

[TalcottWx]

15z HRRR coming in even colder. 

Lock it in folks. 

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, PeabodyFlood said:

Deets for the working plebeians?

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=hrdps&region=neus&pkg=mslp_pcpn_frzn&runtime=2018030712&fh=25

 

Through hr 24 it crushes over 12-18 just inland.

[CoastalWx]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

Most of interior CT is getting 1-2 feet 

2' would be tough I think.

[dendrite]

It's amazing how all of the biggies trend in favor of SNE in the past decade.

[TalcottWx]

Just now, ORH_wxman said:

New RAP looks insane....out of control. Needs to be sedated. Prob 20+ for a good chunk of interior eastern zones

Breaking out my black book of bad meteorology to note who fails to update their forecasts at noon. 

[weathafella]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

Most of interior CT is getting 1-2 feet 

Quite the death band on HRR for eastern CT!

[rnaude241]

6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Hi res RGEM is going wild tonight.

Woah, brings the goods even down this way! That's crazy

[TalcottWx]

All snow at 6pm down to the Canal on 15z HRRR 

[WintersComing]

7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Hi res RGEM is going wild tonight.

Ya the 12z run going nuts

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Something to note. All of these meso models seem to be pretty cold and trending colder.

15z hrrr has warning snow for all of se mass now

[weatherwiz]

I'm just worried about how long we sit under the banding which is why my highest zone for CT is 10-14'' with mention of isolated amounts to 18''. Not sure if the banding sits and pivots or if it just pushes through progressively. 

[ORH_wxman]

9 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Hi res RGEM is going wild tonight.

Over a foot on your fanny.

[WintersComing]

Ryan upping the totals again

[Damage In Tolland]

Ryan texted 12-18 n CT

[JC-CT]

Don't look now, but the GFS would have this be the second biggest storm over the next 7 days.

[HIPPYVALLEY]

4 minutes ago, dendrite said:

It's amazing how all of the biggies trend in favor of SNE in the past decade.

Oh' gee, I hadn't noticed.  

I remember the days when big coastals would tend towards hugging as we got in closer.  

[Mr. Windcredible!]

given the overnight and morning trends...I find it laughable that Upton is sticking with a WWA here.  Support is there for 6"+ right down to the shore...maybe the beaches in New London county are held to under 6". 

[CoastalWx]

3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Over a foot on your fanny.

We hope, but I would not be happy with the forecast...lol. Still, tough when it's so marginal. At least staying directionally correct is a step better. 

[WintersComing]

4 minutes ago, JC-CT said:

Don't look now, but the GFS would have this be the second biggest storm over the next 7 days.

Wrong thread

[subdude]

45 minutes ago, jbenedet said:

My best guess for Mass.

18-24" locally 30"

elevation is our friend. 

[CoastalWx]

Don't forget that even if it starts as snow, it won't do much above 33F in terms of sticking. 

[JC-CT]

1 minute ago, WintersComing said:

Wrong thread

No it was specifically referring to this storm. Sucka

[STILL N OF PIKE]

These o.e.s snows r serious at times

ASH to Peabody 

32 till Chelmsford now 34/ 35 by route 1

[Damage In Tolland]

12 minutes ago, dendrite said:

It's amazing how all of the biggies trend in favor of SNE in the past decade.

We got bigguns’

[Hoth]

7 minutes ago, JC-CT said:

Don't look now, but the GFS would have this be the second biggest storm over the next 7 days.

Saw that. What a March to remember if that pans out.

[CoastalWx]

Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said:

These o.e.s snows r serious at times

ASH to Peabody 

32 till Chelmsford now 35 by route 1

Some of it is CF enhanced. Slight temp/dewpoint difference there. But also, means temps off the deck are chilly.

[ORH_wxman]

1 minute ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

These o.e.s snows r serious at times

ASH to Peabody 

32 till Chelmsford now 35 by route 1

It's been ripping here at time...we have briefly gotten into moderate a couple times. Good several tenths stuck to everything except pavement.