North Balti Zen Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 It's not like I was picking a fight. My comment was literally banter on preference (even obvious preference) so I put it in here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 Shoveling sleet is a pain so I side with mappy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jandurin Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 8 minutes ago, North Balti Zen said: It's not like I was picking a fight. My comment was literally banter on preference (even obvious preference) so I put it in here. yeah just saying i think you're talking about maximizing accumulations and she's talking about actually having to deal with the mess Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeathermanB Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 Legend has it that your heart rate rises 850% when you see the "<person> quoted you in <topic>" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 Could you imagine if it was Jan or Feb 20th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 too many people asking questions, making incorrect model observations, not letting a model run finish, etc. in the storm thread. same old same old. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 The PBP on the Nam left something to be desired. It is either a prolonged ice event with wave 1, or its not. The area either got smoked with snow on Wednesday, or rather Philly to NYC did. The coastal low was either perfect or too far east. Perfectly clear after reading all that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jandurin Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 1 minute ago, snowfan said: too many people asking questions, making incorrect model observations, not letting a model run finish, etc. in the storm thread. same old same old. deep analysis of the nam is incredibly important do you want to see my snowmap? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 That NAM run was apparently both an AND a "next" at the same time. It was Schroedinger's NAM run based on the PBP... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 Honestly the NAM run wasn't that good for us...mostly light snow with wave 2 which we know isn't going to cut it during the daytime in march. Looking at the 6 hour precip plots on IMW verse the radar on TT shows it starkly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 1 minute ago, DCTeacherman said: Honestly the NAM run wasn't that good for us...mostly light snow with wave 2 which we know isn't going to cut it during the daytime in march. Looking at the 6 hour precip plots on IMW verse the radar on TT shows it starkly. Shhh.. just look at the 10:1 snow/sleet maps & think happy thoughts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 2 minutes ago, DCTeacherman said: Honestly the NAM run wasn't that good for us...mostly light snow with wave 2 which we know isn't going to cut it during the daytime in march. Looking at the 6 hour precip plots on IMW verse the radar on TT shows it starkly. I mean obviously it’s all relative. I much prefer 12z over 6z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeathermanB Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 I don't know about you.. But i'm always preferring model consistency of the NAM, with the same amount of snow each run. Not those stupid 10:1 ratios. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhiteoutMD Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 For people south of 1-70 do you think we will need to shovel anything of the sidewalks late on Wednesday after the storm? asking for a friend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
feloniousq Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 This has Jim Cantore on the Mall written all over it. I'm sorry, there's no way we are getting 15-25 inches of accumulation in daylight with temps in the mid-30s. That NAM 3k snow map is hilarity--and most people know that--but there are definitely plenty that won't. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 2 minutes ago, feloniousq said: This has Jim Cantore on the Mall written all over it. I'm sorry, there's no way we are getting 15-25 inches of accumulation in daylight with temps in the mid-30s. That NAM 3k snow map is hilarity--and most people know that--but there are definitely plenty that won't. ?? Nobody is getting 15-25" out of this. That is 10:1. Best case scenario for the city is maybe an inch of sleet followed by 2-4" or maybe 3-5" if they're lucky of snow. Nothing more. Nobody is getting their hopes up about a late March blizzard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 1 minute ago, Cobalt said: ?? Nobody is getting 15-25" out of this. That is 10:1. Best case scenario for the city is maybe an inch of sleet followed by 2-4" or maybe 3-5" if they're lucky of snow. Nothing more. Nobody is getting their hopes up about a late March blizzard. Actually I could see the top end being a little higher if we really get a stall of the low in the right place with a CCB overhead. I don't think that's the most likely scenario but I could imagine a 4-8 type deal if everything broke right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 1 hour ago, North Balti Zen said: Mappy kinda said the opposite in the other thread after I posted that, so... In any event, sleet would beat rain to start this thing. If it stays sleet, that would suck, but would still beat rain. A sleetfest with a few inches of wet snow works well this time of year if you still want to have something on the ground for more than a few hours after it stops. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 I am glad Storm Mode is working out so well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 2 minutes ago, Interstate said: I am glad Storm Mode is working out so well Can you imagine if it wasn't on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
feloniousq Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 10 minutes ago, Cobalt said: ?? Nobody is getting 15-25" out of this. That is 10:1. Best case scenario for the city is maybe an inch of sleet followed by 2-4" or maybe 3-5" if they're lucky of snow. Nothing more. Nobody is getting their hopes up about a late March blizzard. There are plenty of people "getting their hopes up" and plenty of people saying "I know it's not 10:1 BUT snow maps have been underestimates all year1!!1!!1!" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jandurin Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 Just admire the greens on the snowmap and know that it shows how much grass you'll be able to see after the storm passes! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 14 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Can you imagine if it wasn't on Yeah... 110 pages with 2 worthy post per page Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 lol. keep bitching Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 So this was my first year doing a March Madness bracket and... UGH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 1 minute ago, supernovasky said: So this was my first year doing a March Madness bracket and... UGH. I need Mich to play Kansas in the final game with Kansas winning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 Just now, Interstate said: I need Mich to play Kansas in the final game with Kansas winning. WVU is my wife's team. I don't ever have a dog in this fight - LSU is not a basketball team and we really don't have any at all in Louisiana, so I've never been into March Madness. Now I at least have a team to follow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 @Bob Chill Are you still in Cambridge? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 Pittsburgh office just issued watches for the usual suspects in Garrett and Tucker counties. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jandurin Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 5 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: I’m not quite sure what people look for around here. Peer reviewed posts from mets and old timers about the Zeroth law of thermodynamics every time the NAM runs? You’re going to have redundancy and amateur hour when you have amateurs comment on something as complicated as wx. Mods do their best to cut the real crap (I should be a mod btw ). We fight the same battles every single time and we don’t even have a real solution to what grinds everyone’s gears. Reasonable discourse grinds my gears get that out of here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.