Ginx snewx Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 9 minutes ago, ackwaves said: Anyone have a 10m wind map from the Euro for Friday night? The other models show Nantucket in a lull at that time. Thanks. Here ya go Blair, yikes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: I laid myself out there last night, gave it my best shot, probably will go down in a ball of flames and it is my own damn fault. My dream told beware of Jerrys damn Elephant and I ignored it. Now I have 2 hopes, some great wave watching and Ski areas up north get something. Stick with your rule. Closed low underneath us and it will snow. Think you’re giving up way way too soon . Maybe not your crippler forecast, but hills will snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 5 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Looks like you are going to get snow out of this run or close to it, That ended up in a good spot actually. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Stick with your rule. Closed low underneath us and it will snow. Think you’re giving up way way too soon . Maybe not your crippler forecast, but hills will snow Yea that's not what I was referring too though. I covered Mts to coast, absolutely think elevations end up with snow just concerned its nothing like I imagined, not giving up just think odds went way down from my initial thoughts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 Nice, 3"+ and counting in SE MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 That is quite the fuji on the NAM. Went south but definitely not as progressive as he Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Stick with your rule. Closed low underneath us and it will snow. Think you’re giving up way way too soon . Maybe not your crippler forecast, but hills will snow Don't give up on him, Ginxy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ackwaves Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 4 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Here ya go Blair, yikes Thanks. Guess I'll lean away from the solutions that put Nantucket out from under the strong stuff for a time Friday night. Raging winds. Course by then I'll be comfortably in Nassau. I fly out of Logan Friday morning before it goes nuclear. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 8 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: no one is really paying homage to it now, that's the point, regardless. Lot of hand wringing at the wrong focus - I don't care who gets "credit" for seeing stuff... but the reality of it's plausible influence on this thing is still there - so, I guess someone made note of it, everyone paused for a second, then summarily resumed the clammer over the wrong focus - okay ... We've been talking about that s/w for 36-48hrs. It has turned into a legit snowstorm for N ME and I agree, depending on the amount of confluence it produces has greatly affected where the firehose focuses. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 2 minutes ago, DomNH said: That is quite the fuji on the NAM. Went south but definitely not as progressive as he Euro. Isn't a Fuji around 2 low centers? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 1 hour ago, jbenedet said: I really don't think this is the issue. ML warmth was always flooding the region until the coastal developed. The difference is, we don't have the final explosive phase off the coast, so ML temps don't immediately collapse. In my view the main issue boils down to a less wrapped up system when its at our longitude.... SNE excluding the Berks and ORH hills, always needed a nuke to get good snow; and this is especially true with a track more tucked into the coast. Eh....I think the low tracking further north initially matters....but you are right that the later phase hurts, too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 Just now, Ginx snewx said: Isn't a Fuji around 2 low centers? Technically yeah. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 Another run, another solution. The NAM should stabilize by 12z Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 Just now, dryslot said: Looks like you are going to get snow out of this run, That ended up in a good spot actually. Looked inconsequential. 4" of rain though. HEP ME! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 Just now, DomNH said: Technically yeah. Yea I understood your point, merry go rounding the ULL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: Isn't a Fuji around 2 low centers? Yeah this is your "blizzard loop" sfc low captured by H5. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 Just now, Baroclinic Zone said: Looked inconsequential. 4" of rain though. HEP ME! Lawn should be much greener after tough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 2 minutes ago, ackwaves said: Thanks. Guess I'll lean away from the solutions that put Nantucket out from under the strong stuff for a time Friday night. Raging winds. Course by then I'll be comfortably in Nassau. I fly out of Logan Friday morning before it goes nuclear. Did I tell you how much you suck, lol. Delays due to winds rain Friday Am? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 If I come out of this with <0.25" liquid like the NAM has I won't be complaining. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 Definitely not quite the blue bomb the 06z NAM was showing, and it ended up shooting east faster than I thought it would. Euro-esque in shutting off precip Friday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 Just now, DomNH said: Definitely not quite the blue bomb the 06z NAM was showing, and it ended up shooting east faster than I thought it would. Euro-esque in shutting off precip Friday night. Find that aspect interesting, both shoot the energy southeast like 600 miles in 6 hrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 Just now, dryslot said: Lawn should be much greener after tough. Yup. Should drop my 1st round of fert in a few weeks time too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ackwaves Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: Did I tell you how much you suck, lol. Delays due to winds rain Friday Am? Lol. Bareboat sailing in the Exumas for 10days. Ahhhhhh. Maybe delays. 1st flight out for that aircraft so they may just launch us through the deck without delay hopefully. I'm thinking 30-40mph with rain. Should be good to go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 28, 2018 Author Share Posted February 28, 2018 5 minutes ago, dendrite said: We've been talking about that s/w for 36-48hrs. It has turned into a legit snowstorm for N ME and I agree, depending on the amount of confluence it produces has greatly affected where the firehose focuses. NO... not talking about the mechanics of the jet orientation - ...I said, the cold source at low levels is being blocked by it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 Just now, ackwaves said: Lol. Bareboat sailing in the Exumas for 10days. Ahhhhhh. Maybe delays. 1st flight out for that aircraft so they may just launch us through the deck without delay hopefully. I'm thinking 30-40mph with rain. Should be good to go. Have fun, stay safe, don't forget to write Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 There seem to be many different iterations of not much snow in sne....regardless of how it gets there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 At least should gfs go to euro in a hr, i could say "peace out" Prolly see a 6z gfs/0z euro compromise Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
amarshall Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 9 minutes ago, dendrite said: We've been talking about that s/w for 36-48hrs. It has turned into a legit snowstorm for N ME and I agree, depending on the amount of confluence it produces has greatly affected where the firehose focuses. Sunday River? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersComing Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 16 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Stick with your rule. Closed low underneath us and it will snow. Think you’re giving up way way too soon . Maybe not your crippler forecast, but hills will snow Much better look on the NAM for the ULL this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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