TalcottWx Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Not for west of river, congrats east. Congrats on your 7h fronto band Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 That's pretty decent agreement through 60 hours or so on the general track and slp. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 This pbp is giving me the vapors. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 Upper level is trending slower too...00z escaped pretty quickly east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 1 minute ago, dendrite said: Does the sfc low truly follow that convection or is it just spitting an "L" in an area with slightly lower pressure while dynamically the sfc low takes over to the NW of that closer to the better mid level dynamics? I don’t think it really matters either way. H5 isn’t closed at 48 so she comes north/west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 2 minutes ago, Powderboy413 said: Of course Valley is screwed again 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Not for west of river, congrats east. Were you guys around for March 2013? Disastah' out here for anyone under 1000' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Upper level is trending slower too...00z escaped pretty quickly east. All of yesterday trending progressive it seemed. Now we're back to the opposite. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 Just now, sbos_wx said: Congrats on your 7h fronto band Yea thats pretty close actually. deff ect orh ema can do naked cartwheels thats perfect there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 Just now, jbenedet said: I don’t think it really matters either way. H5 isn’t closed at 48 so she comes north/west. The plains monsters into monster block scenarios were cool, but this might be a more classic evolution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 3 minutes ago, dendrite said: Does the sfc low truly follow that convection or is it just spitting an "L" in an area with slightly lower pressure while dynamically the sfc low takes over to the NW of that closer to the better mid level dynamics? My thought as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 Wish I could come up there for the storm but I am stuck with work... but EURO snow map on WB isn't super great -- no one really sees over a foot except for RI... any reason? WB map not right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 Just now, OceanStWx said: My thought as well. You only have one? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 Just now, PeabodyFlood said: This pbp is giving me the vapors. Some are drunk, some are high, and some are tripping Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 Just now, JC-CT said: The plains monsters into monster block scenarios were cool, but this might be a more classic evolution. Yes. This is betterr, particularly considering the antecedent airmass. Plus this is a storm where east doesn’t mean a miss... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 1 minute ago, yoda said: Wish I could come up there for the storm but I am stuck with work... but EURO snow map on WB isn't super great -- no one sees over a foot... any reason? WB map not right? The algorithms don't like to think it is snowing when the model says it is 36 degrees at the surface. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 1 minute ago, OceanStWx said: My thought as well. I'm only on the crappy 24hrly Apple Logo turn-right-90-degrees freebies so I can't really tell what's going on. I just see an "L" associated with a convective vort SE of where you'd hope to expect the sfc low at that point. I'm waiting for the weather.us stuff now, but it's a slower pace of life up there in Scandinavia. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 Euro looks a lot like the CMC.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 Just now, JC-CT said: The algorithms don't like to think it is snowing when the model says it is 36 degrees at the surface. Yeah these paste bombs can be really tough on the clown maps. We still have time to dissect the lowest 2500 feet of the atmosphere, but it was crucial to get the 2500-5000 foot layer cooled first...the lower part tends to happen pretty quickly with latent cooling in a CCB scenario like shown, but the models almost always underestimate it. That's assuming we're getting smoked with 0.20" qpf per hour...stuff like that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 11 minutes ago, JC-CT said: about .75 of qpf for us after 850 goes below zero through 60. some will be wasted but not bad... 12+! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 3 minutes ago, JC-CT said: The algorithms don't like to think it is snowing when the model says it is 36 degrees at the surface. Neither do most mets except for JB and the other JB. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 When's euro got precipitation till Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 1 minute ago, dendrite said: I'm only on the crappy 24hrly Apple Logo turn-right-90-degrees freebies so I can't really tell what's going on. I just see an "L" associated with a convective vort SE of where you'd hope to expect the sfc low at that point. I'm waiting for the weather.us stuff now, but it's a slower pace of life up there in Scandinavia. Maybe thats why I didnt think it was a nuke...TT 24hr maps at work on mobile ftl. It looked better, didnt look like ‘the one’ but it apprently is...for some. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 The weenie weather.us snow stuff has like 10" by 18z Friday for ORH lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 This is the Scooter special. If he could draw up a storm, this is about it. Man paste. He loves man paste. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Maybe thats why I didnt think it was a nuke...TT 24hr maps at work on mobile ftl. It looked better, didnt look like ‘the one’ but it apprently is...for some. I just saw 48hr to 51hr on weather.us....it looks like just a blip. Everything dynamically is happening around the NW circulation at 51h. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said: When's euro got precipitation till Shuts off a bit after 12z for E MA. The good stuff though is ending prob 07-09z. It's def slower than the 00z run. We'll see if it slows further on future runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 3 minutes ago, jbenedet said: Yes. This is betterr, particularly considering the antecedent airmass. Plus this is a storm where east doesn’t mean a miss... Hopefully we can have this thing shift toward us and get more action. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 I have heard RUMORS of a pressure that is LOW and I am here to SUE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 Hey look more snow MOnday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 Just now, CoastalWx said: Hey look more snow MOnday. Same storm system too....just spins offshore and then sends a little more energy around the pinwheel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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