78Blizzard Posted February 14, 2018 Share Posted February 14, 2018 18z NAM looks good at hr 84. Much better look than hr 90 on 12z GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 14, 2018 Share Posted February 14, 2018 3 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: SE New England has places with a 15 year average that is higher than places in the Berkshires. Regimes change and eventually they change back, I guess. I'm not sure it's that ridiculous. Many good winters in SE MA featured good winters in the Berks too. Anyways, NAM is a nuke. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 14, 2018 Share Posted February 14, 2018 Just now, CoastalWx said: I'm not sure it's that ridiculous. Many good winters in SE MA featured good winters in the Berks too. Anyways, NAM is a nuke. They are due for a few 2000-2001s, 1992-1993s, 1971-1972s, etc. Even 2002-2003 which was good for everyone was exceptionally good in the deep interior. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 14, 2018 Share Posted February 14, 2018 Wow at the 18z NAM! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 14, 2018 Share Posted February 14, 2018 Whats so good about the 18z NAM? Looks kind of south to me. It has a nice strong shortwave, but it's really compact and kind of getting shunted east. Would probably be an amazing solution for the south coast though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 14, 2018 Share Posted February 14, 2018 4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: They are due for a few 2000-2001s, 1992-1993s, 1971-1972s, etc. Even 2002-2003 which was good for everyone was exceptionally good in the deep interior. Absolutely. It will come. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 14, 2018 Share Posted February 14, 2018 I guess I liked how the precip shield curled north and it looked like a pretty juicy system. Not that it matters with the NAM so far out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 14, 2018 Share Posted February 14, 2018 Just now, CoastalWx said: I guess I liked how the precip shield curled north and it looked like a pretty juicy system. Not that it matters with the NAM so far out. Similiar to the Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 14, 2018 Share Posted February 14, 2018 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: I guess I liked how the precip shield curled north and it looked like a pretty juicy system. Not that it matters with the NAM so far out. OH yeah, where it actually hits looks like they would get slammed on that little nuke setup...but prob the south coast on that run extrapolated. Though we should probably weenietag ourselves for extrapolating the 84 hour nam. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 14, 2018 Share Posted February 14, 2018 10 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I'm not sure it's that ridiculous. Many good winters in SE MA featured good winters in the Berks too. Anyways, NAM is a nuke. Yeah it's probably closer to even than anything else. it can also be greatly biased if, let's say, I take Ginx 10 year average and compare it to a snowhole like North Adams or Pittsfield. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 14, 2018 Share Posted February 14, 2018 I had to go back and look again to make sure i was looking at the right 18z Nam run, How much for Philly? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 14, 2018 Share Posted February 14, 2018 11 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: They are due for a few 2000-2001s, 1992-1993s, 1971-1972s, etc. Even 2002-2003 which was good for everyone was exceptionally good in the deep interior. The deep interior has actually had two great Decembers in a row and then it reverts back to coastal delight. All of that could be made up with an epic March over the interior but those have just been hard to come by as of late. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 14, 2018 Share Posted February 14, 2018 4 minutes ago, dryslot said: I had to go back and look again to make sure i was looking at the right 18z Nam run, How much for Philly? Let's also see what tune we are singing on Friday when the sampling is much better, it certainly could dig deeper and sharpen up a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 14, 2018 Share Posted February 14, 2018 1 minute ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: The deep interior has actually had two great Decembers in a row and then it reverts back to coastal delight. All of that could be made up with an epic March over the interior but those have just been hard to come by as of late. Last March had the great storm for the interior folks (though even the coast didn't do too bad in that one)....maybe we can get another this March with an additional couple solid events thrown in. Been a while since we had a a big March with multiple events. 2013 probably. Kind of hoping for a throwback March with big blocking ala those late 1950s years or March 2001. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted February 14, 2018 Share Posted February 14, 2018 21 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: They are due for a few 2000-2001s, 1992-1993s, 1971-1972s, etc. Even 2002-2003 which was good for everyone was exceptionally good in the deep interior. Except western Maine, where it was suppression session - nice and cold to hold pack, but 20-30" BN for snowfall. Anything that reaches here over the weekend is bonus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 14, 2018 Share Posted February 14, 2018 GFS is going to be flat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 14, 2018 Share Posted February 14, 2018 Screamers and model consistency FTL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 14, 2018 Share Posted February 14, 2018 Close the shades on the gfs. Whiff Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 14, 2018 Share Posted February 14, 2018 5 minutes ago, CT Rain said: GFS is going to be flat Whiff. 0 consistency at this point. Anything still on the table Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 14, 2018 Share Posted February 14, 2018 Nice look on the 18Z RGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 14, 2018 Share Posted February 14, 2018 Iconnic! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 14, 2018 Share Posted February 14, 2018 This is a good example of ensemble trends. Lots of variability with the op runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 14, 2018 Share Posted February 14, 2018 4 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Whiff. 0 consistency at this point. Anything still on the table Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 14, 2018 Share Posted February 14, 2018 I love arctic screamers...keep you on your toes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 14, 2018 Share Posted February 14, 2018 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: I love arctic screamers...keep you on your toes. Tblizz is losing years off his life. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 14, 2018 Share Posted February 14, 2018 Just now, ORH_wxman said: I love arctic screamers...keep you on your toes. GFS has just been off the hook with its run to run mania in all areas not just storms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 14, 2018 Share Posted February 14, 2018 Just now, CoastalWx said: Tblizz is losing years off his life. I’m fine. Whatever happens happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 14, 2018 Share Posted February 14, 2018 11 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: This is a good example of ensemble trends. Lots of variability with the op runs. For sure. The spread hasn't really tightened up at all today from what I can tell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted February 14, 2018 Share Posted February 14, 2018 3 minutes ago, CT Rain said: For sure. The spread hasn't really tightened up at all today from what I can tell. I felt the same way about 00z vs. 12z eps. No real answers. ich bin ein berliner! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 14, 2018 Share Posted February 14, 2018 1 hour ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Let's also see what tune we are singing on Friday when the sampling is much better, it certainly could dig deeper and sharpen up a bit. That's the day i mentioned in the other thread, Tough to sample when the s/w involved is not even on this side of the globe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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