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40/70 Benchmark

Blizzard 2018 Take II: The Firehose

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Congrats on the over-performer for those who've seen SN, thus far.   

Stopping for a short nap...until about 715 am...here in Old Saybrook, CT.  Still planning to travel to Scituate for the 11 am high tide.   

42f/-RN

Good night and good luck to each of you!

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1-3 predicted last night to WSW 5-9 locally 12 this morning looks like 2 down and just dumping in Schenectady.  Heavy stuff, the evergreens are slumping.

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Was 37 in Concord MA at 4:15 when I took the dog out. Now 34 with heavier rain falling and gusty wind. Would love to get something out of this. 

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1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

There actually sounds like sleet may be mixed in. Is that possible in this setup?

Yeah the models had a 925mb warm nose in some spots

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Still going to be interesting to see how much we see the snow get beaten back to the west today (if at all)... as speculated yesterday it looks like some of the 6z models continue with the idea of more widespread snow this morning, then slight warming through the morning hours before it all crashes back this afternoon.

Early this morning, this matches pretty well what is happening.

hires_ref_neng_4.png.c241a4ceb507c5bdc792ee769afb9ad5.png

 

Then 11am the snow line is pushed back to the NY border.  It all crashes after 18z though quickly.

hires_ref_neng_11.png.9d20a7c2cc4c89531ee14e91a29abcc2.png

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5 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Still going to be interesting to see how much we see the snow get beaten back to the west today (if at all)... as speculated yesterday it looks like some of the 6z models continue with the idea of more widespread snow this morning, then slight warming through the morning hours before it all crashes back this afternoon.

Early this morning, this matches pretty well what is happening.

hires_ref_neng_4.png.c241a4ceb507c5bdc792ee769afb9ad5.png

 

Then 11am the snow line is pushed back to the NY border.  It all crashes after 18z though quickly.

hires_ref_neng_11.png.9d20a7c2cc4c89531ee14e91a29abcc2.png

Nailed it.

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2 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Still going to be interesting to see how much we see the snow get beaten back to the west today (if at all)... as speculated yesterday it looks like some of the 6z models continue with the idea of more widespread snow this morning, then slight warming through the morning hours before it all crashes back this afternoon.

Early this morning, this matches pretty well what is happening.

hires_ref_neng_4.png.c241a4ceb507c5bdc792ee769afb9ad5.png

 

Then 11am the snow line is pushed back to the NY border.  It all crashes after 18z though quickly.

hires_ref_neng_11.png.9d20a7c2cc4c89531ee14e91a29abcc2.png

Awesome post, it will be fun to see how models fair.  I'd hate to have to foreast this storm.  Weenie goggles have me seeing the warm layer getting washed out some by heavy precipitation rates and latent cooling. 

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Just now, dendrite said:

Looks like we’re transitioning to rain. Up to 32.4F

Yea I started as sleet/snow as well and have been rain for at least an hour now. Pretty much as expected, bc the ML torch was always supposed to come later. 

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