wolfie09 Posted March 14, 2018 Share Posted March 14, 2018 Cant we just get a storm to go NE from here.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted March 14, 2018 Share Posted March 14, 2018 KSYR has a shot at 150" for season which is an honest winter by any account. The record is about 195" or thereabouts (1992/93). Gonna be hard to approach that without another Storm O'Century type event here. And how many of thesse major storm opportunities can there possibly be left in the pipeline? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted March 14, 2018 Share Posted March 14, 2018 37 minutes ago, Syrmax said: KSYR has a shot at 150" for season which is an honest winter by any account. The record is about 195" or thereabouts (1992/93). Gonna be hard to approach that without another Storm O'Century type event here. And how many of thesse major storm opportunities can there possibly be left in the pipeline? If you look at the graph of seasonal snowfall for Syracuse that’s in the Post Standard every day you’ll see that we’re actually right where the ‘92-93 season was just before the big storm. It was the 42inches from that storm along with snow right into April that year that propelled KSYR into the record book with 192.1 inches of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted March 14, 2018 Share Posted March 14, 2018 Snowfall intensity has picked up but flake size is really bad, almost microscopic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted March 14, 2018 Share Posted March 14, 2018 30 minutes ago, CNY_WX said: Snowfall intensity has picked up but flake size is really bad, almost microscopic. This has to be due to limited forcing/lift, or it's not adequately co-located with the best Snow Growth Zone, I think. There's sufficient moisture present and it's cold enough. If we had a real meteorologist in this forum they could probably better analyze the sounding. I only masquerade as one on 4Chan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted March 14, 2018 Share Posted March 14, 2018 Looking at radar there appears to have been a subtle shift in wind direction. Returns are now coming from the north, even a little west of north. Earlier they were coming from the NE off the Tug Hill which seemed to put me in an area of subsidence thus lighter snowfall. Snowfall intensity has definitely picked up in the last hour. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted March 14, 2018 Share Posted March 14, 2018 3 minutes ago, CNY_WX said: Looking at radar there appears to have been a subtle shift in wind direction. Returns are now coming from the north, even a little west of north. Earlier they were coming from the NE off the Tug Hill which seemed to put me in an area of subsidence thus lighter snowfall. Snowfall intensity has definitely picked up in the last hour. Good catch, that makes perfect sense. Downsloped FTL! The sounding I posted is a forecast one and shows a NW wind below 700mb level...But if it's really N or NE... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted March 14, 2018 Share Posted March 14, 2018 It's coming down now! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted March 14, 2018 Share Posted March 14, 2018 Yes CNY, great catch as it had to be DS'ing because that subtle wind shift has made all the difference in the world! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted March 14, 2018 Share Posted March 14, 2018 Green returns are gonna start to engulf the area I think as winds better align themselves out of the NW! As long as there's a moist cyclonic flow, snow should fly. I can't believe there's actually another system in the pipeline as thats just NUTS! The thing is, their not small events, but rather very impactful events that will go into the next KU book for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted March 14, 2018 Share Posted March 14, 2018 Gotta give Bing credit for picking up on warning amts in this region! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted March 14, 2018 Share Posted March 14, 2018 Didn't KBGM mention something about a SW moving through this evening some time that may enhance the snow thats already falling? I'm not so sure right now if it was them or KBUF but I know one of the offices said something like that but I guess it doesn't matter/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted March 14, 2018 Share Posted March 14, 2018 Definitely doesn't feel like March 13th thats for sure. Probably closer to what Feb should of been like but NOT! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted March 14, 2018 Share Posted March 14, 2018 Looks to be getting heavier and steadier. Seems as though, as Sun starts its Journey to the other side of this globe, things start to change. That March Sun is definitely having its say in whether this stuff sticks or not, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted March 14, 2018 Share Posted March 14, 2018 41 minutes ago, CNY-WXFREAK said: Didn't KBGM mention something about a SW moving through this evening some time that may enhance the snow thats already falling? I'm not so sure right now if it was them or KBUF but I know one of the offices said something like that but I guess it doesn't matter/ BUF An embedded shortwave trough is rounding the top of the upper low and moving across Montreal where enhanced lift is causing widespread moderate to heavy snow. This is expected to pivot southward across the North Country/eastern Lake Plains of Lake Ontario this afternoon/evening and accumulating snow will continue into tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted March 14, 2018 Share Posted March 14, 2018 My 6” woulda been 12”+ easy if it weren’t for the March sun angle. Tough to overcome with these light to moderate rates. Tough to measure. 6” on top of the old snow. 3” on driveway (generous). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted March 14, 2018 Share Posted March 14, 2018 Still SN- here downtown Cuse but radar lighting up closer to lake...Fulton looking much better on radar with some higher returns starting to show...hoping it fills and expands. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted March 14, 2018 Share Posted March 14, 2018 Its rippin here right now but I don't know about rt31. I'll have to ask the wife when she gets home. The wind is also wicked out there right now, easily gusting to 30-35 MPH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted March 14, 2018 Share Posted March 14, 2018 That SW may be approaching as things are beginning to ramp up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted March 14, 2018 Share Posted March 14, 2018 4 minutes ago, CNY-WXFREAK said: That SW may be approaching as things are beginning to ramp up. It has picked up here downtown in just the past few minutes. I no longer need field glasses to see the snow flakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted March 14, 2018 Share Posted March 14, 2018 If it snows at this intensity for the remainder of this event then we will easily surpass forecasted totals, easily! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted March 14, 2018 Share Posted March 14, 2018 Sun angle is making for wet roads but getting some good accumulation on the grass. Snowing steady at estimated inch/hr rate for last 2 hours. About 6 inches on ground right now. Will take. Euro looked tasty for next Tuesday. Looked like potential double digits for majority of forum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted March 14, 2018 Share Posted March 14, 2018 Wayne Meagher, Syracuse OCM, thinks heaviest snow axis runs NW-SE betrween about Geneva and Syracuse tonight...6-10" there, 3-6" just outside that area. Syr and my place right on his map boundary for 6-10... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 14, 2018 Author Share Posted March 14, 2018 Well we have a winner, probably still snowing there too LOCATION STORM TOTAL TIME/DATE COMMENTS SNOWFALL OF /INCHES/ MEASUREMENT NEW YORK ...Chautauqua County... Gerry 28.0 400 PM 3/14 Elevation 2012 feet ...Livingston County... Lima 5.0 500 PM 3/14 Trained Spotter ...Monroe County... 3 SE Fairport 7.0 340 PM 3/14 Trained Spotter 2 NE Honeoye Falls 2.3 445 PM 3/14 CoCoRaHS ...Niagara County... North Tonawanda 3.6 350 PM 3/14 Co-Op Observer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 14, 2018 Author Share Posted March 14, 2018 Those hills SE of lake erie must average 250 per year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted March 14, 2018 Share Posted March 14, 2018 Just under three inches since this morning which brings my total since Monday night to around 8 inches. Really pouring here right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted March 14, 2018 Share Posted March 14, 2018 Carolyn Yerdon in North Redfield just tweeted she received 10 inches today which brings her total to 350 inches for the season. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted March 14, 2018 Share Posted March 14, 2018 1 minute ago, CNY_WX said: Carolyn Yerdon in North Redfield just tweeted she received 10 inches today which brings her total to 350 inches for the season. The Tug steals so much of what is rightfully ours that I feel angered by her. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 14, 2018 Author Share Posted March 14, 2018 8 minutes ago, Syrmax said: The Tug steals so much of what is rightfully ours that I feel angered by her. I could never live there, props to her for giving us a resident of the snowiest place east of the Rockies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted March 14, 2018 Share Posted March 14, 2018 I gotta be nearing 10-12" easy but it's virtually impossible to measure where I live as I live on an open 3 acre ranch with one tree, lol, so there's really no where to measure. Accuracy gets thrown out the window but an average does well. I'll go out in a bit and measure in about 6 spots and run an avg. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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