JerseyWx Posted March 4, 2018 Share Posted March 4, 2018 With the exception of a few spots, you couldn't even tell it snowed. Impressive 24 hour melt. Strong March sun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted March 4, 2018 Share Posted March 4, 2018 The next few days will provide a period of quiet weather in the New York City area, even as some light snow could fall across New England resulting in a minor accumulation. However, this quiet won’t last too long. Another fairly powerful storm could bring gusty winds and moderate to heavy precipitation to the region Wednesday into Thursday. This time around, it appears that the system might have a little more cold air with which to work. As a result, prospects for accumulating snow in New York City, Newark, and at least western Long Island appear greater than they were with the recently-departed nor’easter. The last time New York City saw 4” or more snow in March was March 13, 2017 when 7.6” fell. That storm brought 6” or more snow to Boston, New York City, and Philadelphia. Overall, the pattern continues to evolve in a fashion that favors a somewhat warmer than normal month across the region. Little has changed regarding that aspect since the beginning of the month. New York City’s Average Temperature Through: 3/3 44.5° (6.2° above normal) 3/5 42.0°-43.2° (3/3 estimate: 41.0°-45.8°) 3/10 39.7°-43.3° (3/2 estimate: 39.1°-44.5°) Per aggressive sensitivity analysis, the estimated probability of an above normal monthly anomaly: 52% (3/3 estimate: 51%) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted March 4, 2018 Share Posted March 4, 2018 Curious fact for this month: (probably others too) Using a 50 year old NYC Weather Almanac, I found 19 new daily record highs have been set, against just 2 new daily lows, during the 5 decade span. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted March 4, 2018 Share Posted March 4, 2018 Some photos I shot this morning during high tide in Howard Beach, Queens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 4, 2018 Share Posted March 4, 2018 Sun flurries falling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 Just had a shower of mainly grapul that left a light dusting odd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 30 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: Just had a shower of mainly grapul that left a light dusting odd I guess it's rather unstable beneath this tightly wound upper low. I've had on and off grauple/snow showers all day, and it's gotten really gusty in the last few hours. There were lots of leaning and teetering trees around here after Friday's storm, do I wouldn't be surprised if things are blowing down and setting back power restoration efforts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 Snow shower passing thru White Plains at the moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eduardo Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 Snow shower topped the cars and dusted the grass here. Let's hop it's a sign of good things to come in the next two weeks before we start to wrap it up! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 its been snowing hard outside with lots of wind! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 44 minutes ago, Paragon said: its been snowing hard outside with lots of wind! Yeah we wound up with a solid coating in wantagh. Even on some paved surfaces Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 Next 8 days averaging 40degs., or just about Normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 Most of the guidance suggests that another fairly powerful storm could bring gusty winds and moderate to heavy precipitation to the region Wednesday into Thursday. Much of the region from Philadelphia to Boston could see 4” or more snow. Areas in and around New York City could pick up 6” or more. The exact track of the storm will be crucial in determining how much snow falls in coastal areas. Differences persist among the modeling. Another system could bring the threat of additional precipitation to the region next Monday into Tuesday. Finally, there remain hints on the longer-range guidance that a milder pattern could try to develop after mid-March. New York City’s Average Temperature Through: 3/4 43.1° (4.6° above normal) 3/5 41.8°-42.6° (3/4 estimate: 41.0°-45.8°) 3/10 39.3°-42.2° (3/4 estimate: 39.1°-44.5°) Per aggressive sensitivity analysis, the estimated probability of an above normal monthly anomaly: 51% (3/4 estimate: 52%) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 Looks like we officially recorded the strongest 500 mb block over Southern Greenland since 12/16/10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 What are models showing for next Monday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 21 minutes ago, White Gorilla said: What are models showing for next Monday? Mostly a miss Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 44 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Mostly a miss Everyone needs to enjoy Wednesday. That is very likely the last hurrah for winter. The pattern is going to completely flip starting this weekend and we are going to be in a torch by St. Patrick’s Day weekend. We loose the -NAO and the EPO goes raging positive with a vortex over Alaska. I think it’s fat lady singing time, all she wrote, game over after Wednesday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 10 hours ago, donsutherland1 said: Most of the guidance suggests that another fairly powerful storm could bring gusty winds and moderate to heavy precipitation to the region Wednesday into Thursday. Much of the region from Philadelphia to Boston could see 4” or more snow. Areas in and around New York City could pick up 6” or more. The exact track of the storm will be crucial in determining how much snow falls in coastal areas. Differences persist among the modeling. Another system could bring the threat of additional precipitation to the region next Monday into Tuesday. Finally, there remain hints on the longer-range guidance that a milder pattern could try to develop after mid-March. New York City’s Average Temperature Through: 3/4 43.1° (4.6° above normal) 3/5 41.8°-42.6° (3/4 estimate: 41.0°-45.8°) 3/10 39.3°-42.2° (3/4 estimate: 39.1°-44.5°) Per aggressive sensitivity analysis, the estimated probability of an above normal monthly anomaly: 51% (3/4 estimate: 52%) Don they're already talking about the Monday system being colder and stronger than this Wednesday's system and this Wednesday's sytem delivering about 6-8" for NYC and Long Island. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 1 hour ago, snowman19 said: Everyone needs to enjoy Wednesday. That is very likely the last hurrah for winter. The pattern is going to completely flip starting this weekend and we are going to be in a torch by St. Patrick’s Day weekend. We loose the -NAO and the EPO goes raging positive with a vortex over Alaska. I think it’s fat lady singing time, all she wrote, game over after Wednesday Yawn dude (broken record), they're talking about next weekend's system into the folliowing week system bringing snow to the mid atlantic and south. Hold your damn horses, the pattern changes after midmonth, like it usually does around the 20th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 58 minutes ago, Paragon said: Yawn dude (broken record), they're talking about next weekend's system into the folliowing week system bringing snow to the mid atlantic and south. Hold your damn horses, the pattern changes after midmonth, like it usually does around the 20th. Ah, yea, St. Patrick’s Day weekend would be mid month 3/17 lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 1 minute ago, snowman19 said: Ah, yea, St. Patrick’s Day weekend would be mid month 3/17 lol I fully expect to have it roasting for the final third of the month and I could use some heating bill relief too. My bill was $900 for last month 600 gas 300 electric Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 That last storm could be a doozy, I don't buy the suppressive look at all with the indices rapidly rising. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 3 hours ago, snowman19 said: Everyone needs to enjoy Wednesday. That is very likely the last hurrah for winter. The pattern is going to completely flip starting this weekend and we are going to be in a torch by St. Patrick’s Day weekend. We loose the -NAO and the EPO goes raging positive with a vortex over Alaska. I think it’s fat lady singing time, all she wrote, game over after Wednesday This is one of your worst posts yet, congrats!!! Have you even looked at the latest suite? No you haven’t. The NAO is reloading. More snow threats on the way in the long range Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mranger48 Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 Everyone needs to enjoy Wednesday. That is very likely the last hurrah for winter. The pattern is going to completely flip starting this weekend and we are going to be in a torch by St. Patrick’s Day weekend. We loose the -NAO and the EPO goes raging positive with a vortex over Alaska. I think it’s fat lady singing time, all she wrote, game over after Wednesday Ugh 3 margaritas deep in ft Lauderdale and ur still...what’s the word______. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 59 minutes ago, Paragon said: I fully expect to have it roasting for the final third of the month and I could use some heating bill relief too. My bill was $900 for last month 600 gas 300 electric I tried that this weekend, it wasn't all that great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 1 minute ago, Juliancolton said: I tried that this weekend, it wasn't all that great. I see what you did there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 Today's Euro weeklies do not support snowmans position. Pretty trough-y into April. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 1 hour ago, Paragon said: I fully expect to have it roasting for the final third of the month and I could use some heating bill relief too. My bill was $900 for last month 600 gas 300 electric Do you have wood burning stove? if yes, your home must be large or poorly insulated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 this wind is getting tiresome. plus my house sits in a wind tunnel I swear. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 4 minutes ago, Animal said: Do you have wood burning stove? if yes, your home must be large or poorly insulated. badly insulated, I can feel the wind through the windows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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