Johnno Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 Mostly sleet now and some mangled flakes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 That's nice for them. The center of the screw universe for years so not bad. Looking at aircraft soundings, pronounced warm layer from 900-820mb or so. Peaks near 4c. Actually 0C at 925, so colder lower levels AWT. Need to wash out that layer this aftn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 Flipping back and forth from mix to all snow. Slushy coating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Johnno Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 Huge cat paws now, maybe we flip completely soon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 Rain, 36F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: That's nice for them. The center of the screw universe for years so not bad. Looking at aircraft soundings, pronounced warm layer from 900-820mb or so. Peaks near 4c. Actually 0C at 925, so colder lower levels AWT. Need to wash out that layer this aftn. I know you’re off.. any general ideas on when Pike south flips? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
backedgeapproaching Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 2 minutes ago, powderfreak said: 8" in Albany, NY so far... 240ft elevation near the Hudson River. Damn. Been hours and hours of 30-50dbZ bands over ENY..crush city. Only about a little over 3" here. Was 39F when precip started, so lost some there in addition to bouncing between 32F-33F. Nice elevation event for SVT though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: That's nice for them. The center of the screw universe for years so not bad. Looking at aircraft soundings, pronounced warm layer from 900-820mb or so. Peaks near 4c. Actually 0C at 925, so colder lower levels AWT. Need to wash out that layer this aftn. Yeah, really showing what dynamic cooling can do out there when you do have mid-levels that support snow. Models definitely are busting in the Hudson Valley. Based on those soundings, it is the mid-levels as if those were cold enough, all these 34-36F temps in SNE would be flashing over to heavy snow almost immediately just like the Albany area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 Areas out west that are seeing snow now, don't be surprised if it flips to rain for a few hours as the storm circles back west under the ULL. 850mb temps are modeled to increase as the easterly winds at 850mb increase pushing the marine air further inland. Once the winds flip more from the NE the temps will start to fall again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 2 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Yeah, really showing what dynamic cooling can do out there when you do have mid-levels that support snow. Models definitely are busting in the Hudson Valley. Based on those soundings, it is the mid-levels as if those were cold enough, all these 34-36F temps in SNE would be flashing over to heavy snow almost immediately just like the Albany area. For HFD, the warm tongue is at 850, but it's not as pronounced. Probbaly will be in a few hours. But good to see the lower levels colder which we surmised. Will be interesting this aftn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I know you’re off.. any general ideas on when Pike south flips? It's all rate dependent. Could be like 2-3pm or 6pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 13 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: 29kt gusts at TAN now. Sustained 15kts Just had a 32kt gust Sustained 19kts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: For HFD, the warm tongue is at 850, but it's not as pronounced. Probbaly will be in a few hours. But good to see the lower levels colder which we surmised. Will be interesting this aftn. There were paws even in downtown HFD on 84 this morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 Just now, CoastalWx said: It's all rate dependent. Could be like 2-3pm or 6pm. My fear out there is the lift is short-lived as the storm moves south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarverWX Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 1 minute ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Just had a 32kt gust Sustained 19kts Hoping to see some gusts in the 40-50kt range Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 Just now, CarverWX said: Hoping to see some gusts in the 40-50kt range Already are. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 4 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: My fear out there is the lift is short-lived as the storm moves south. Fear? It’s 6-8 hour period of mod- heavy snow firehose as it stalls Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 Just now, CarverWX said: Hoping to see some gusts in the 40-50kt range Just now, CoastalWx said: Already are. Yeah, PYM is already gusting to 40kts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
amarshall Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 mangled flakes Newry Maine. Praying for a miracle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Fear? It’s 6-8 hour period of mod- heavy snow firehose as it stalls We 6-10” for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarverWX Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 Just now, Baroclinic Zone said: Yeah, PYM is already gusting to 40kts. Yeah, I was refering to my location. It looks like we are gusting in the 30's. Last report out of KPYM was 41kt's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Fear? It’s 6-8 hour period of mod- heavy snow firehose as it stalls You see the latest HRRR? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 -ZR, 31°F, Winds have gusted to 35 mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: We 6-10” for you. Hope you right. 10” gonna be hard to do unless it flips earlier . 6” seems likely Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 1 minute ago, Baroclinic Zone said: You see the latest HRRR? And did you see all the Mets say toss it. It ends well after midnight. Not 7:00 lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom12309 Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 Big branch just dropped off the pine tree between my house and the neighbor's. Going to be a lot sunnier on that side of the house now! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Hope you right. 10” gonna be hard to do unless it flips earlier . 6” seems likely reason why we have 10” is because thats the top end which is possible given your elevation. If We did probabilities, then yes....6” is the most likely snow amount. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 Rain but did have a little sleet mixing in earlier when I was walking the dog 35f fairly breezy, i thought temps would have been 39-43 this morning,esp with yesterday around 60 and dews around 30 so a little colder than I thought Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 1 minute ago, codfishsnowman said: Rain but did have a little sleet mixing in earlier when I was walking the dog 35f fairly breezy, i thought temps would have been 39-43 this morning,esp with yesterday around 60 and dews around 30 so a little colder than I thought Low levels are ok. It's near 850 that is furnaced. But, good to see the lower levels fairly cool. I figured that may be the case, GFS thermals be dammed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 It's a tropical storm out there minus the 36.9 temp. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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